Exit266
@exit266.bsky.social
It is possible to converse, disagree, and still be respectful and friendly. I urge you to try it sometime, you may even find you like it.
No Sir, they do not have to, but in 2021 when Russia was already starting to build-up along the Ukrainian borders, and had already invaded and Crimea, and was in active hostilities with Ukraine in Eastern Ukraine.....they did allow similar transits. So the evidence we have suggests it's possible.
April 10, 2025 at 6:15 PM
No Sir, they do not have to, but in 2021 when Russia was already starting to build-up along the Ukrainian borders, and had already invaded and Crimea, and was in active hostilities with Ukraine in Eastern Ukraine.....they did allow similar transits. So the evidence we have suggests it's possible.
Woot!! 🚢🛳️ Add this to the list of things we have been excitedly keeping a secret! If Ukraine says they will do something, they will.
Congratulations Ukrzaliznytsia and Ukrferry, we can't wait to see you more!
en.interfax.com.ua/news/general...
Congratulations Ukrzaliznytsia and Ukrferry, we can't wait to see you more!
en.interfax.com.ua/news/general...
April 10, 2025 at 2:20 PM
Woot!! 🚢🛳️ Add this to the list of things we have been excitedly keeping a secret! If Ukraine says they will do something, they will.
Congratulations Ukrzaliznytsia and Ukrferry, we can't wait to see you more!
en.interfax.com.ua/news/general...
Congratulations Ukrzaliznytsia and Ukrferry, we can't wait to see you more!
en.interfax.com.ua/news/general...
The RunDown
I did a thread on the Black Sea yesterday which included one of the biggest issues that I don’t hear discussed as often about a potential Black Sea Deal, the potential for Russia to bring in ships to revamp the Black Sea Fleet.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/w...
I did a thread on the Black Sea yesterday which included one of the biggest issues that I don’t hear discussed as often about a potential Black Sea Deal, the potential for Russia to bring in ships to revamp the Black Sea Fleet.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/w...
April 10, 2025 at 6:14 AM
The RunDown
I did a thread on the Black Sea yesterday which included one of the biggest issues that I don’t hear discussed as often about a potential Black Sea Deal, the potential for Russia to bring in ships to revamp the Black Sea Fleet.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/w...
I did a thread on the Black Sea yesterday which included one of the biggest issues that I don’t hear discussed as often about a potential Black Sea Deal, the potential for Russia to bring in ships to revamp the Black Sea Fleet.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/w...
Yes I wondered if you would have wanted that the first time, should have done both. Please let me know if there is anything the translation misses. You know my Russian is rusty.😉
March 25, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Yes I wondered if you would have wanted that the first time, should have done both. Please let me know if there is anything the translation misses. You know my Russian is rusty.😉
2. The US readout specifically notes the objective of “safe navigation” in the Black Sea and, other than military targets, this has been the status quo since September 11, 2024 when Russia struck a civilian cargo ship near Romania. x.com/DefenceHQ/st...
March 25, 2025 at 5:21 PM
2. The US readout specifically notes the objective of “safe navigation” in the Black Sea and, other than military targets, this has been the status quo since September 11, 2024 when Russia struck a civilian cargo ship near Romania. x.com/DefenceHQ/st...
Quick thoughts on the agreements announced today after the discussions between the US, Ukraine and Russia in the thread below.🧵⬇️
March 25, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Quick thoughts on the agreements announced today after the discussions between the US, Ukraine and Russia in the thread below.🧵⬇️
For three years Russia has operated without this access and in that time they had record exports. They are working to force Ukraine into a deal that allows them more control over the Black Sea. The data proves Ukraine did not and will not benefit from a Black Sea Deal.
March 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
For three years Russia has operated without this access and in that time they had record exports. They are working to force Ukraine into a deal that allows them more control over the Black Sea. The data proves Ukraine did not and will not benefit from a Black Sea Deal.
If you are worried about Ukraine being forced into a deal that is bad for them you should be talking about this today. Russia is back to saying they need reintegration into financial markets in order to enable agricultural exports and this is not true.
www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/03/25/u...
www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/03/25/u...
