generalist-idiot.bsky.social
@generalist-idiot.bsky.social
When
January 27, 2026 at 10:27 PM
Long Brazil/Philippines / short US until the multiples converge
January 12, 2026 at 1:45 AM
Woke 3.0 is guillotines
January 11, 2026 at 2:52 AM
Price target?
January 9, 2026 at 10:05 PM
And to be clear I was mega short in spring last year on the thesis that “nobody will invest in the US in these conditions” and it worked extremely well- until it became clear everyone would keep investing in the US anyway. Didn’t expect it, but I learned that it takes a lot to shift the flows
January 8, 2026 at 12:05 AM
Markets are very indifferent to politics outside of how they directly affect corporations. That’s been drilled pretty consistently. This is tragic but does it change corporate earnings?
January 7, 2026 at 11:15 PM
Wow, we’re in the “fascist Italy bullish analogy” inning of US markets
January 7, 2026 at 9:39 PM
Indivisible?
January 7, 2026 at 6:33 PM
That’s what passes for a shirt in Atlanta?
January 6, 2026 at 9:29 PM
Also I think the place to be long is idiosyncratic med and biotech
January 6, 2026 at 5:19 AM
I agree with everything except I think gold is going to draw down too. It’s just another form of speculative excess and it will go the same direction as everything else
January 6, 2026 at 5:05 AM
Yes it is a bad deal for them. But they could be coerced if that’s the plan. Oil won’t stay low forever. Of course, it’s all dumb but I’m trying to guess what could be the idea
January 4, 2026 at 7:09 PM
Isn’t it pretty good strategically to keep the price of oil ultra low? Middle East and Russia would be very unhappy, US consumers and industry would be happy. US oil companies are the collateral damage. Not sure if that’s the plan but it’s A plan.
January 4, 2026 at 3:57 PM
General human tendency for crowds to not react fast enough in a fast moving crisis, probably nothing new

m.youtube.com/watch?v=rO0i...
The Station Nightclub Fire WARNING Graphic
YouTube video by Environmental Safety Services
m.youtube.com
January 3, 2026 at 12:42 AM