The “forecast” is how many simulations out of 10,000 resulted in a scorigami.

The percentile column is just a percentile of all forecasts for the entire season.

The number resulting from each Forecastigami post is the number of simulations that are predicted to be a Scorigami (e.g., 5 = 5/10000 simulations).

Follow along for an awesome 2025 season of forecasting!

#NFL #Scorigami

This model is applied to 10,000 simulations of a game between any two teams. These simulations are created using the averages of each team's previous 17 games (regular season and postseason).

Forecastigami is a machine learning model that uses the previous 31 NFL seasons (since the inclusion of the 2pt conversion) to predict whether a game will end as a scorigami, or a unique score.