Spencer Mossman
@fcmossman.bsky.social
Using 📊 to tell ⚽️ stories.
Bukayo Saka is the most relied-upon player in the #PremierLeague.
He has generated 18.5% of Arsenal's open play shot creating actions, most in the league.
There is nobody in the squad, nor available via transfer, that can replace his contributions.
Mini 🧵
#AFC #Arsenal
He has generated 18.5% of Arsenal's open play shot creating actions, most in the league.
There is nobody in the squad, nor available via transfer, that can replace his contributions.
Mini 🧵
#AFC #Arsenal
December 23, 2024 at 7:19 PM
Bukayo Saka is the most relied-upon player in the #PremierLeague.
He has generated 18.5% of Arsenal's open play shot creating actions, most in the league.
There is nobody in the squad, nor available via transfer, that can replace his contributions.
Mini 🧵
#AFC #Arsenal
He has generated 18.5% of Arsenal's open play shot creating actions, most in the league.
There is nobody in the squad, nor available via transfer, that can replace his contributions.
Mini 🧵
#AFC #Arsenal
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 4
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Nico Williams ('23/24 & '24/25)
- '22/23: Josh Sargent ('21/22)
- '23/24: Alexander Isak ('22/23)
- '24/25: João Pedro ('23/24)
#SGE
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Nico Williams ('23/24 & '24/25)
- '22/23: Josh Sargent ('21/22)
- '23/24: Alexander Isak ('22/23)
- '24/25: João Pedro ('23/24)
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 4
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Nico Williams ('23/24 & '24/25)
- '22/23: Josh Sargent ('21/22)
- '23/24: Alexander Isak ('22/23)
- '24/25: João Pedro ('23/24)
#SGE
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Nico Williams ('23/24 & '24/25)
- '22/23: Josh Sargent ('21/22)
- '23/24: Alexander Isak ('22/23)
- '24/25: João Pedro ('23/24)
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 3
It is important to evaluate something like pass % through the lens of positional peers because the further forward a player sees the ball, the higher density of defenders to space.
#SGE
It is important to evaluate something like pass % through the lens of positional peers because the further forward a player sees the ball, the higher density of defenders to space.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 3
It is important to evaluate something like pass % through the lens of positional peers because the further forward a player sees the ball, the higher density of defenders to space.
#SGE
It is important to evaluate something like pass % through the lens of positional peers because the further forward a player sees the ball, the higher density of defenders to space.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 2
To illustrate, the five center forwards with the highest npxG/90 in Europe's top 5 leagues this season, sorted by passing %:
🇫🇷 Hugo Ekitike: 75.0%
🇵🇱 Robert Lewandowski: 73.5%
🇳🇬 Victor Boniface: 72.4%
🇳🇴 Erling Haaland: 68.4%
🇳🇴 Alexander Sørloth: 64.2%
#SGE
To illustrate, the five center forwards with the highest npxG/90 in Europe's top 5 leagues this season, sorted by passing %:
🇫🇷 Hugo Ekitike: 75.0%
🇵🇱 Robert Lewandowski: 73.5%
🇳🇬 Victor Boniface: 72.4%
🇳🇴 Erling Haaland: 68.4%
🇳🇴 Alexander Sørloth: 64.2%
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 2
To illustrate, the five center forwards with the highest npxG/90 in Europe's top 5 leagues this season, sorted by passing %:
🇫🇷 Hugo Ekitike: 75.0%
🇵🇱 Robert Lewandowski: 73.5%
🇳🇬 Victor Boniface: 72.4%
🇳🇴 Erling Haaland: 68.4%
🇳🇴 Alexander Sørloth: 64.2%
#SGE
To illustrate, the five center forwards with the highest npxG/90 in Europe's top 5 leagues this season, sorted by passing %:
🇫🇷 Hugo Ekitike: 75.0%
🇵🇱 Robert Lewandowski: 73.5%
🇳🇬 Victor Boniface: 72.4%
🇳🇴 Erling Haaland: 68.4%
🇳🇴 Alexander Sørloth: 64.2%
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 1
As he has matured, he has turned into more of a 'strength of pass' forward, rather than a ball carrier.
