What a cliff hanger!

AUKUS is concerned with nuclear submarines, not diesel submarines. Lumping highly enriched uranium with fossil fuels is misleading. Without the submarines how else to secure maritime sovereignty beyond sending strongly worded letters? Honest question.

I wrote an article on how ants use stigmergy to create emergence for effective resource extraction on fitzgeraldsystems.com Great topic - interested to learn more.

I feel that shareholders are recognizing the disadvantages of an executive without a firm grasp on a company's product/service. Exhibit A is Boeing in the aftermath of its numerous product related face plants. After a decade the pendulum will swing in the opposite direction though.

For open complex systems to exist there is negative entropy, which brings order, evolution, resources and information to a system that would otherwise atrophy. Taking your point, journalists are agents of information and by extension agents of order. Interesting perspective.

Regrettable but common consequence when one branch of government doesn't talk to another.

You're right. Some would say it is impossible to design a complex solution that works the first time. The way to go imo is to trial a solution targetting a subset of the problem on a small population (eg at city level) and then iterate in complexity and expand coverage of the solution.

I'll take that as a compliment :)

I'll give you that it is near to impossible to design a complex solution and we shouldn't be waiting for a complex solution to land in our laps. I would advocate for an evolved approach starting with a narrow scope (e.g homeless in burrough X) to then grow to others based on return on experience.

Early days to draw causal links imo. I'm sure Transport Canada would be looking with interest LionC's functional safety architecture.

I would push back on that assertion. If simple solutions were available for complex problems then we would have solved all of our problems, either complex or simple. A simple solution like providing housing to the homeless ignores why the homeless are homeless in the first place.

For a closed system, eg machine, yes - entropy/chaos wins the long game. Not so for open systems that introduce negative entropy - order, information and resources. An open system is more likely to self-organize and self-repair itself.

Very interesting article. I recall the suggested sensemaking of complex systems, according to Cynefin Framework, is probe-sense-respond. If analysis is ineffective to understand a complex systems then perhaps it is ineffective to design a complex system too.

Following the Cynefin Framework, for a complex system causation is only attributable after the effect is felt. With the lag between probe and sense rendering the sensemaking ineffective we should trust previous causal links and go all out to reduce heat being dumped and retained. Alas.

Fitzgeraldsystems.com

'Civilisation' is a thin veneer over humanity's core instinct of survival. If someone's physical, mental, economic or social survival is at threat then the world collapses to the population of one, and all else be damned. Can we get past this zero-sum game?

Except it's unlikely they will achieve the 'does what you want' state.

Many of these complex systems were not designed to be resilient against people of authority on the inside taking an axe to it. Then again if Congress actually exercised its authority over appropriations rather than roll over then we wouldn't be in the same position we're in.

The probability of modification to a complex system is inversely proportional to the scope of the change. That said, however, if the mission objective is to make the system collapse then they will surely succeed.