due to the decreased earnings exemption and decline in the base benefit level, ADAP clients with earned income less than about $2,100/month will be financially worse off.

It’s been a long few days. Starting Saturday morning, I ran 26 loops of the Grassroots Backyard = 174.46km. This was a PB for me, I was the last woman standing, and I set a course record for women. I couldn’t have done it without my amazing crew and support from my local park runners.

A bit of a different post today. I spent the last 3 days racing the rocks in Moab Utah. It’s been epic! Managed a 9th place finish overall and only 1 blister 😅

This figure shows that gains/loss to families by age of child, child care type, and parents income if child care costs $1,100 before the grant.

This figure shows that gains/loss to families by age of child, child care type, and parents income if child care costs $900 before the grant.

We also see an increase in exits suggests stricter means-testing requirements may prevent IA recipients from leaving IA.

We find no effect on new entries but an increase in re-entries consistent with the hypothesis that stricter means-testing requirements do not police new entries but may police re-entry for past IA recipients (stronger for those with knowledge of the change).

The same pattern is seen on gst for alcoholic beverages. Families in lower income deciles pay less ($50-$55 for first 3 deciles, $70-$90 for next 4 deciles, before a large increase for the top two deciles ($132-180).

GST on restaurants and accommodation (I can't separate accmo. from restaurant) is low for families in lower income deciles and then jumps drastically for the top two income deciles.

Looking at specific categories, gst on food and non-alcoholic beverages (not including restaurants) is low across all deciles because there's not much grocery store food that has gst on it. But gst on food is still higher for higher income deciles.

GST paid by families increase as disposable income increases. Families in the first decile pay an average of $1,495/year whereas families in the top decile pay $4,245/year.

AB already has one of the lowest income benefit levels across provinces.

This means that real benefits decline. Here I show benefits relative to the MBM threshold.

Using the Conference Board of Canada's CPI estimates for AB, I look at what monthly benefits would be if benefits are fully indexed vs. only partially indexed as proposed. If CPI exceeds 2% in any one year (e.g., in 2024), benefits diverge and that "gap" will continue into future years

I'll be presenting mine and @lindsaytedds.bsky.social
paper "Vertical (In)Equities in Calgary Property Assessments: Decomposing Inequities Between Vulnerable and Non-Vulnerable Communities" on Fri @ 10:30 am (POD366). Come say hi and learn about property tax #ACEA2024 #cdnecon