FPL Twikael
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FPL Twikael
@fpltwikael.bsky.social
Sports enthusiast and Marketing analyst. Former fullback at Finnish 🇫🇮 6th division. ⚽️ XG forecast model building 23-25 📈🔮HJK Helsinki & MUTD👹, CM 01-02
#FPL #GW12 xg predictions: 🔮

Likely moves this week are:
Eze->Bruno
Gab>VVD with 2/2ft

X-mas time is coming, so good to prepare for the fixture crunch in advance.

Saka cap highest upside, but will settle for 🤖 at 793k 🌍 rank 📈

May the xg luck be on your side! ⚽️✨💫
November 19, 2025 at 9:30 PM
#FPL #GW11 pxg predictions 🔮:

Rolling the transfer this week for some potential planned moves in GW12.

Cap close this gw so a cap matrix was needed to be considered, 🤖🇳🇴 takes the C win with a marginal edge over Enzo at 862k 🌍

Good luck ye ⚽️ punters! ✨💫
November 7, 2025 at 9:42 PM
#FPL #GW10 🔮 pxg predictions:
CRP-BRE 2.17-1.55 (Mateta 0,97pxg, Sarr 0,51)
LIV-AVL 2.03-0.57
MCI-BOU 2.03-1.1 (🤖🇳🇴 1,14pxg)
BUR-ARS 0.94-1.94
NFO-MUTD 0.63-2.01
WHU-LEE 1.74-1.82 (Woltemode 0,58pxg)
BRI-LEE 1.42-1.04
FUL-WOL 1.33-0.7
TOT-CHE 1.04-1.4
SUN-EVE 0.84-1.54
GL!🎃

🌍 r 1,2M
1ft Paq->Sarr
October 31, 2025 at 9:25 PM
#FPL #GW8 #WC8 aka the ”heist” locked and xg predictions modelled: 🔮🎲 Good luck and have a blast of a weekend folks! ⚽️
October 18, 2025 at 7:19 AM
#FPL #GW6 Moves made: 2ft, these are based on pxg model Twikael xg/outcome ⚽️predictions 🔮

Gakpo->B. Fernandes
Thiago-> Kroupi Jr

BRE-UTD 0.91-1.78 (1-2)
CHE-BRI 1.45-1.28 (1-1)
CRP-LIV 1.20-1.78 (1-2)
LEE-BOU 1.04-1.37 (1-1)
MCI-BUR 2.84-0.67 (3-0)

Good luck champs! 💫

🌏 rank 956k
September 26, 2025 at 8:44 PM
#FPL #GW4 first transfers made according to personal predictive xg algo: Raya in, Lacroix in, Andersen in.

🌍 rank 624k

Some selected pxg predictions for next gw:

ARS-NFO 2.06 (2) - 0.94 (1)
CPR-SUN 1.19 (1) - 0.59 (0)
FUL-LEE 1.21 (1) - 0.95 (1)
BUR-LIV 0.73 (0) - 2.76 (3)
September 12, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Did not go for United defenders this week because of Bruun Larsen 😅 was predicted to start, this is why predicted ⚽️ xg modelling can be fun sometimes 🔮 #FPL #Analytics #Predictive
August 30, 2025 at 5:40 PM
FPL GW1 xg model predictions: 🔮⚽️ #FPL #GW1 #BB 💣🧨💥✨💫 Good luck for the season fellow punters!! (Sneek peak for GW2 as well)
August 14, 2025 at 10:53 PM
#FPL #GW36 plans and some predicted xg plots 🔮

If feeling it/Haaland start leaked Isak to Haaland (C), if no strong leaks. Option B Murphy to Boomo (C). End of season climb has been decent so punting on a Haaland start and against Brentford/Forest assets is tempting ⚽️🎲
May 9, 2025 at 9:28 PM
#FPL #GW35 template buster via Salah -> KDB about 15 seconds pre DL / limited xg predictions via quick euro game turnaround. GL punters! ✨🎲 (rank 💩 600k 🌍 #Friday eve ⚽️
May 2, 2025 at 6:37 PM
#FPL #GW34 non free hit 2 free transfers made (Porro-> Sessegnon, Mateta-> Jackson according to highest upside xg predictions:

