Frontline Democracy
@frontlinedemocracy.bsky.social
Johnson might be in a lot of trouble if Republicans lose next Tuesday:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Will December 2nd Become Trump's Worst Nightmare?
Morale is low among congressional Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms. A special election in Tennessee's 7th District could make matters a lot worse.
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 10:51 PM
Johnson might be in a lot of trouble if Republicans lose next Tuesday:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Anything under a 5 point victory would be a huge embarrassment for Republicans but I feel like if they lose they might actually panic
Then we could see mass resignations and retirements that could put Speaker Johnson in the described pickle
Then we could see mass resignations and retirements that could put Speaker Johnson in the described pickle
November 27, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Anything under a 5 point victory would be a huge embarrassment for Republicans but I feel like if they lose they might actually panic
Then we could see mass resignations and retirements that could put Speaker Johnson in the described pickle
Then we could see mass resignations and retirements that could put Speaker Johnson in the described pickle
Maybe, just maybe, he might not even make it to 2028 because he might be losing his grip on the GOP and with that, impeachment becomes much more realistic after 2026.
Funnily enough, all this may hinge on next Tuesday's election:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Funnily enough, all this may hinge on next Tuesday's election:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Will December 2nd Become Trump's Worst Nightmare?
Morale is low among congressional Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms. A special election in Tennessee's 7th District could make matters a lot worse.
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 10:24 PM
Maybe, just maybe, he might not even make it to 2028 because he might be losing his grip on the GOP and with that, impeachment becomes much more realistic after 2026.
Funnily enough, all this may hinge on next Tuesday's election:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Funnily enough, all this may hinge on next Tuesday's election:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Let's hope that December 2nd becomes a nightmare for Trump
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Will December 2nd Become Trump's Worst Nightmare?
Morale is low among congressional Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms. A special election in Tennessee's 7th District could make matters a lot worse.
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Let's hope that December 2nd becomes a nightmare for Trump
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/will-decem...
Meanwhile Hungarian voters approve of the EU by over 30 points. If the opposition manages to focus on EU-issues then Orbán should face a tough election. You can see the data here:
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
Voters' Love for the EU Poses Problem for Europe's Far-Right
Anti-EU parties are surging across Europe, but the latest data shows: Europeans really like the European Union.
open.substack.com
November 23, 2025 at 1:11 AM
Meanwhile Hungarian voters approve of the EU by over 30 points. If the opposition manages to focus on EU-issues then Orbán should face a tough election. You can see the data here:
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
Funnily enough, citizens in both Slovakia and Hungary have a favorable opinion of the EU. You can see the detailed approval by country in the post below:
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
Voters' Love for the EU Poses Problem for Europe's Far-Right
Anti-EU parties are surging across Europe, but the latest data shows: Europeans really like the European Union.
open.substack.com
November 23, 2025 at 1:02 AM
Funnily enough, citizens in both Slovakia and Hungary have a favorable opinion of the EU. You can see the detailed approval by country in the post below:
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
open.substack.com/pub/frontlin...
I don't think so. The use of the death penalty has declined, even in the US.
Nevertheless, it's the only Western country that uses the death penalty.
As you can see in the interactive chart, few democracies do:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Nevertheless, it's the only Western country that uses the death penalty.
As you can see in the interactive chart, few democracies do:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Democracies Abandon Death Penalty - Holdouts Remain
Are well-functioning Democracies more likely to abolish the death penalty? Take a look at our chart to find out.
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 30, 2025 at 1:07 PM
I don't think so. The use of the death penalty has declined, even in the US.
Nevertheless, it's the only Western country that uses the death penalty.
As you can see in the interactive chart, few democracies do:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Nevertheless, it's the only Western country that uses the death penalty.
As you can see in the interactive chart, few democracies do:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
The UK has long abandoned the death penalty. If Reform were to reverse this, the UK would join the US as the only two Western nations to still use capital punishment.
Only few other democracies retain the death penalty:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Only few other democracies retain the death penalty:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Democracies Abandon Death Penalty - Holdouts Remain
Are well-functioning Democracies more likely to abolish the death penalty? Take a look at our chart to find out.
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 30, 2025 at 12:54 PM
The UK has long abandoned the death penalty. If Reform were to reverse this, the UK would join the US as the only two Western nations to still use capital punishment.
Only few other democracies retain the death penalty:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Only few other democracies retain the death penalty:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Most Democracies have long abandoned the Death Penalty, but the US remains an outlier.
Take a look at my chart to see how the US compares to other nations:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Take a look at my chart to see how the US compares to other nations:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Democracies Abandon Death Penalty - Holdouts Remain
Are well-functioning Democracies more likely to abolish the death penalty? Take a look at our chart to find out.
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 30, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Most Democracies have long abandoned the Death Penalty, but the US remains an outlier.
Take a look at my chart to see how the US compares to other nations:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
Take a look at my chart to see how the US compares to other nations:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/democracie...
The FTPT system could give him a majority with under 30% of the vote.
Would you support an electoral reform? I've calculated how the results would look like and it turns out, the left is just as strong as the right:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Would you support an electoral reform? I've calculated how the results would look like and it turns out, the left is just as strong as the right:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 25, 2025 at 2:14 PM
The FTPT system could give him a majority with under 30% of the vote.
Would you support an electoral reform? I've calculated how the results would look like and it turns out, the left is just as strong as the right:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Would you support an electoral reform? I've calculated how the results would look like and it turns out, the left is just as strong as the right:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Would you support an electoral reform?
I did the math and a proportional system would drastically shift the outcome and the narrative:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I did the math and a proportional system would drastically shift the outcome and the narrative:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 25, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Would you support an electoral reform?
