Glaeldys González
@glaeldys.bsky.social
Analyst, South Andes @crisisgroup.org
No matter who wins, Bolivia’s next government will face major challenges: a deep economic crisis, a fractured legislature, social divides and rising social demands.
The country’s stability hinges on cross-party consensus, respect for results and peaceful conflict resolution.
The country’s stability hinges on cross-party consensus, respect for results and peaceful conflict resolution.
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
No matter who wins, Bolivia’s next government will face major challenges: a deep economic crisis, a fractured legislature, social divides and rising social demands.
The country’s stability hinges on cross-party consensus, respect for results and peaceful conflict resolution.
The country’s stability hinges on cross-party consensus, respect for results and peaceful conflict resolution.
Tensions remain high ahead of Bolivia’s vote. Morales supporters say the process isn't fair or free, and while his calls for mobilization have lost steam, the risk of violence and unrest persist. Still, Bolivians are committed to defending the process.
t.co/ED9UHfiDVQ
t.co/ED9UHfiDVQ
https://acleddata.com/report/bolivia-braces-tense-elections-ruling-party-implodes
t.co
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Tensions remain high ahead of Bolivia’s vote. Morales supporters say the process isn't fair or free, and while his calls for mobilization have lost steam, the risk of violence and unrest persist. Still, Bolivians are committed to defending the process.
t.co/ED9UHfiDVQ
t.co/ED9UHfiDVQ
With MAS dominance at risk, President Arce has pledged to respect the results and ensure a peaceful transition regardless of who wins.
Preliminary results are expected on election night, while official tallies may take up to 3 days.
eldeber.com.bo/pais/arce-va...
Preliminary results are expected on election night, while official tallies may take up to 3 days.
eldeber.com.bo/pais/arce-va...
Arce: “Vamos a entregar el Gobierno sin importar quién es” el ganador de las elecciones
El Jefe del Estado asegura que no dejará de hacer política y que morirá siendo socialista
eldeber.com.bo
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
With MAS dominance at risk, President Arce has pledged to respect the results and ensure a peaceful transition regardless of who wins.
Preliminary results are expected on election night, while official tallies may take up to 3 days.
eldeber.com.bo/pais/arce-va...
Preliminary results are expected on election night, while official tallies may take up to 3 days.
eldeber.com.bo/pais/arce-va...
Nearly 40,000 security forces will be deployed to protect the vote, focusing on Santa Cruz, La Paz, and Cochabamba. Meanwhile, over 2,000 observers will monitor the elections. The EU leads the largest electoral observation mission.
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Nearly 40,000 security forces will be deployed to protect the vote, focusing on Santa Cruz, La Paz, and Cochabamba. Meanwhile, over 2,000 observers will monitor the elections. The EU leads the largest electoral observation mission.
The road to the polls has been turbulent, with demonstrations, blockades, and clashes involving MAS and pro-Morales supporters backing his candidacy. Tensions peaked in June, when clashes left 8 dead (police officers and protesters), and dozens injured.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-CF...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-CF...
Bloqueos y choques con autoridades tensan la carrera electoral en Bolivia • FRANCE 24 Español
YouTube video by FRANCE 24 Español
www.youtube.com
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
The road to the polls has been turbulent, with demonstrations, blockades, and clashes involving MAS and pro-Morales supporters backing his candidacy. Tensions peaked in June, when clashes left 8 dead (police officers and protesters), and dozens injured.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-CF...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-CF...
Around one-third of the electorate remains undecided or intends to cast blank or null votes. Former President Morales, who is barred from running, has called for a null vote campaign, raising concerns about post-election legitimacy and stability. x.com/evoespueblo/...
