François Belle-Larant
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fbellelarant.bsky.social
François Belle-Larant
@fbellelarant.bsky.social
Economist. Focus on macro-finance, sustainability and energy.
Currently @ French Treasury. Secretariat of HCSF (High Council for financial stability).
Views are my own and not my employer’s.
Interesting presentation from @isabelschnabel.bsky.social I am particularly impressed by these figures of the APP/PEPP on risk premia ⬇️
November 7, 2025 at 8:09 PM
You know you enjoy your job when you feel enthusiast about spending an afternoon scrolling through this kind of material
September 16, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Lancement du Label européen aujourd’hui pour inciter à l’union des marchés d’épargne et de capitaux à Bercy, concrètement le label concerne :
- des actifs européens 🇪🇺 (>70%)
- un investissement d’au moins 5 ans
- pas de garantie publique afin d’encourager la responsabilité
June 5, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Le HCSF s'est réuni ce lundi 2 juin. Le Haut Conseil constate que le niveau d’incertitude globale a augmenté. Il note également que les mouvements de volatilité ont été absorbés par les acteurs financiers français, signe de leur résilience.

www.economie.gouv.fr/files/files/...
June 2, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Great graph from this FT piece on the frenzy italian banking M&A www.ft.com/content/2096...
May 7, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Partagé par l’excellent @quentinbon.bsky.social - volé à je ne sais qui (mais à qui je rends hommage)
April 3, 2025 at 9:23 AM
Great paper from @banquedefrance-off.bsky.social showing that central bank credibility is key. Without well anchored inflation expectations, rates would have reached +8% ‼️ during the last tightening cycle.

www.banque-france.fr/en/publicati...
March 21, 2025 at 8:28 AM
Le communiqué de presse de la séance du HCSF de ce jour.
Le Haut Conseil suit les derniers développements géopolitiques et note la capacité de résilience des acteurs financiers français.
Le marché immobilier montre des signes de reprise.

www.economie.gouv.fr/files/2025-0...
March 4, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Superb piece on Synthetic Risk Transfer (SRT) + a funny illustration @robinwigglesworth.ft.com
www.ft.com/content/d91d...
February 23, 2025 at 7:56 PM
3️⃣Perhaps the most interesting result to me, whatever the scenario, inaction is more costly for banks. Transition risks (i.e., defaults on "brown assets") will be way less costly than Physical risks (i.e., your factory is flooded) !

Link of the paper : www.scoperatings.com/ScopeRatings...
January 15, 2025 at 5:46 PM
The analysis is interesting as it covers both transition and physical risks.

1️⃣ Whatever the scenario, return on asset will decline vs. a non global warming world.

2️⃣The profitability of European banks is likely to be almost fully eroded due to climate change.
January 15, 2025 at 5:46 PM