March 25, 2025 at 2:31 PM
If you are worried about Ukraine being forced into a deal that is bad for them you should be talking about this today. Russia is back to saying they need reintegration into financial markets in order to enable agricultural exports and this is not true.
www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/03/25/u...
www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/03/25/u...
From 22-24Mar2025, 23 ships likely sailed inbound to Odesa area ports and 26 ships likely sailed outbound for a total of 49 ships in the Ukrainian Humanitarian Corridor. *These numbers may change over time.
23 ships were assessed as delivered today, including six to Türkiye.
23 ships were assessed as delivered today, including six to Türkiye.
March 25, 2025 at 5:37 AM
From 22-24Mar2025, 23 ships likely sailed inbound to Odesa area ports and 26 ships likely sailed outbound for a total of 49 ships in the Ukrainian Humanitarian Corridor. *These numbers may change over time.
23 ships were assessed as delivered today, including six to Türkiye.
23 ships were assessed as delivered today, including six to Türkiye.
UkriCor Update 22-24Mar2025
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 4087
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 4036
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3855
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 4087
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 4036
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3855
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
March 25, 2025 at 5:37 AM
UkriCor Update 22-24Mar2025
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 4087
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 4036
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3855
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 4087
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 4036
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3855
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
Dr. Droege is incorrect in her assessment of the military utility of mines and availing herself of the many military analysts who could educate her on their use in Ukraine would be a useful step in her understanding.
March 18, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Dr. Droege is incorrect in her assessment of the military utility of mines and availing herself of the many military analysts who could educate her on their use in Ukraine would be a useful step in her understanding.
Both Putin and Trump revel in the spectacle of sport and have used it to influence their audiences in the past (Sochi/UFC). This was a smart move by Putin to play to Trump's desire for show, pomp and circumstance.
meduza.io/news/2025/03...
meduza.io/news/2025/03...
March 18, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Both Putin and Trump revel in the spectacle of sport and have used it to influence their audiences in the past (Sochi/UFC). This was a smart move by Putin to play to Trump's desire for show, pomp and circumstance.
meduza.io/news/2025/03...
meduza.io/news/2025/03...
This evening the Barbados flagged MJ PINAR was struck in the port of Odesa by a Russian missile while loading grain, I believe five crew members are dead. The MJ PINAR has made numerous trips to the Odesa Area ports since April of 2024.
Ship traffic continues to Odesa.
Ship traffic continues to Odesa.
March 11, 2025 at 8:50 PM
This evening the Barbados flagged MJ PINAR was struck in the port of Odesa by a Russian missile while loading grain, I believe five crew members are dead. The MJ PINAR has made numerous trips to the Odesa Area ports since April of 2024.
Ship traffic continues to Odesa.
Ship traffic continues to Odesa.
In case you missed it, @michaelkofman.bsky.social hosted @CovertCabal and @Jonpy99 (@HighMarsed sadly couldn’t join) for a discussion about counting Russian equipment storages and what conclusions we can draw from those numbers. It’s a great listen if you have some time.
February 12, 2025 at 5:28 AM
In case you missed it, @michaelkofman.bsky.social hosted @CovertCabal and @Jonpy99 (@HighMarsed sadly couldn’t join) for a discussion about counting Russian equipment storages and what conclusions we can draw from those numbers. It’s a great listen if you have some time.
Weather in the Western Black Sea really couldn’t be much better for a mid-winter’s day.
January 30, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Weather in the Western Black Sea really couldn’t be much better for a mid-winter’s day.
From 28-29Jan2025, 21 ships likely sailed inbound to Odesa area ports and 23 ships likely sailed outbound for a total of 44 ships in the Ukrainian Humanitarian Corridor.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including five to Türkiye.
We tracked 237 ships today.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including five to Türkiye.
We tracked 237 ships today.