Season been in freeflow since gw 10, but let’s go for and end of season push towards top 200-100k via some differential punts. ⚽️🎲🔮 GL!
April 25, 2025 at 6:01 PM
#FPL #GW27 After last weeks unsuccessfull Leicester punts time to go again via a Boomoless template buster at Ass Man Greatness via -8 😺 (r. 1.25 Mil) . Good luck midweek ⚽️ warriors! ✨
February 25, 2025 at 4:39 PM
#FPL #GW26 So.. after the decent result from Emery last GW, let’s put this table bonus chip to a real max risk testout.

RVN and Vardy (C) 🥳🍸⚽️✨

Rank 1Mil.
February 21, 2025 at 7:17 PM
#FPL #DGW25 #ASSMAN active

Transfer JP to Jebbison done 5mins pre DL to free up money for Emery with options open to moving 1,5 Manager range next GW.. Hence the lovely 4-5-1 formation… Free hit 29 perhaps an option now to keep the Newcastle trio for double GW 32. Good luck Manager Champs! ✨
February 14, 2025 at 7:39 PM
#FPL #DGW24 Ready for the double and no analytics deepdive needed. Stadium hopping was the theme this week with a Sunny Saturday in Stockport as well as some Champions league last night ✨
January 30, 2025 at 7:29 PM
#FPL #GW23 pre analysis and moves for double gw24 planned.

TAA needed to come in already in 23 vs original plan of BB24 with 6 doublers.

Ipswich predicted xg vs Pool 0.61 so there is a very high chance for a Pool clean as well as Trent return on top (TAA predicted xgi 0.46 in my model) GL!
January 23, 2025 at 9:01 PM
#FPL #GW21 team 95% 🔓

After extensive (C) analysis, 🧢 goes to Gordon

-High chance for clean this week (Cunha pot. out)
-Toon should score min 2⚽️
-W Pot b line of Doherty, Bueno, Agbadou
=Newcastle mid/highest upside

(Disclaimer, Salah/Palmer more sensible xmins, xpoints)

Rank 800k, GL all! #risk
January 13, 2025 at 10:53 PM
#FPL #GW20

0,1 % Hill + O Shea waiting to stunt for Pool should 🌨️ the blitz arrive in Pool.. (Its allways sunny in Bournemouth)
January 4, 2025 at 7:44 PM
FPL 🎅🎄 transfers have been made (-4)

Scraping to a green arrow this week.

Analytics on holiday so no closer predictions for next gw week. (Might need to bench Rogers again 😬🛀)

Good luck and enjoy the festivities and ⚽️ all!
December 22, 2024 at 8:18 PM
#FPL #GW16 cap matrix and early plans:

Flekken to Raya or Alisson are options resting on Gab/euro games injury outcomes.

C on C. Palmer for now with the slight more upside on projected xg for Chelsea (2.42) vs Pool (2.18) in my predicted xg🔮 forecast. Final decisions pending..
December 11, 2024 at 1:08 PM
#FPL #GW13 predicted xg ⚽️🔮 forecasts make a comeback, as several great cap options this gw.

J. Pedro 🇧🇷 takes the Fri eve cap for me with an early lock via -4p forward moves. C. Palmer seems to have the highest ceiling. Wissa/Bre also great, but fixtures turn soon. Cheers🍻
November 28, 2024 at 9:56 PM
#FPL #GW12 Trent replacement decision made after mini clean sheet odds coinflip calcs (Lei🔮 xg vs Che 0,81, Soton1,23 vs Pool/VVD), Utd defs with New setup need monitoring as well as double Arse solution. Hojlund 🃏 up top might not even start 👹😈

🌍rank 1.2m

Trent-> Colwill (enables Saka later) GL!
November 22, 2024 at 9:16 PM
November 16, 2024 at 4:11 PM
A short FPL story 24-25, pre season, rigidly optimized for first 5 gw based on own xg modelling predictions. Then WC6, now hit season (GW11) or perhaps reversion back to analytics.. We shall see, at least 🇫🇮 U21 side brings hope for the future ✨
November 15, 2024 at 7:54 PM