Guillermo Carranza
g-carranza.bsky.social
Guillermo Carranza
@g-carranza.bsky.social
PhD Student at Yale Economics. Labor, Economics and Politics. Tweets in EN/ES. Peruano 🇵🇪
Interesting economics all around in this article

www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Twelve Migrants Sharing a Queens Apartment
In New York City, a shadow economy helps new arrivals find a place to sleep. Sometimes it’s just a bed and a curtain.
www.newyorker.com
May 10, 2025 at 5:07 PM
The disability graph is stunning.
30 Charts That Show How Covid Changed Everything in March 2020
It can be easy to forget, or look away from, the pain and disruption of the pandemic. The numbers will be there to remind us.
www.nytimes.com
March 10, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Reposted by Guillermo Carranza
Pleased to share the latest version of my paper with Arthur Spirling and @lexipalmer.bsky.social on replication using LMs

We show:

1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...
December 17, 2024 at 7:50 PM
A 25% tariff on Mexican goods also likely increases the returns to illegal migration.
A broad 25% tariff on all goods imports from Canada and Mexico would, before substitution & other 2nd stage effects, put upward pressure on the level of consumer prices of +0.6%. That's the equivalent of an average loss in after-tax income of about $980 per household in 2023$.
Trump announces blanket tariffs on goods imported from Canada, Mexico, and China
November 26, 2024 at 12:35 AM
Reposted by Guillermo Carranza
Interested in *dynamic labor and family economics*?

Sure you are! 💪🏻

But you don’t know how/where to start?

You could have a look at the course I teach at University of Copenhagen: sites.google.com/view/househo...

#econsky
Household Behavior
Household Behavior over the Life Cycle
sites.google.com
November 23, 2024 at 8:18 AM
Reposted by Guillermo Carranza
Was great to see alums from my lab with Pascal Noel last week and to hear many of them present on topics in development, hh finance, education, behavioral, intl trade, and public!
November 17, 2024 at 7:29 PM