David Fortunato
@fortunato.bsky.social
Studies comparative political economy (mostly legislatures in Europe and the US) at @gpsucsd.bsky.social at UC San Diego.
Proud Nutmegger and Hurricane.
Loves the Knicks, Giants, and Yankees.
http://www.davidfortunato.com/
Proud Nutmegger and Hurricane.
Loves the Knicks, Giants, and Yankees.
http://www.davidfortunato.com/
“let’s fire up the ol’ news app and see what’s going on in the wor-…” 😶
November 1, 2025 at 8:31 PM
“let’s fire up the ol’ news app and see what’s going on in the wor-…” 😶
Shout out to Sequential Potential for our dope teaser comic. They also designed the cover and teaser comic for my last book Cycle of Coalition. These are really fun to produce and help communicate the central point of the project. Highly recommend
spcomics.com
doi.org/10.1017/9781...
spcomics.com
doi.org/10.1017/9781...
August 18, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Shout out to Sequential Potential for our dope teaser comic. They also designed the cover and teaser comic for my last book Cycle of Coalition. These are really fun to produce and help communicate the central point of the project. Highly recommend
spcomics.com
doi.org/10.1017/9781...
spcomics.com
doi.org/10.1017/9781...
3/4
We show that voters respond to new party platforms and coalition formation, but responses are very different for government and opposition parties.
And we simultaneously model voters' uncertainty over party positions: ex. uncertainty is MUCH higher around EP elections than national elections
We show that voters respond to new party platforms and coalition formation, but responses are very different for government and opposition parties.
And we simultaneously model voters' uncertainty over party positions: ex. uncertainty is MUCH higher around EP elections than national elections
August 18, 2025 at 8:47 PM
3/4
We show that voters respond to new party platforms and coalition formation, but responses are very different for government and opposition parties.
And we simultaneously model voters' uncertainty over party positions: ex. uncertainty is MUCH higher around EP elections than national elections
We show that voters respond to new party platforms and coalition formation, but responses are very different for government and opposition parties.
And we simultaneously model voters' uncertainty over party positions: ex. uncertainty is MUCH higher around EP elections than national elections
1/4
Download our new book for FREE! Thiago, Laron, and I explain why studying whether and how voters know what parties want (and who goes with whom) is important and layout a framework for how to do this better. Check out the cover, promotional comic, and abstract
cup.org/4mkBibw
Download our new book for FREE! Thiago, Laron, and I explain why studying whether and how voters know what parties want (and who goes with whom) is important and layout a framework for how to do this better. Check out the cover, promotional comic, and abstract
cup.org/4mkBibw
August 18, 2025 at 8:47 PM
1/4
Download our new book for FREE! Thiago, Laron, and I explain why studying whether and how voters know what parties want (and who goes with whom) is important and layout a framework for how to do this better. Check out the cover, promotional comic, and abstract
cup.org/4mkBibw
Download our new book for FREE! Thiago, Laron, and I explain why studying whether and how voters know what parties want (and who goes with whom) is important and layout a framework for how to do this better. Check out the cover, promotional comic, and abstract
cup.org/4mkBibw
Our protest was peak San Diego. Chill, polite, and welcoming—we ran into a bunch of friends! But also MASSIVE. (Pic NBC 7 SD)
If you got out yesterday and had fun, tell your friends and family about it.
Gift link. defector.com/protests-big...
If you got out yesterday and had fun, tell your friends and family about it.
Gift link. defector.com/protests-big...
June 15, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Our protest was peak San Diego. Chill, polite, and welcoming—we ran into a bunch of friends! But also MASSIVE. (Pic NBC 7 SD)
If you got out yesterday and had fun, tell your friends and family about it.
Gift link. defector.com/protests-big...
If you got out yesterday and had fun, tell your friends and family about it.
Gift link. defector.com/protests-big...
1/3) This looks really bad, but it SHOULD be much worse. Investors and business leaders are waking up to trade uncertainty, but are still clearly in denial of the real threat: REPUBLICANS ARE DESTROYING THE RULE OF LAW
March 28, 2025 at 10:00 PM
1/3) This looks really bad, but it SHOULD be much worse. Investors and business leaders are waking up to trade uncertainty, but are still clearly in denial of the real threat: REPUBLICANS ARE DESTROYING THE RULE OF LAW
Jesus, we’re really doing this shit.
January 25, 2025 at 2:35 AM
Jesus, we’re really doing this shit.
Over 40k households are without power in Texas and this is a stirring success for the most poorly managed power grid in the modern world.
If thousands of Californians lost power every time there was a moderate demand surge it would trigger endless negative media coverage on Democratic leadership
If thousands of Californians lost power every time there was a moderate demand surge it would trigger endless negative media coverage on Democratic leadership
January 21, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Over 40k households are without power in Texas and this is a stirring success for the most poorly managed power grid in the modern world.
