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Once I have a bit more time and the character limits are lifted, I’ll be there too.
July 29, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Once I have a bit more time and the character limits are lifted, I’ll be there too.
After posting it on Twitter, I decided to share it here as well. I hope you will like it!
March 30, 2025 at 10:39 PM
After posting it on Twitter, I decided to share it here as well. I hope you will like it!
24/Could this lead to the Collapse of Iran regime?
The Iranian regime is not widely loved protests have grown in recent years.
If war destroys Iran’s economy, we could see mass uprisings.
But more likely: The regime cracks down harder, leading to a long, costly war for the US.
The Iranian regime is not widely loved protests have grown in recent years.
If war destroys Iran’s economy, we could see mass uprisings.
But more likely: The regime cracks down harder, leading to a long, costly war for the US.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
24/Could this lead to the Collapse of Iran regime?
The Iranian regime is not widely loved protests have grown in recent years.
If war destroys Iran’s economy, we could see mass uprisings.
But more likely: The regime cracks down harder, leading to a long, costly war for the US.
The Iranian regime is not widely loved protests have grown in recent years.
If war destroys Iran’s economy, we could see mass uprisings.
But more likely: The regime cracks down harder, leading to a long, costly war for the US.
23/The Strait of Hormuz is a vital chokepoint 20% of the world’s oil passes through it.
If Iran blocks it:
🔸 Oil prices skyrocket, risking a global recession.
🔸 Naval clashes with the U.S. & allies.
🔸 The U.S. have to use military force to reopen it.
If Iran blocks it:
🔸 Oil prices skyrocket, risking a global recession.
🔸 Naval clashes with the U.S. & allies.
🔸 The U.S. have to use military force to reopen it.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
23/The Strait of Hormuz is a vital chokepoint 20% of the world’s oil passes through it.
If Iran blocks it:
🔸 Oil prices skyrocket, risking a global recession.
🔸 Naval clashes with the U.S. & allies.
🔸 The U.S. have to use military force to reopen it.
If Iran blocks it:
🔸 Oil prices skyrocket, risking a global recession.
🔸 Naval clashes with the U.S. & allies.
🔸 The U.S. have to use military force to reopen it.
22/The Worst-Case Scenario:
Iran goes all-in on building a bomb.
A regional war erupts missiles hit Israel, U.S. bases, and Saudi Arabia.
Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz causing an oil crisis.
The U.S. gets dragged into a prolonged conflict.
Iran goes all-in on building a bomb.
A regional war erupts missiles hit Israel, U.S. bases, and Saudi Arabia.
Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz causing an oil crisis.
The U.S. gets dragged into a prolonged conflict.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
22/The Worst-Case Scenario:
Iran goes all-in on building a bomb.
A regional war erupts missiles hit Israel, U.S. bases, and Saudi Arabia.
Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz causing an oil crisis.
The U.S. gets dragged into a prolonged conflict.
Iran goes all-in on building a bomb.
A regional war erupts missiles hit Israel, U.S. bases, and Saudi Arabia.
Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz causing an oil crisis.
The U.S. gets dragged into a prolonged conflict.
21/The Most Likely Scenario If Iran’s Nuclear Sites Are Hit
1/Iran’s nuclear program is delayed, but not destroyed.
2/They rebuild at secret underground sites.
3/Iran retaliates with missile strikes on U.S. and Israel bases.
4/Oil prices rise due to tensions.
1/Iran’s nuclear program is delayed, but not destroyed.
2/They rebuild at secret underground sites.
3/Iran retaliates with missile strikes on U.S. and Israel bases.
4/Oil prices rise due to tensions.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
21/The Most Likely Scenario If Iran’s Nuclear Sites Are Hit
1/Iran’s nuclear program is delayed, but not destroyed.
2/They rebuild at secret underground sites.
3/Iran retaliates with missile strikes on U.S. and Israel bases.
4/Oil prices rise due to tensions.
1/Iran’s nuclear program is delayed, but not destroyed.
2/They rebuild at secret underground sites.
3/Iran retaliates with missile strikes on U.S. and Israel bases.
4/Oil prices rise due to tensions.
20/How Stuxnet Worked:
Infected USB drives introduced the virus into Iran’s systems.
Stuxnet silently sped up & slowed down centrifuges, causing them to self-destruct while appearing normal to Iranian engineers.
Result? 1,000 centrifuges destroyed.
Infected USB drives introduced the virus into Iran’s systems.
Stuxnet silently sped up & slowed down centrifuges, causing them to self-destruct while appearing normal to Iranian engineers.
Result? 1,000 centrifuges destroyed.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
20/How Stuxnet Worked:
Infected USB drives introduced the virus into Iran’s systems.
Stuxnet silently sped up & slowed down centrifuges, causing them to self-destruct while appearing normal to Iranian engineers.
Result? 1,000 centrifuges destroyed.
Infected USB drives introduced the virus into Iran’s systems.
Stuxnet silently sped up & slowed down centrifuges, causing them to self-destruct while appearing normal to Iranian engineers.
