Omar García-Ponce
@garciaponce.bsky.social
• PoliSci & Int’l Affairs Prof at GWU
• Researching politics, crime, & violence
• NYU & Colmex alumnus
• Mexicano 🇲🇽
• Website: http://omargarciaponce.com/
• Researching politics, crime, & violence
• NYU & Colmex alumnus
• Mexicano 🇲🇽
• Website: http://omargarciaponce.com/
In Mexico, the share of income captured by the 1% has declined noticeably in recent years. This shift toward lower income concentration—alongside poverty reduction—helps explain not only the popularity of AMLO and Sheinbaum, but also some of the ongoing political battles and sources of polarization.
November 16, 2025 at 6:50 PM
In Mexico, the share of income captured by the 1% has declined noticeably in recent years. This shift toward lower income concentration—alongside poverty reduction—helps explain not only the popularity of AMLO and Sheinbaum, but also some of the ongoing political battles and sources of polarization.
Ecuador's homicide rate remains astoundingly high, hovering around 40 per 100,000 people in the past couple of years.
July 1, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Ecuador's homicide rate remains astoundingly high, hovering around 40 per 100,000 people in the past couple of years.
🚨Now Accepting Applications!
The Data Analytics for Policy Professionals (DAPP) program at GW’s Elliott School is offering new courses this Summer & Fall.
Designed for policy professionals looking to sharpen their data skills.
Learn more & apply 👉 elliott.gwu.edu/data-analyti...
The Data Analytics for Policy Professionals (DAPP) program at GW’s Elliott School is offering new courses this Summer & Fall.
Designed for policy professionals looking to sharpen their data skills.
Learn more & apply 👉 elliott.gwu.edu/data-analyti...
May 30, 2025 at 8:25 PM
🚨Now Accepting Applications!
The Data Analytics for Policy Professionals (DAPP) program at GW’s Elliott School is offering new courses this Summer & Fall.
Designed for policy professionals looking to sharpen their data skills.
Learn more & apply 👉 elliott.gwu.edu/data-analyti...
The Data Analytics for Policy Professionals (DAPP) program at GW’s Elliott School is offering new courses this Summer & Fall.
Designed for policy professionals looking to sharpen their data skills.
Learn more & apply 👉 elliott.gwu.edu/data-analyti...
Based on official data, these are the homicide and disappearance rates in Mexico since the onset of the drug war.
Over 100K people have been reported missing & remain unlocated, while nearly half a million have been killed since 2007.
One key question is how many of the disappeared remain alive?
Over 100K people have been reported missing & remain unlocated, while nearly half a million have been killed since 2007.
One key question is how many of the disappeared remain alive?
May 16, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Based on official data, these are the homicide and disappearance rates in Mexico since the onset of the drug war.
Over 100K people have been reported missing & remain unlocated, while nearly half a million have been killed since 2007.
One key question is how many of the disappeared remain alive?
Over 100K people have been reported missing & remain unlocated, while nearly half a million have been killed since 2007.
One key question is how many of the disappeared remain alive?
12/12 Finally, many fantastic scholars have contributed to the field. Here is some of the work cited!
April 16, 2025 at 1:50 AM
12/12 Finally, many fantastic scholars have contributed to the field. Here is some of the work cited!
2/ Surprisingly, the study of organized crime and criminal violence within political science is relatively recent, but it has gained significant attention in recent years, as evidenced by publication trends in leading political science and comparative politics journals.
April 16, 2025 at 1:50 AM
2/ Surprisingly, the study of organized crime and criminal violence within political science is relatively recent, but it has gained significant attention in recent years, as evidenced by publication trends in leading political science and comparative politics journals.
1/ I just published a new article titled “Criminal Violence, the State, & Society” in the Annual Review of Political Science, which examines the growing political science research on criminal violence over the past 15 years.
Link 👉https://go.shr.lc/3GnoH7f
Here is a summary of some key insights...
Link 👉https://go.shr.lc/3GnoH7f
Here is a summary of some key insights...
April 16, 2025 at 1:50 AM
1/ I just published a new article titled “Criminal Violence, the State, & Society” in the Annual Review of Political Science, which examines the growing political science research on criminal violence over the past 15 years.
Link 👉https://go.shr.lc/3GnoH7f
Here is a summary of some key insights...
Link 👉https://go.shr.lc/3GnoH7f
Here is a summary of some key insights...
4/4 Opposition leadership? Nonexistent.
31% say “nobody” represents it best, and 57% can’t name a standout figure.
Morena’s grip tightens as traditional parties fade and the opposition flounders.
31% say “nobody” represents it best, and 57% can’t name a standout figure.
Morena’s grip tightens as traditional parties fade and the opposition flounders.