I did the math and a proportional system would drastically shift the outcome and the narrative:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I did the math and a proportional system would drastically shift the outcome and the narrative:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I appreciate your thoughts!
I used the current polling averages to make the seat allocation under a proportional system, as well as for the FTPT result (modeled with the Nowcast prediction tool)
Proportional election systems have proven themselves as a tool against radical parties across the globe
I used the current polling averages to make the seat allocation under a proportional system, as well as for the FTPT result (modeled with the Nowcast prediction tool)
Proportional election systems have proven themselves as a tool against radical parties across the globe
October 24, 2025 at 6:16 PM
I appreciate your thoughts!
I used the current polling averages to make the seat allocation under a proportional system, as well as for the FTPT result (modeled with the Nowcast prediction tool)
Proportional election systems have proven themselves as a tool against radical parties across the globe
I used the current polling averages to make the seat allocation under a proportional system, as well as for the FTPT result (modeled with the Nowcast prediction tool)
Proportional election systems have proven themselves as a tool against radical parties across the globe
Would you support it if Starmer pushed for electoral reform?
I've examined how a proportional election system would change the outcome based on current polls:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I've examined how a proportional election system would change the outcome based on current polls:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Would you support it if Starmer pushed for electoral reform?
I've examined how a proportional election system would change the outcome based on current polls:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I've examined how a proportional election system would change the outcome based on current polls:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
As you can see in the chart, Reform and Tories would fall short of a majority under the proportional system
The FPTP system gives Reform a majority with just 29% of the vote
The FPTP system gives Reform a majority with just 29% of the vote
October 24, 2025 at 4:41 PM
As you can see in the chart, Reform and Tories would fall short of a majority under the proportional system
The FPTP system gives Reform a majority with just 29% of the vote
The FPTP system gives Reform a majority with just 29% of the vote
Would you support it if Starmer changed the UK's electoral system to a proportional one?
I've looked into it and the results under a proportional sytsem would look very different:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I've looked into it and the results under a proportional sytsem would look very different:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Would you support it if Starmer changed the UK's electoral system to a proportional one?
I've looked into it and the results under a proportional sytsem would look very different:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I've looked into it and the results under a proportional sytsem would look very different:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Do you think Starmer should reform UK's electoral system?
I have calculated how the results would look like under a new and fairer system:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I have calculated how the results would look like under a new and fairer system:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Do you think Starmer should reform UK's electoral system?
I have calculated how the results would look like under a new and fairer system:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
I have calculated how the results would look like under a new and fairer system:
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Perhaps Starmer can reform the electoral system, then he at least has some kind of positive legacy
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 11:07 AM
Perhaps Starmer can reform the electoral system, then he at least has some kind of positive legacy
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
See!
Coalitions can work magic.
Coalitions can work magic.
October 24, 2025 at 10:33 AM
See!
Coalitions can work magic.
Coalitions can work magic.
Perhaps it wouldnt work in the UK but one failed coalition doesnt have to mean that
Personally I would love to dee a labor/greens/new democrats coalition one day
Personally I would love to dee a labor/greens/new democrats coalition one day
October 23, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Perhaps it wouldnt work in the UK but one failed coalition doesnt have to mean that
Personally I would love to dee a labor/greens/new democrats coalition one day
Personally I would love to dee a labor/greens/new democrats coalition one day
That's not necessarily true. Many countried function well with a three or two party coalition
It encourages compromise and stops radical parties, as research has shown.
Yes it can be a headache, but that's democracy
It encourages compromise and stops radical parties, as research has shown.
Yes it can be a headache, but that's democracy
October 23, 2025 at 6:40 PM
That's not necessarily true. Many countried function well with a three or two party coalition
It encourages compromise and stops radical parties, as research has shown.
Yes it can be a headache, but that's democracy
It encourages compromise and stops radical parties, as research has shown.
Yes it can be a headache, but that's democracy
I know and maybe reform will fade away until then
Nevertheless, the current system is soooo unrepresentative
Nevertheless, the current system is soooo unrepresentative
October 23, 2025 at 6:33 PM
I know and maybe reform will fade away until then
Nevertheless, the current system is soooo unrepresentative
Nevertheless, the current system is soooo unrepresentative
Reform is projected to win a majority right now, with just 29% of Britons voting for the party.
It may be time to abandon FPTP
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
It may be time to abandon FPTP
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 23, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Reform is projected to win a majority right now, with just 29% of Britons voting for the party.
It may be time to abandon FPTP
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
It may be time to abandon FPTP
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Let's hope Starmer passes the long overdue electoral
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
Should the UK Change Its Electoral System?
The UK's FPTP electoral system is not meeting the challenges of the modern political era, and calls to switch to a proportional system are growing louder. What would that mean for the UK?
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 23, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Let's hope Starmer passes the long overdue electoral
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/should-the...
He can say "I didn't vote for this" all he wants but that doesn't change the fact that he is partly responsible for this.
I've recently covered just how incompetent these podcasters were
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/americas-j...
I've recently covered just how incompetent these podcasters were
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/americas-j...
America's Joe Rogan Problem
Male Podcasters like Joe Rogan, Theo Von, and Andrew Schulz might have helped Trump win the election. Now most of them say they were fooled.
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com
October 17, 2025 at 5:31 PM
He can say "I didn't vote for this" all he wants but that doesn't change the fact that he is partly responsible for this.
I've recently covered just how incompetent these podcasters were
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/americas-j...
I've recently covered just how incompetent these podcasters were
frontlinedemocracydispatch.substack.com/p/americas-j...