Result? 1,000 centrifuges destroyed.
19/The most successful attack on Iran's nuclear program wasn't a bomb it was a virus,
a highly sophisticated cyberweapon, widely reported to have been developed by the U.S. and Israel, designed to sabotage Iran's centrifuges at Natanz.
a highly sophisticated cyberweapon, widely reported to have been developed by the U.S. and Israel, designed to sabotage Iran's centrifuges at Natanz.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
19/The most successful attack on Iran's nuclear program wasn't a bomb it was a virus,
a highly sophisticated cyberweapon, widely reported to have been developed by the U.S. and Israel, designed to sabotage Iran's centrifuges at Natanz.
a highly sophisticated cyberweapon, widely reported to have been developed by the U.S. and Israel, designed to sabotage Iran's centrifuges at Natanz.
18/Can the U.S. or Israel Destroy Fordow?
Israel alone? No, it lacks bombs strong enough.
The U.S.? Maybe, using GBU-57 bunker busters but it would require multiple direct hits.
Guaranteed destruction? Only with nuclear weapons, which isn’t an option.
Israel alone? No, it lacks bombs strong enough.
The U.S.? Maybe, using GBU-57 bunker busters but it would require multiple direct hits.
Guaranteed destruction? Only with nuclear weapons, which isn’t an option.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
18/Can the U.S. or Israel Destroy Fordow?
Israel alone? No, it lacks bombs strong enough.
The U.S.? Maybe, using GBU-57 bunker busters but it would require multiple direct hits.
Guaranteed destruction? Only with nuclear weapons, which isn’t an option.
Israel alone? No, it lacks bombs strong enough.
The U.S.? Maybe, using GBU-57 bunker busters but it would require multiple direct hits.
Guaranteed destruction? Only with nuclear weapons, which isn’t an option.
17/What Happens If These Are Attacked?
Natanz/Fordow hit → Delays Iran but doesn’t stop them.
Isfahan hit → Uranium enrichment halts.
Arak hit → Risk of radiation.
Bushehr hit → Nuclear meltdown risk (Chernobyl style.)
Natanz/Fordow hit → Delays Iran but doesn’t stop them.
Isfahan hit → Uranium enrichment halts.
Arak hit → Risk of radiation.
Bushehr hit → Nuclear meltdown risk (Chernobyl style.)
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
17/What Happens If These Are Attacked?
Natanz/Fordow hit → Delays Iran but doesn’t stop them.
Isfahan hit → Uranium enrichment halts.
Arak hit → Risk of radiation.
Bushehr hit → Nuclear meltdown risk (Chernobyl style.)
Natanz/Fordow hit → Delays Iran but doesn’t stop them.
Isfahan hit → Uranium enrichment halts.
Arak hit → Risk of radiation.
Bushehr hit → Nuclear meltdown risk (Chernobyl style.)
16/Bushehr Iran’s Civilian Nuclear Plant
🔹 Built for electricity.
🔹 Not linked to weapons but could be risky to attack.
🔹 Striking it risks a nuclear disaster.
🔹 Built for electricity.
🔹 Not linked to weapons but could be risky to attack.
🔹 Striking it risks a nuclear disaster.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
16/Bushehr Iran’s Civilian Nuclear Plant
🔹 Built for electricity.
🔹 Not linked to weapons but could be risky to attack.
🔹 Striking it risks a nuclear disaster.
🔹 Built for electricity.
🔹 Not linked to weapons but could be risky to attack.
🔹 Striking it risks a nuclear disaster.
15/Arak: Iran’s Plutonium Pathway
🔹 A heavy-water reactor, potential plutonium source.
🔹 Iran disabled it under the 2015 deal but could restart.
🔹 Bombing it risks radiation contamination
🔹 A heavy-water reactor, potential plutonium source.
🔹 Iran disabled it under the 2015 deal but could restart.
🔹 Bombing it risks radiation contamination
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
15/Arak: Iran’s Plutonium Pathway
🔹 A heavy-water reactor, potential plutonium source.
🔹 Iran disabled it under the 2015 deal but could restart.
🔹 Bombing it risks radiation contamination
🔹 A heavy-water reactor, potential plutonium source.
🔹 Iran disabled it under the 2015 deal but could restart.
🔹 Bombing it risks radiation contamination
14/Isfahan: Where Uranium Gets Ready for Enrichment
🔹 Converts yellowcake (U₃O₈) into UF6 gas for enrichment.
🔹 Without this step, Natanz & Fordow can’t work.
🔹 A prime target destroying it halts enrichment.
🔹 Converts yellowcake (U₃O₈) into UF6 gas for enrichment.
🔹 Without this step, Natanz & Fordow can’t work.
🔹 A prime target destroying it halts enrichment.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
14/Isfahan: Where Uranium Gets Ready for Enrichment
🔹 Converts yellowcake (U₃O₈) into UF6 gas for enrichment.
🔹 Without this step, Natanz & Fordow can’t work.
🔹 A prime target destroying it halts enrichment.