February 27, 2025 at 10:27 PM
4/4 Opposition leadership? Nonexistent.
31% say “nobody” represents it best, and 57% can’t name a standout figure.
Morena’s grip tightens as traditional parties fade and the opposition flounders.
31% say “nobody” represents it best, and 57% can’t name a standout figure.
Morena’s grip tightens as traditional parties fade and the opposition flounders.
3/ Morena’s strength ties to its presidential win last year.
Party identification soared from 27% (May 2024) to 47% (Nov 2024), now steady at 45%. Meanwhile, PAN & PRI have cratered to under 5% each.
Also, 70% view Morena favorably, while over 60% see PAN and PRI negatively.
Party identification soared from 27% (May 2024) to 47% (Nov 2024), now steady at 45%. Meanwhile, PAN & PRI have cratered to under 5% each.
Also, 70% view Morena favorably, while over 60% see PAN and PRI negatively.
February 27, 2025 at 10:27 PM
3/ Morena’s strength ties to its presidential win last year.
Party identification soared from 27% (May 2024) to 47% (Nov 2024), now steady at 45%. Meanwhile, PAN & PRI have cratered to under 5% each.
Also, 70% view Morena favorably, while over 60% see PAN and PRI negatively.
Party identification soared from 27% (May 2024) to 47% (Nov 2024), now steady at 45%. Meanwhile, PAN & PRI have cratered to under 5% each.
Also, 70% view Morena favorably, while over 60% see PAN and PRI negatively.
2/ For the first time, neither PAN nor PRI holds 2nd place in voting preferences.
Movimiento Ciudadano takes it with 10%, signaling a historic shift away from traditional parties since 2018.
Movimiento Ciudadano takes it with 10%, signaling a historic shift away from traditional parties since 2018.
February 27, 2025 at 10:27 PM
2/ For the first time, neither PAN nor PRI holds 2nd place in voting preferences.
Movimiento Ciudadano takes it with 10%, signaling a historic shift away from traditional parties since 2018.
Movimiento Ciudadano takes it with 10%, signaling a historic shift away from traditional parties since 2018.
1/ A recent poll by Buendía & Márquez confirms that Morena’s consolidation as Mexico's leading political force has gone hand in hand with the continued weakening of both the PRI and the PAN.
February 27, 2025 at 10:27 PM
1/ A recent poll by Buendía & Márquez confirms that Morena’s consolidation as Mexico's leading political force has gone hand in hand with the continued weakening of both the PRI and the PAN.
During her morning press conference, President Sheinbaum discussed the map I created showing U.S. gun dealers along the border with Mexico!
Here are two versions I created of the map:
High-resolution
www.datawrapper.de/_/XlHLl/
Interactive version on Google Maps
www.google.com/maps/d/viewe...
Here are two versions I created of the map:
High-resolution
www.datawrapper.de/_/XlHLl/
Interactive version on Google Maps
www.google.com/maps/d/viewe...
February 7, 2025 at 4:18 PM
During her morning press conference, President Sheinbaum discussed the map I created showing U.S. gun dealers along the border with Mexico!
Here are two versions I created of the map:
High-resolution
www.datawrapper.de/_/XlHLl/
Interactive version on Google Maps
www.google.com/maps/d/viewe...
Here are two versions I created of the map:
High-resolution
www.datawrapper.de/_/XlHLl/
Interactive version on Google Maps
www.google.com/maps/d/viewe...
And as we showed in a study published in the APSR some time ago, the expiration of the federal assault weapons ban in the U.S. contributed to the wave of violence in Mexico. See paper here:
omargarciaponce.com/wp-content/u...
omargarciaponce.com/wp-content/u...
February 3, 2025 at 3:58 AM
And as we showed in a study published in the APSR some time ago, the expiration of the federal assault weapons ban in the U.S. contributed to the wave of violence in Mexico. See paper here:
omargarciaponce.com/wp-content/u...
omargarciaponce.com/wp-content/u...
President Sheinbaum rightly highlights the role of US guns in fueling cartel violence. I mapped the thousands of gun dealers along the border states—nearly 9K. If the US is serious about fighting cartels, it must confront its own arms industry. #USMexico www.datawrapper.de/_/XlHLl/
February 2, 2025 at 4:05 PM
President Sheinbaum rightly highlights the role of US guns in fueling cartel violence. I mapped the thousands of gun dealers along the border states—nearly 9K. If the US is serious about fighting cartels, it must confront its own arms industry. #USMexico www.datawrapper.de/_/XlHLl/
3/ Mexicans are particularly worried about Trump's promised mass deportations of Mexican and Latin American immigrants. This fear has grown from 68% in November to 78% in January.
