Rereading this it seems confusing, but I mean the amount of points projected to be obtained only from games still to be played

I think a decent proxy for a power ranking (discounting strength of schedule) would be future point projection (or ppg projection)

Would decouple past obtained points from model projections (which also gives a better explanation for the early season phenomenon of winning but proj points going down)

Por isso que deixei pra comprar o switch 2 só agora, minha última prova é segunda

Se comprasse antes meu semestre ia virar reforço do vasco

Love how Boston is 2/0/0 with a smaller projection than they begun with (and it seems very reasonable)

Bão

@cronooak.bsky.social :)

Is MVN the proper distribution here? By your description, it sounds like support should be limited to the simplex

O time já era medíocre, aí os dois Ds (McAvoy e Lindy) machucaram e o GM largou 100% a temporada

Fez certo? Provavelmente, mas agora tirando o Pasta ninguém atua na linha certa pra habilidade, tem jogador nível de 3a linha na 1a e de 4a linha na 2a

Ty very much! Only knew Talagrand from statmec for ML stuff, will check out all references - suprema of random processes sounds very interesting

Hi! PhD student in statistics here, taken undergrad and master's level probability but not a probabilist

Any known work on order/min/max distributions for dependent variables? Independent is well established, but for dependent I've only found super specific homework-like examples on stack overflow

Eu testei mas a biblioteca ainda é pequena, então fiquei no youtube

Minhas três franquias que mais escuto são Fire Emblem, Xenoblade e Pokémon, e delas só tem FE7 (de 16 jogos), Pokémon SV e LA (de sla quantos) e nenhum Xenoblade

Acho que perderam uma ótima oportunidade de botar o Piplup (que evolui pro Empoleon inspirado no Napoleão) em Kalos, e aí não teria dois da mesma gen

My go-to is the correlation between children's shoe size and reading skill - people grasp both that a correlation exists, and that there is no direct causal link so intervening on shoe size would be senseless (the causality is age being a confounder)

Probably got it from Pearl or Cunningham (?)

Meus sentimentos vini
Novo demais, que tristeza

Como ninguém comenta nada? A coisa que o cara é mais famoso é nunca ter ganhado nada

Ele foi pro bayern e não ganhou a bundesliga kkkkkkkkk

Civ 5 babylon is absolutely busted

Free scientist plant at writing gives you a huge early game tech advantage

Felizmente ninguém pediu pra tirar o gif do Chorão andando de skate da documentação de um outro modelo

Two great examples are GBA Fire Emblem, where the RNG is fixed and easy to advance for rigging, and Zelda Wind Waker, where it is fixed but the player has no control over advancing, generating uncertainty over time, and players use bayesian stats to discover the state (youtu.be/1hs451PfFzQ?...)