🔹 Converts yellowcake (U₃O₈) into UF6 gas for enrichment.
🔹 Without this step, Natanz & Fordow can’t work.
🔹 A prime target destroying it halts enrichment.
13/Why is it important?
🔹 Too small for civilian use suspected military intent.
🔹 Can quickly produce 90% bomb-grade uranium.
🔹 Even bunker-busters might not destroy it.
🔹 Too small for civilian use suspected military intent.
🔹 Can quickly produce 90% bomb-grade uranium.
🔹 Even bunker-busters might not destroy it.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
13/Why is it important?
🔹 Too small for civilian use suspected military intent.
🔹 Can quickly produce 90% bomb-grade uranium.
🔹 Even bunker-busters might not destroy it.
🔹 Too small for civilian use suspected military intent.
🔹 Can quickly produce 90% bomb-grade uranium.
🔹 Even bunker-busters might not destroy it.
12/Fordow Iran’s Most Fortified Site:
High-security site built under a mountain.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium to 60% (originally 20%).
🔹 Harder to destroy than Natanz.
High-security site built under a mountain.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium to 60% (originally 20%).
🔹 Harder to destroy than Natanz.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
12/Fordow Iran’s Most Fortified Site:
High-security site built under a mountain.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium to 60% (originally 20%).
🔹 Harder to destroy than Natanz.
High-security site built under a mountain.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium to 60% (originally 20%).
🔹 Harder to destroy than Natanz.
11/Why is it important?
🔹 Produces most enriched uranium.
🔹 Targeted by Stuxnet in 2010.
🔹 Key for bomb development.
🔹 Produces most enriched uranium.
🔹 Targeted by Stuxnet in 2010.
🔹 Key for bomb development.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
11/Why is it important?
🔹 Produces most enriched uranium.
🔹 Targeted by Stuxnet in 2010.
🔹 Key for bomb development.
🔹 Produces most enriched uranium.
🔹 Targeted by Stuxnet in 2010.
🔹 Key for bomb development.
10/Natanz Iran’s Largest Enrichment Facility:
What is it?
🔹 Iran’s main enrichment site, partially underground but vulnerable to attack.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium using thousands of centrifuges (up to 60% purity)
What is it?
🔹 Iran’s main enrichment site, partially underground but vulnerable to attack.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium using thousands of centrifuges (up to 60% purity)
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
10/Natanz Iran’s Largest Enrichment Facility:
What is it?
🔹 Iran’s main enrichment site, partially underground but vulnerable to attack.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium using thousands of centrifuges (up to 60% purity)
What is it?
🔹 Iran’s main enrichment site, partially underground but vulnerable to attack.
What does it do?
🔹 Enriches uranium using thousands of centrifuges (up to 60% purity)
9/How Do Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Work?
1️⃣ Uranium mining & conversion → Turning uranium into gas.
2️⃣ Enrichment → Increasing uranium purity in centrifuges.
3️⃣ Fuel production or bomb-making → Based on enrichment.
4️⃣ Plutonium production → A separate bomb pathway.
👇
1️⃣ Uranium mining & conversion → Turning uranium into gas.
2️⃣ Enrichment → Increasing uranium purity in centrifuges.
3️⃣ Fuel production or bomb-making → Based on enrichment.
4️⃣ Plutonium production → A separate bomb pathway.
👇
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
9/How Do Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Work?
1️⃣ Uranium mining & conversion → Turning uranium into gas.
2️⃣ Enrichment → Increasing uranium purity in centrifuges.
3️⃣ Fuel production or bomb-making → Based on enrichment.
4️⃣ Plutonium production → A separate bomb pathway.
👇
1️⃣ Uranium mining & conversion → Turning uranium into gas.
2️⃣ Enrichment → Increasing uranium purity in centrifuges.
3️⃣ Fuel production or bomb-making → Based on enrichment.
4️⃣ Plutonium production → A separate bomb pathway.
👇
8/ If the U.S. or Israel strikes, main targets would be:
Natanz → Largest enrichment site, partially underground
Fordow → Deep under a mountain, hard to destroy.
Isfahan → Converts uranium into gas.
Arak → Potential plutonium source.
Bushehr → Civilian plant, risky target.
Natanz → Largest enrichment site, partially underground
Fordow → Deep under a mountain, hard to destroy.
Isfahan → Converts uranium into gas.
Arak → Potential plutonium source.
Bushehr → Civilian plant, risky target.
March 30, 2025 at 10:38 PM
8/ If the U.S. or Israel strikes, main targets would be:
Natanz → Largest enrichment site, partially underground
Fordow → Deep under a mountain, hard to destroy.
Isfahan → Converts uranium into gas.
Arak → Potential plutonium source.
Bushehr → Civilian plant, risky target.
Natanz → Largest enrichment site, partially underground
Fordow → Deep under a mountain, hard to destroy.
Isfahan → Converts uranium into gas.
Arak → Potential plutonium source.
Bushehr → Civilian plant, risky target.