#SGE
As he has matured, he has turned into more of a 'strength of pass' forward, rather than a ball carrier.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike In Possession pt. 1
As he has matured, he has turned into more of a 'strength of pass' forward, rather than a ball carrier.
#SGE
As he has matured, he has turned into more of a 'strength of pass' forward, rather than a ball carrier.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Goal Contributions pt. 3
The same pattern emerges as before... a solid comparable data point, a pretty bad comp, a comp to a player pre-breakout, and then a historic data point.
#SGE
The same pattern emerges as before... a solid comparable data point, a pretty bad comp, a comp to a player pre-breakout, and then a historic data point.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Goal Contributions pt. 3
The same pattern emerges as before... a solid comparable data point, a pretty bad comp, a comp to a player pre-breakout, and then a historic data point.
#SGE
The same pattern emerges as before... a solid comparable data point, a pretty bad comp, a comp to a player pre-breakout, and then a historic data point.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Goal Contributions pt. 2
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Jonathan David ('21/22)
- '22/23: Lyle Foster ('23/24)
- '23/24: Phil Foden ('21/22)
- '24/25: nobody
#SGE
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Jonathan David ('21/22)
- '22/23: Lyle Foster ('23/24)
- '23/24: Phil Foden ('21/22)
- '24/25: nobody
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Goal Contributions pt. 2
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Jonathan David ('21/22)
- '22/23: Lyle Foster ('23/24)
- '23/24: Phil Foden ('21/22)
- '24/25: nobody
#SGE
The comparable datapoints:
- '21/22: Jonathan David ('21/22)
- '22/23: Lyle Foster ('23/24)
- '23/24: Phil Foden ('21/22)
- '24/25: nobody
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Goal Contributions pt. 1
Same graph as before (poss. adjusted xG marks), but for U22 seasons.
Only Kylian Mbappe ('21/22) and Bradley Barcola ('24/25) join Ekitike as forwards in the 90th+ percentile for both.
Ekitike is by himself in terms of players in the 95th+ percentile.
#SGE
Same graph as before (poss. adjusted xG marks), but for U22 seasons.
Only Kylian Mbappe ('21/22) and Bradley Barcola ('24/25) join Ekitike as forwards in the 90th+ percentile for both.
Ekitike is by himself in terms of players in the 95th+ percentile.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Goal Contributions pt. 1
Same graph as before (poss. adjusted xG marks), but for U22 seasons.
Only Kylian Mbappe ('21/22) and Bradley Barcola ('24/25) join Ekitike as forwards in the 90th+ percentile for both.
Ekitike is by himself in terms of players in the 95th+ percentile.
#SGE
Same graph as before (poss. adjusted xG marks), but for U22 seasons.
Only Kylian Mbappe ('21/22) and Bradley Barcola ('24/25) join Ekitike as forwards in the 90th+ percentile for both.
Ekitike is by himself in terms of players in the 95th+ percentile.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike: The Improvement pt. 3
As it stands, Olise's campaign last year is the best season with 900+ minutes in my model, regardless of age (slightly edging out Neymar in '22/23).
Hugo Ekitike currently rates better.
#SGE
As it stands, Olise's campaign last year is the best season with 900+ minutes in my model, regardless of age (slightly edging out Neymar in '22/23).
Hugo Ekitike currently rates better.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike: The Improvement pt. 3
As it stands, Olise's campaign last year is the best season with 900+ minutes in my model, regardless of age (slightly edging out Neymar in '22/23).
Hugo Ekitike currently rates better.
#SGE
As it stands, Olise's campaign last year is the best season with 900+ minutes in my model, regardless of age (slightly edging out Neymar in '22/23).