January 30, 2025 at 2:15 AM
3/ Mexicans are particularly worried about Trump's promised mass deportations of Mexican and Latin American immigrants. This fear has grown from 68% in November to 78% in January.
2/ What's Trump's reputation in Mexico? According to a recent poll from El Financiero, 81% of Mexicans view him negatively, and 79% expect him to be aggressive toward Mexico.
January 30, 2025 at 2:15 AM
2/ What's Trump's reputation in Mexico? According to a recent poll from El Financiero, 81% of Mexicans view him negatively, and 79% expect him to be aggressive toward Mexico.
New important research by Guillermo Trejo & @natanski.bsky.social on violence against local journalists in Mexico's drug war.
"Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists"
Link here: bit.ly/4h1R74j
"Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists"
Link here: bit.ly/4h1R74j
January 16, 2025 at 1:58 AM
New important research by Guillermo Trejo & @natanski.bsky.social on violence against local journalists in Mexico's drug war.
"Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists"
Link here: bit.ly/4h1R74j
"Silencing the Press in Criminal Wars: Why the War on Drugs Turned Mexico into the World’s Most Dangerous Country for Journalists"
Link here: bit.ly/4h1R74j
Mexico’s postrevolutionary state prioritized the development of urban centers, heavily concentrating infrastructure in Mexico City—a legacy still shaping healthcare access today. See "Healing in the Capital: Medical Journeys and Hospital Care in Postrevolutionary Mexico" by @hidalgosara.bsky.social
December 21, 2024 at 1:02 AM
Mexico’s postrevolutionary state prioritized the development of urban centers, heavily concentrating infrastructure in Mexico City—a legacy still shaping healthcare access today. See "Healing in the Capital: Medical Journeys and Hospital Care in Postrevolutionary Mexico" by @hidalgosara.bsky.social
Hace años que no visitaba el Espacio Escultórico de la UNAM. Qué gran lugar.
November 28, 2024 at 2:11 PM
Hace años que no visitaba el Espacio Escultórico de la UNAM. Qué gran lugar.
Looking forward to sharing the findings from new work with Julio Ríos on the perceived tradeoff between security and democracy in Mexico.
Presenting at ITAM in Mexico City this Thanksgiving Day!
Presenting at ITAM in Mexico City this Thanksgiving Day!
November 12, 2024 at 12:20 AM
Looking forward to sharing the findings from new work with Julio Ríos on the perceived tradeoff between security and democracy in Mexico.
Presenting at ITAM in Mexico City this Thanksgiving Day!
Presenting at ITAM in Mexico City this Thanksgiving Day!
Thousands of women protested in 1952 to demand that President Ruíz Cortines fulfill his promise to grant them the right to vote. A year later, the decree recognizing their political rights was published. Today marks the beginning of Claudia Sheinbaum’s term as the first female president of Mexico.
October 2, 2024 at 1:04 AM
Thousands of women protested in 1952 to demand that President Ruíz Cortines fulfill his promise to grant them the right to vote. A year later, the decree recognizing their political rights was published. Today marks the beginning of Claudia Sheinbaum’s term as the first female president of Mexico.
López Obrador ends his administration with 71% approval (the highest in Mexico’s democratic era), while Sheinbaum begins with high expectations of a better performance. Security remains the most pressing issue among Mexicans.
September 26, 2024 at 2:06 PM
López Obrador ends his administration with 71% approval (the highest in Mexico’s democratic era), while Sheinbaum begins with high expectations of a better performance. Security remains the most pressing issue among Mexicans.
"Moral reasoning & support for punitive violence after crime" just published in JPR journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
We explore the moral frames behind support for punitive violence in Michoacán 🇲🇽.
We open with a quote from a Mex. City congress member illustrating the use of dehumanization 👇
We explore the moral frames behind support for punitive violence in Michoacán 🇲🇽.
We open with a quote from a Mex. City congress member illustrating the use of dehumanization 👇
August 7, 2024 at 1:26 AM
"Moral reasoning & support for punitive violence after crime" just published in JPR journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
We explore the moral frames behind support for punitive violence in Michoacán 🇲🇽.
We open with a quote from a Mex. City congress member illustrating the use of dehumanization 👇
We explore the moral frames behind support for punitive violence in Michoacán 🇲🇽.
We open with a quote from a Mex. City congress member illustrating the use of dehumanization 👇
Mexico elected its first female president, Claudia Sheinbaum, with nearly 60 percent of the popular vote and the most votes ever cast for a presidential candidate in the country’s history.
#polisky
#polisky
June 3, 2024 at 9:55 PM
Mexico elected its first female president, Claudia Sheinbaum, with nearly 60 percent of the popular vote and the most votes ever cast for a presidential candidate in the country’s history.
#polisky
#polisky