If thousands of Californians lost power every time there was a moderate demand surge it would trigger endless negative media coverage on Democratic leadership
If thousands of Californians lost power every time there was a moderate demand surge it would trigger endless negative media coverage on Democratic leadership
Found the single most Baltimore Christmas ornament ever on the in-laws’ tree this year
December 17, 2024 at 4:44 PM
Found the single most Baltimore Christmas ornament ever on the in-laws’ tree this year
The day’s progression from caffeine to alcohol
December 5, 2024 at 9:08 PM
The day’s progression from caffeine to alcohol
The data are clear: increased production similarity, trade integration, and co-participation in EU and EMU predict greater similarity in voters’ preferences across countries..
November 17, 2024 at 3:42 PM
The data are clear: increased production similarity, trade integration, and co-participation in EU and EMU predict greater similarity in voters’ preferences across countries..
We regress these estimates of preference similarity on the similarity of economic production (proportion of ag, manufacturing, services, etc.), its trade integration, and co-participation in the EU and EMU for each country pair. Have a look at the relationship for Germany and Portugal.
November 17, 2024 at 3:42 PM
We regress these estimates of preference similarity on the similarity of economic production (proportion of ag, manufacturing, services, etc.), its trade integration, and co-participation in the EU and EMU for each country pair. Have a look at the relationship for Germany and Portugal.
To show this we use the Eurobarometer to measure voter preference similarity for all county-pairs years from 1976-2022 for 30 European states (e.g. how similar are German preferences to the Portuguese in 2007). This table shows the most/least similar overall and the most/least convergent overall
November 17, 2024 at 3:42 PM
To show this we use the Eurobarometer to measure voter preference similarity for all county-pairs years from 1976-2022 for 30 European states (e.g. how similar are German preferences to the Portuguese in 2007). This table shows the most/least similar overall and the most/least convergent overall
Seems very smart! But looks like very very few searches, thus far.
October 31, 2024 at 3:10 AM
Seems very smart! But looks like very very few searches, thus far.
Pretty funny rank-order violation comparing leaners and weak partisans.
Do respondents choose from the 7 point scale or are “independents” asked a follow up “lean” question?
Do respondents choose from the 7 point scale or are “independents” asked a follow up “lean” question?
October 29, 2024 at 2:42 AM
Pretty funny rank-order violation comparing leaners and weak partisans.
Do respondents choose from the 7 point scale or are “independents” asked a follow up “lean” question?
Do respondents choose from the 7 point scale or are “independents” asked a follow up “lean” question?
More generally, we find the expected correlations: increased production similarity, trade integration, and co-participation in EU and EMU positively predict the convergence of voters’ preferences across countries..
September 30, 2024 at 9:12 PM
More generally, we find the expected correlations: increased production similarity, trade integration, and co-participation in EU and EMU positively predict the convergence of voters’ preferences across countries..
We regress these estimates of preference congruence on the dyad's similarity of economic production (proportion of ag, manufacturing, services, etc.), its trade integration, and co-participation in the EU and EMU. Have a look at the relationship for Germany and Portugal.
September 30, 2024 at 9:12 PM
We regress these estimates of preference congruence on the dyad's similarity of economic production (proportion of ag, manufacturing, services, etc.), its trade integration, and co-participation in the EU and EMU. Have a look at the relationship for Germany and Portugal.
To test this we use the Eurobarometer to measure how similar voter preference distributions are for all county-dyad years from 1976-2022 for 30 European states (e.g., German and Portuguese preferences in 2007). This table shows the most/least congruent overall and the most/least convergent overall
September 30, 2024 at 9:12 PM
To test this we use the Eurobarometer to measure how similar voter preference distributions are for all county-dyad years from 1976-2022 for 30 European states (e.g., German and Portuguese preferences in 2007). This table shows the most/least congruent overall and the most/least convergent overall
September 9, 2024 at 9:45 PM
Get your kicks right...
August 20, 2024 at 2:17 AM
Get your kicks right...
Get a load of this horseshit from @nytimes.com Daily.
The only policy Trump will admit to is a horrifying, inflationary 10% tax on everything that would harm basically everyone
Dems have real proposals they’re proud of that would be popular if media reported them
Do better.
The only policy Trump will admit to is a horrifying, inflationary 10% tax on everything that would harm basically everyone
Dems have real proposals they’re proud of that would be popular if media reported them
Do better.
July 25, 2024 at 5:39 PM
Get a load of this horseshit from @nytimes.com Daily.
The only policy Trump will admit to is a horrifying, inflationary 10% tax on everything that would harm basically everyone
Dems have real proposals they’re proud of that would be popular if media reported them
Do better.
The only policy Trump will admit to is a horrifying, inflationary 10% tax on everything that would harm basically everyone
Dems have real proposals they’re proud of that would be popular if media reported them
Do better.