Hugo Ekitike currently rates better.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike: The Improvement pt. 2
Some comparable datapoints to each of his four seasons:
- '21/22: Bukayo Saka & Gabriel Martinelli ('22/23)
- '22/23: Adam Hložek ('22/23)
- '23/24: Victor Osimhen ('21/22)
- '24/25: Michael Olise ('23/24)
#SGE
Some comparable datapoints to each of his four seasons:
- '21/22: Bukayo Saka & Gabriel Martinelli ('22/23)
- '22/23: Adam Hložek ('22/23)
- '23/24: Victor Osimhen ('21/22)
- '24/25: Michael Olise ('23/24)
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike: The Improvement pt. 2
Some comparable datapoints to each of his four seasons:
- '21/22: Bukayo Saka & Gabriel Martinelli ('22/23)
- '22/23: Adam Hložek ('22/23)
- '23/24: Victor Osimhen ('21/22)
- '24/25: Michael Olise ('23/24)
#SGE
Some comparable datapoints to each of his four seasons:
- '21/22: Bukayo Saka & Gabriel Martinelli ('22/23)
- '22/23: Adam Hložek ('22/23)
- '23/24: Victor Osimhen ('21/22)
- '24/25: Michael Olise ('23/24)
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike: The Improvement pt. 1
The same plot as the initial (depth of touch vs. model value), but for all U22 forwards and wingers over the past four seasons.
Ekitike showed plenty of promise at Reims, hit the brakes at PSG, and has rebounded resoundingly at Frankfurt.
#SGE
The same plot as the initial (depth of touch vs. model value), but for all U22 forwards and wingers over the past four seasons.
Ekitike showed plenty of promise at Reims, hit the brakes at PSG, and has rebounded resoundingly at Frankfurt.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike: The Improvement pt. 1
The same plot as the initial (depth of touch vs. model value), but for all U22 forwards and wingers over the past four seasons.
Ekitike showed plenty of promise at Reims, hit the brakes at PSG, and has rebounded resoundingly at Frankfurt.
#SGE
The same plot as the initial (depth of touch vs. model value), but for all U22 forwards and wingers over the past four seasons.
Ekitike showed plenty of promise at Reims, hit the brakes at PSG, and has rebounded resoundingly at Frankfurt.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike: Expect Goal Machine pt. 3
That said, he and Omar Marmoush are one of the most prolific duos in world football right now, so the environment is conducive to continuing this historic trajectory.
#SGE
That said, he and Omar Marmoush are one of the most prolific duos in world football right now, so the environment is conducive to continuing this historic trajectory.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike: Expect Goal Machine pt. 3
That said, he and Omar Marmoush are one of the most prolific duos in world football right now, so the environment is conducive to continuing this historic trajectory.
#SGE
That said, he and Omar Marmoush are one of the most prolific duos in world football right now, so the environment is conducive to continuing this historic trajectory.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike: Expect Goal Machine pt. 2
If he continues at this pace (1.03 npxG+xAG/90), he would be the only U22 player in FBRef's database to finish the season with >1 expected goal contributions per 90, so I'm confident there will be some regression.
#SGE
If he continues at this pace (1.03 npxG+xAG/90), he would be the only U22 player in FBRef's database to finish the season with >1 expected goal contributions per 90, so I'm confident there will be some regression.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike: Expect Goal Machine pt. 2
If he continues at this pace (1.03 npxG+xAG/90), he would be the only U22 player in FBRef's database to finish the season with >1 expected goal contributions per 90, so I'm confident there will be some regression.
#SGE
If he continues at this pace (1.03 npxG+xAG/90), he would be the only U22 player in FBRef's database to finish the season with >1 expected goal contributions per 90, so I'm confident there will be some regression.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike: Expect Goal Machine pt. 1
There isn't a forward in Europe with Ekitike's current profile of expected goals and assists per 90.
The graph highlights this pretty well.
This has been the main catalyst behind his breakout season.
#SGE
There isn't a forward in Europe with Ekitike's current profile of expected goals and assists per 90.
The graph highlights this pretty well.
This has been the main catalyst behind his breakout season.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike: Expect Goal Machine pt. 1
There isn't a forward in Europe with Ekitike's current profile of expected goals and assists per 90.
The graph highlights this pretty well.
This has been the main catalyst behind his breakout season.
