George Riddell
georgeriddell.bsky.social
George Riddell
@georgeriddell.bsky.social
Trade policy, services & sustainability. Cares about fish & oceans. Views expressed etc etc
I'll take the blame for that one.
a cartoon dog says squirrel to a man in glasses
ALT: a cartoon dog says squirrel to a man in glasses
media.tenor.com
December 11, 2024 at 1:25 PM
We're into vibes based trade policy - where does a product "feel" like it comes from.

Predictability definitely been jettisoned.
December 4, 2024 at 2:04 PM
Agree entirely - definitely hasn't landed.

Interested in what you think the potential sustainability points are? See one angle that you could argue for shifting production based on sustainability factors as a primary reason.
December 4, 2024 at 1:56 PM
Agree, not that I've seen in the US. Would be interesting to see if it becomes an issue more than circumvention through other jurisdictions like Mexico where there's been pressure to match US tariffs.
December 4, 2024 at 1:48 PM
You can see where they've pulled from previous subsidies text at the WTO and FTAs. Including how they schedule non-conforming measures which is straight from services texts.

What's your take?
December 4, 2024 at 1:31 PM
It makes by brain hurt? From what I can see only Iceland and Switzerland have taken SCRM commitments. Costa Rica and NZ haven't. Even then their approaches totally different. Switzerland has done an aggregated figure while Iceland disaggregates at a product level.
December 4, 2024 at 1:31 PM
5/ And careful on the comms! Saying that you're relocating production because of higher tariffs could land you in trouble.
December 4, 2024 at 12:53 PM
4/ Build the business case for relocation which doesn't factor into account the lower tariffs. This would need to be robust and "objective" taking into account location, fixed costs, labour, political and regulatory environment. Lots to consider when building an evidence base.
December 4, 2024 at 12:53 PM
3/ Then no matter where a product is produced, it will be deemed to have "originated" for customs purposes from the original country which has had the higher tariffs imposed on it.

So what could companies do?
December 4, 2024 at 12:53 PM
2/ Main point is around what justifications can businesses use if they're looking to re-locate in order to shift production to avoid higher tariffs.

EU has said that if (based on objective factors) the "primary or predominant purpose" of the relocation is to circumvent the additional duties...
December 4, 2024 at 12:53 PM
So you can wear it as a hat?
a salmon is laying on top of a counter next to a stove .
ALT: a salmon is laying on top of a counter next to a stove .
media.tenor.com
December 4, 2024 at 11:23 AM
Just because you can, do you ever question whether you should?
December 4, 2024 at 11:19 AM
I know what you'll be getting for Christmas now @explaintrade.com...

It's a problem though - I don't think I own any plain socks.
November 28, 2024 at 3:33 PM
8/ Shameless plug - we have a newsletter which can deliver this straight to your inbox every fortnight.

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EY
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November 28, 2024 at 3:16 PM