January 30, 2025 at 4:46 PM
From 28-29Jan2025, 21 ships likely sailed inbound to Odesa area ports and 23 ships likely sailed outbound for a total of 44 ships in the Ukrainian Humanitarian Corridor.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including five to Türkiye.
We tracked 237 ships today.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including five to Türkiye.
We tracked 237 ships today.
UkriCor Update 28-29Jan2025
Possibilities Ships (Current) 79
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 3639
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 263
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 3592
Ships Outbound, Not Delivered (Current) 166
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3418
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor
Possibilities Ships (Current) 79
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 3639
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 263
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 3592
Ships Outbound, Not Delivered (Current) 166
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3418
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor
January 30, 2025 at 4:46 PM
UkriCor Update 28-29Jan2025
Possibilities Ships (Current) 79
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 3639
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 263
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 3592
Ships Outbound, Not Delivered (Current) 166
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3418
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor
Possibilities Ships (Current) 79
Ships Inbound to Odesa (Total) 3639
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 263
Ships Outbound from Odesa (Total) 3592
Ships Outbound, Not Delivered (Current) 166
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current) 3418
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor
I saw another commenter point out this piece below so I asked about that too. It's an antenna for video transmission. You can tell it's not a fibre optic cable spool because it doesn't have any means of unrolling the cable without tangling.
January 17, 2025 at 8:09 PM
I saw another commenter point out this piece below so I asked about that too. It's an antenna for video transmission. You can tell it's not a fibre optic cable spool because it doesn't have any means of unrolling the cable without tangling.
These are pictures of similar warheads and come in three sizes depending on your needs and what your target is. Google 'shaped charges' if you don't understand the mechanics of them, it's useful to understand.
January 17, 2025 at 8:09 PM
These are pictures of similar warheads and come in three sizes depending on your needs and what your target is. Google 'shaped charges' if you don't understand the mechanics of them, it's useful to understand.
When I saw these this morning I had questions so I went and found some answers. Add your comments below if you have other bits I can learn.
January 17, 2025 at 8:09 PM
When I saw these this morning I had questions so I went and found some answers. Add your comments below if you have other bits I can learn.
It’s mostly calm and a wee bit chilly (ok, I’ve been told it’s positively frigid) in Odesa with some rain and snow. Sailing weather should be good up and down along the coast but the moisture may put some restrictions on loading.
January 16, 2025 at 6:17 PM
It’s mostly calm and a wee bit chilly (ok, I’ve been told it’s positively frigid) in Odesa with some rain and snow. Sailing weather should be good up and down along the coast but the moisture may put some restrictions on loading.
From 14-15Jan2025, 24 ships likely sailed inbound to Odesa area ports and 17 ships likely sailed outbound for a total of 41 ships in the Ukrainian Humanitarian Corridor. *These numbers may change over time.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including four to Egypt.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including four to Egypt.
January 16, 2025 at 6:17 PM
From 14-15Jan2025, 24 ships likely sailed inbound to Odesa area ports and 17 ships likely sailed outbound for a total of 41 ships in the Ukrainian Humanitarian Corridor. *These numbers may change over time.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including four to Egypt.
17 ships were assessed as delivered today, including four to Egypt.
UkriCor Update 14-15Jan2025
Ships in Odesa (Current) 57
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 248
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current)3307
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
Ships in Odesa (Current) 57
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 248
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current)3307
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
January 16, 2025 at 6:17 PM
UkriCor Update 14-15Jan2025
Ships in Odesa (Current) 57
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 248
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current)3307
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
Ships in Odesa (Current) 57
Ships Delivered to Greater Odesa (Total) 248
Ships Outbound, Delivered (Current)3307
🧵⬇️ #UkriCor #Ukrainian_Corridor #agriculture #GrainfromUkraine #BlackSeaGrain #BSGI
Weather has been consistently good in the Western Black Sea this week. There were a few short periods with higher wave heights but nothing above the limits we consistently see Ukrainians operate.
January 9, 2025 at 11:23 PM
Weather has been consistently good in the Western Black Sea this week. There were a few short periods with higher wave heights but nothing above the limits we consistently see Ukrainians operate.