#SGE
There isn't a forward in Europe with Ekitike's current profile of expected goals and assists per 90.
The graph highlights this pretty well.
This has been the main catalyst behind his breakout season.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 5
As well, he has improved on his capabilities in the big three "possession" metrics: receiving, carrying, and especially passing.
#SGE
As well, he has improved on his capabilities in the big three "possession" metrics: receiving, carrying, and especially passing.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 5
As well, he has improved on his capabilities in the big three "possession" metrics: receiving, carrying, and especially passing.
#SGE
As well, he has improved on his capabilities in the big three "possession" metrics: receiving, carrying, and especially passing.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 4
If xA > xAG, the player has a high volume of dangerous passes, but they don't lead to high percentage chances. If xAG > xA, the player creates high quality chances. This is Hugo Ekitike.
#SGE
If xA > xAG, the player has a high volume of dangerous passes, but they don't lead to high percentage chances. If xAG > xA, the player creates high quality chances. This is Hugo Ekitike.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 4
If xA > xAG, the player has a high volume of dangerous passes, but they don't lead to high percentage chances. If xAG > xA, the player creates high quality chances. This is Hugo Ekitike.
#SGE
If xA > xAG, the player has a high volume of dangerous passes, but they don't lead to high percentage chances. If xAG > xA, the player creates high quality chances. This is Hugo Ekitike.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 3
For reference, xAG is a measure of the xG likelihood of passes that lead to a shot, while xA is a measure of the xG likelihood of all passes, whether or not they lead to a shot.
#SGE
For reference, xAG is a measure of the xG likelihood of passes that lead to a shot, while xA is a measure of the xG likelihood of all passes, whether or not they lead to a shot.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 3
For reference, xAG is a measure of the xG likelihood of passes that lead to a shot, while xA is a measure of the xG likelihood of all passes, whether or not they lead to a shot.
#SGE
For reference, xAG is a measure of the xG likelihood of passes that lead to a shot, while xA is a measure of the xG likelihood of all passes, whether or not they lead to a shot.
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 2
For chance creation, his quality has improved (rather than quantity). To demonstrate, his xAG-xA/90 over the past three seasons:
0.00 ➡️ +0.02 ➡️ +0.06
#SGE
For chance creation, his quality has improved (rather than quantity). To demonstrate, his xAG-xA/90 over the past three seasons:
0.00 ➡️ +0.02 ➡️ +0.06
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 2
For chance creation, his quality has improved (rather than quantity). To demonstrate, his xAG-xA/90 over the past three seasons:
0.00 ➡️ +0.02 ➡️ +0.06
#SGE
For chance creation, his quality has improved (rather than quantity). To demonstrate, his xAG-xA/90 over the past three seasons:
0.00 ➡️ +0.02 ➡️ +0.06
#SGE
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 1
The biggest jump in performance this season has been his npxG+A values per 90.
In terms of goal scoring, the catalyst behind his improvement has been his positioning and shot selection. Ekitike's npxG/shot over the past three seasons:
0.11 ➡️ 0.08 ➡️ 0.23
#SGE
The biggest jump in performance this season has been his npxG+A values per 90.
In terms of goal scoring, the catalyst behind his improvement has been his positioning and shot selection. Ekitike's npxG/shot over the past three seasons:
0.11 ➡️ 0.08 ➡️ 0.23
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Hugo Ekitike Data Profile pt. 1
The biggest jump in performance this season has been his npxG+A values per 90.
In terms of goal scoring, the catalyst behind his improvement has been his positioning and shot selection. Ekitike's npxG/shot over the past three seasons:
0.11 ➡️ 0.08 ➡️ 0.23
#SGE
The biggest jump in performance this season has been his npxG+A values per 90.
In terms of goal scoring, the catalyst behind his improvement has been his positioning and shot selection. Ekitike's npxG/shot over the past three seasons:
0.11 ➡️ 0.08 ➡️ 0.23
#SGE
Thread Overview pt. 3
The graph shows all the wingers and fwds plotted by how far up the pitch they see the ball (left to right), + how well they rank in my model (bottom to top).