Evo Morales Ayma on X: "Con firmeza y dignidad, nuestros compañeros y compañeras de los movimientos sociales han alzado su voz, ejerciendo su derecho democrático para rechazar este proceso electoral con un pronunciamiento legítimo: el voto nulo. Hoy, en el municipio de Entre Ríos, acompañados por la https://t.co/nQql7yfEz6" / X
Con firmeza y dignidad, nuestros compañeros y compañeras de los movimientos sociales han alzado su voz, ejerciendo su derecho democrático para rechazar este proceso electoral con un pronunciamiento legítimo: el voto nulo. Hoy, en el municipio de Entre Ríos, acompañados por la https://t.co/nQql7yfEz6
x.com
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Around one-third of the electorate remains undecided or intends to cast blank or null votes. Former President Morales, who is barred from running, has called for a null vote campaign, raising concerns about post-election legitimacy and stability. x.com/evoespueblo/...
The ruling left-wing MAS party is fractured by infighting between Evo Morales and President Arce, threatening its dominance.
With the official candidate Eduardo del Castillo polling poorly, the stage is set for major political change.
t.co/UJqXLqJCGz
With the official candidate Eduardo del Castillo polling poorly, the stage is set for major political change.
t.co/UJqXLqJCGz
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/andes/bolivia/counting-costs-bolivias-high-level-schism
t.co
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
The ruling left-wing MAS party is fractured by infighting between Evo Morales and President Arce, threatening its dominance.
With the official candidate Eduardo del Castillo polling poorly, the stage is set for major political change.
t.co/UJqXLqJCGz
With the official candidate Eduardo del Castillo polling poorly, the stage is set for major political change.
t.co/UJqXLqJCGz
Eight male candidates are running for the presidency.
While polling in Bolivia has historically been unreliable, recent surveys suggest opposition figures such as Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga are among the frontrunners.
t.co/Ui3gkJFnyu
While polling in Bolivia has historically been unreliable, recent surveys suggest opposition figures such as Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga are among the frontrunners.
t.co/Ui3gkJFnyu
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/15/a-political-shift-ahead-what-to-know-about-bolivias-presidential-election
t.co
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Eight male candidates are running for the presidency.
While polling in Bolivia has historically been unreliable, recent surveys suggest opposition figures such as Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga are among the frontrunners.
t.co/Ui3gkJFnyu
While polling in Bolivia has historically been unreliable, recent surveys suggest opposition figures such as Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga are among the frontrunners.
t.co/Ui3gkJFnyu
7.9 million Bolivians are eligible to vote. Participation is expected to be high, as voting is mandatory.
To win outright, a candidate must secure over 50% of votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. But with no clear frontrunner in the polls, a runoff in October is likely.
To win outright, a candidate must secure over 50% of votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. But with no clear frontrunner in the polls, a runoff in October is likely.
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
7.9 million Bolivians are eligible to vote. Participation is expected to be high, as voting is mandatory.
To win outright, a candidate must secure over 50% of votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. But with no clear frontrunner in the polls, a runoff in October is likely.
To win outright, a candidate must secure over 50% of votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. But with no clear frontrunner in the polls, a runoff in October is likely.
Polls will be held amid the country’s worst economic crisis in decades, with soaring inflation, plummeting gas production, depleted dollar reserves, and fuel shortages.
For many, this election is a crucial chance to reset the country’s economic course.
For many, this election is a crucial chance to reset the country’s economic course.
August 15, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Polls will be held amid the country’s worst economic crisis in decades, with soaring inflation, plummeting gas production, depleted dollar reserves, and fuel shortages.
For many, this election is a crucial chance to reset the country’s economic course.
For many, this election is a crucial chance to reset the country’s economic course.
Bolivia’s Ombudsman has called on the government and political leaders to engage in dialogue to prevent further escalation of the conflict and secure agreements that ensure fair elections on 17th August, tackle the economic crisis, and safeguard human rights. 6/6
June 12, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Bolivia’s Ombudsman has called on the government and political leaders to engage in dialogue to prevent further escalation of the conflict and secure agreements that ensure fair elections on 17th August, tackle the economic crisis, and safeguard human rights. 6/6
Morales, in turn, claims that the protests have been criminalised and warns that removing the blockades will provoke greater rebellion and further insurrection against the government. 5/6
June 12, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Morales, in turn, claims that the protests have been criminalised and warns that removing the blockades will provoke greater rebellion and further insurrection against the government. 5/6