Guohui Jiang
@gjiang.bsky.social
Could you pls include me? Thanks!
November 10, 2024 at 1:01 PM
Could you pls include me? Thanks!
Would love to hear your thoughts! Tagging
@jvoth.bsky.social @essobecker.bsky.social @saumjha.bsky.social @nathannunn.bsky.social
@david-schindler.de @dinapomeranz.bsky.social
@hmmlowe.bsky.social @vcharnysh.bsky.social @guoxu.bsky.social @heycheckthisout.bsky.social
@jvoth.bsky.social @essobecker.bsky.social @saumjha.bsky.social @nathannunn.bsky.social
@david-schindler.de @dinapomeranz.bsky.social
@hmmlowe.bsky.social @vcharnysh.bsky.social @guoxu.bsky.social @heycheckthisout.bsky.social
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
Full paper: ssrn.com/abstract=5007109
Want a quick overview? Check out this 12-min AI-generated podcast!
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/guo...
See more on my website: gjiang-economics.github.io
#EconJobMarket
Want a quick overview? Check out this 12-min AI-generated podcast!
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/guo...
See more on my website: gjiang-economics.github.io
#EconJobMarket
No Fairness, No Cooperation: Draft Dodging by the Rich and Voluntary Enlistment in World War II
Conscription in the US during World War II favored the rich. This paper first documents this fact and then examines its effects on voluntary enlistment through
ssrn.com
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
Full paper: ssrn.com/abstract=5007109
Want a quick overview? Check out this 12-min AI-generated podcast!
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/guo...
See more on my website: gjiang-economics.github.io
#EconJobMarket
Want a quick overview? Check out this 12-min AI-generated podcast!
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/guo...
See more on my website: gjiang-economics.github.io
#EconJobMarket
🚨 Why this matters: 🚨
When govts ask citizens to contribute, perceived fairness is essential - not optional. See a recent example in Ukraine (www.reuters.com/world/europe...)
This is why inclusive institutions that treat everyone fairly are crucial (as the 2024 econ Nobel laureates argue)
[8/8]
When govts ask citizens to contribute, perceived fairness is essential - not optional. See a recent example in Ukraine (www.reuters.com/world/europe...)
This is why inclusive institutions that treat everyone fairly are crucial (as the 2024 econ Nobel laureates argue)
[8/8]
Ukraine's prosecutor general resigns amid draft-dodging scandal
Andriy Kostin took responsibility for a scandal in which dozens of officials are alleged to have abused their position to receive disability status and avoid military service.
www.reuters.com
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
🚨 Why this matters: 🚨
When govts ask citizens to contribute, perceived fairness is essential - not optional. See a recent example in Ukraine (www.reuters.com/world/europe...)
This is why inclusive institutions that treat everyone fairly are crucial (as the 2024 econ Nobel laureates argue)
[8/8]
When govts ask citizens to contribute, perceived fairness is essential - not optional. See a recent example in Ukraine (www.reuters.com/world/europe...)
This is why inclusive institutions that treat everyone fairly are crucial (as the 2024 econ Nobel laureates argue)
[8/8]
How large is the impact?
If the draft had been fair (no poorer-richer draft gap), volunteering would've jumped approximate 1/3!!
[7/8]
If the draft had been fair (no poorer-richer draft gap), volunteering would've jumped approximate 1/3!!
[7/8]
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
How large is the impact?
If the draft had been fair (no poorer-richer draft gap), volunteering would've jumped approximate 1/3!!
[7/8]
If the draft had been fair (no poorer-richer draft gap), volunteering would've jumped approximate 1/3!!
[7/8]
Endogeneity?
Instrumental var: lottery number gaps between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors 🎲 🎲
(Random lottery nums, lower = higher draft chance)
Higher nums for richer neighbors (in B's circle) ➡️ fewer richer drafted ➡️ bigger poorer-richer draft rate gap
[6/8]
Instrumental var: lottery number gaps between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors 🎲 🎲
(Random lottery nums, lower = higher draft chance)
Higher nums for richer neighbors (in B's circle) ➡️ fewer richer drafted ➡️ bigger poorer-richer draft rate gap
[6/8]
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
Endogeneity?