In this thread, I'll seek to demonstrate how much Ekitike has improved this year through the lens of my model.
#SGE
The graph shows all the wingers and fwds plotted by how far up the pitch they see the ball (left to right), + how well they rank in my model (bottom to top).
In this thread, I'll seek to demonstrate how much Ekitike has improved this year through the lens of my model.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Thread Overview pt. 3
The graph shows all the wingers and fwds plotted by how far up the pitch they see the ball (left to right), + how well they rank in my model (bottom to top).
In this thread, I'll seek to demonstrate how much Ekitike has improved this year through the lens of my model.
#SGE
The graph shows all the wingers and fwds plotted by how far up the pitch they see the ball (left to right), + how well they rank in my model (bottom to top).
In this thread, I'll seek to demonstrate how much Ekitike has improved this year through the lens of my model.
#SGE
Thread Overview pt. 2
More information on the model can be found in my pinned post, but so far in the top 5 leagues, no player's actions have had a more positive impact per 90 minutes than Ekitike's.
#SGE
More information on the model can be found in my pinned post, but so far in the top 5 leagues, no player's actions have had a more positive impact per 90 minutes than Ekitike's.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Thread Overview pt. 2
More information on the model can be found in my pinned post, but so far in the top 5 leagues, no player's actions have had a more positive impact per 90 minutes than Ekitike's.
#SGE
More information on the model can be found in my pinned post, but so far in the top 5 leagues, no player's actions have had a more positive impact per 90 minutes than Ekitike's.
#SGE
Thread Overview pt. 1
If you opened this thread, congrats, you get the actual line about Hugo Ekitike I don't have the cajones to put in the first post:
My Action Impact Model (AIM) says Hugo Ekitike is the best player in Europe this season.
#SGE
If you opened this thread, congrats, you get the actual line about Hugo Ekitike I don't have the cajones to put in the first post:
My Action Impact Model (AIM) says Hugo Ekitike is the best player in Europe this season.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Thread Overview pt. 1
If you opened this thread, congrats, you get the actual line about Hugo Ekitike I don't have the cajones to put in the first post:
My Action Impact Model (AIM) says Hugo Ekitike is the best player in Europe this season.
#SGE
If you opened this thread, congrats, you get the actual line about Hugo Ekitike I don't have the cajones to put in the first post:
My Action Impact Model (AIM) says Hugo Ekitike is the best player in Europe this season.
#SGE
December 15, 2024 at 2:08 PM
Slotball Insights
- Gakpo is the only aerial 'threat' in Liverpool's current attack, so Pedro's addition would be especially welcome.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC
- Gakpo is the only aerial 'threat' in Liverpool's current attack, so Pedro's addition would be especially welcome.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC
December 12, 2024 at 1:15 PM
Slotball Insights
- Gakpo is the only aerial 'threat' in Liverpool's current attack, so Pedro's addition would be especially welcome.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC
- Gakpo is the only aerial 'threat' in Liverpool's current attack, so Pedro's addition would be especially welcome.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC
João Pedro's Aerial Ability pt. 3
Both his and DCL's style are suitable for different tactics, but for a stronger side like Liverpool, Pedro's approach plays much better.
Most comparable datapoints: Adama Traore '22/23, Georginio Rutter '24/25. Exceptional.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC
Both his and DCL's style are suitable for different tactics, but for a stronger side like Liverpool, Pedro's approach plays much better.
Most comparable datapoints: Adama Traore '22/23, Georginio Rutter '24/25. Exceptional.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC
December 12, 2024 at 1:15 PM
João Pedro's Aerial Ability pt. 3
Both his and DCL's style are suitable for different tactics, but for a stronger side like Liverpool, Pedro's approach plays much better.
Most comparable datapoints: Adama Traore '22/23, Georginio Rutter '24/25. Exceptional.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC
Both his and DCL's style are suitable for different tactics, but for a stronger side like Liverpool, Pedro's approach plays much better.
Most comparable datapoints: Adama Traore '22/23, Georginio Rutter '24/25. Exceptional.
#LFC #LiverpoolFC