Instrumental var: lottery number gaps between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors 🎲 🎲
(Random lottery nums, lower = higher draft chance)
Higher nums for richer neighbors (in B's circle) ➡️ fewer richer drafted ➡️ bigger poorer-richer draft rate gap
[6/8]
Instrumental var: lottery number gaps between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors 🎲 🎲
(Random lottery nums, lower = higher draft chance)
Higher nums for richer neighbors (in B's circle) ➡️ fewer richer drafted ➡️ bigger poorer-richer draft rate gap
[6/8]
2️⃣ Did the lower drafting of higher-income neighbors affect volunteering?
Main spec:
▶️ Dependent var: binary indicator for individual volunteering
▶️ Independent var: draft rate gap between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors
[5/8]
Main spec:
▶️ Dependent var: binary indicator for individual volunteering
▶️ Independent var: draft rate gap between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors
[5/8]
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
2️⃣ Did the lower drafting of higher-income neighbors affect volunteering?
Main spec:
▶️ Dependent var: binary indicator for individual volunteering
▶️ Independent var: draft rate gap between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors
[5/8]
Main spec:
▶️ Dependent var: binary indicator for individual volunteering
▶️ Independent var: draft rate gap between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors
[5/8]
For example:
▶️ Doctor connections ➡️ 11% higher health exemptions
▶️ The richer had more doctor connections
If lower drafting of the rich was observed, esp. among neighbors, it was perceived as unfair
[4/8]
▶️ Doctor connections ➡️ 11% higher health exemptions
▶️ The richer had more doctor connections
If lower drafting of the rich was observed, esp. among neighbors, it was perceived as unfair
[4/8]
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
For example:
▶️ Doctor connections ➡️ 11% higher health exemptions
▶️ The richer had more doctor connections
If lower drafting of the rich was observed, esp. among neighbors, it was perceived as unfair
[4/8]
▶️ Doctor connections ➡️ 11% higher health exemptions
▶️ The richer had more doctor connections
If lower drafting of the rich was observed, esp. among neighbors, it was perceived as unfair
[4/8]
1️⃣ These fairness concerns in Gallup polls were well-founded:
▶️ Highest income group's draft rate = *half* that of lowest income group
▶️ Rich more likely to get exemptions
Their exemptions? More questionable...
[3/8]
▶️ Highest income group's draft rate = *half* that of lowest income group
▶️ Rich more likely to get exemptions
Their exemptions? More questionable...
[3/8]
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
1️⃣ These fairness concerns in Gallup polls were well-founded:
▶️ Highest income group's draft rate = *half* that of lowest income group
▶️ Rich more likely to get exemptions
Their exemptions? More questionable...
[3/8]
▶️ Highest income group's draft rate = *half* that of lowest income group
▶️ Rich more likely to get exemptions
Their exemptions? More questionable...
[3/8]
Key context:
▶️ 12 million draftees and 6 million volunteers during WW2
▶️ 20% of Gallup respondents perceived the draft as unfair
▶️ Main complaints: ‘favoritism’, ‘money talks’, and ‘some use pull to get out of draft’
Based on newly digitized military records, I show 🧵
[2/8]
▶️ 12 million draftees and 6 million volunteers during WW2
▶️ 20% of Gallup respondents perceived the draft as unfair
▶️ Main complaints: ‘favoritism’, ‘money talks’, and ‘some use pull to get out of draft’
Based on newly digitized military records, I show 🧵
[2/8]
November 10, 2024 at 9:36 AM
Key context:
▶️ 12 million draftees and 6 million volunteers during WW2
▶️ 20% of Gallup respondents perceived the draft as unfair
▶️ Main complaints: ‘favoritism’, ‘money talks’, and ‘some use pull to get out of draft’
Based on newly digitized military records, I show 🧵
[2/8]
▶️ 12 million draftees and 6 million volunteers during WW2
▶️ 20% of Gallup respondents perceived the draft as unfair
▶️ Main complaints: ‘favoritism’, ‘money talks’, and ‘some use pull to get out of draft’
Based on newly digitized military records, I show 🧵
[2/8]