Ethan Hullihen
@ethanhullihen.bsky.social
Pirates and MLB rules, transactions, and payroll junkie
Worked up a 2026 projection:
As usual, this is all internal players, with pending free agents (and a few cuts for R5 adds) removed for a 2026 baseline.
I came up with an ~$78M projection, with a few major needs highlighted in red.
What do you think? Questions?
As usual, this is all internal players, with pending free agents (and a few cuts for R5 adds) removed for a 2026 baseline.
I came up with an ~$78M projection, with a few major needs highlighted in red.
What do you think? Questions?
July 12, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Worked up a 2026 projection:
As usual, this is all internal players, with pending free agents (and a few cuts for R5 adds) removed for a 2026 baseline.
I came up with an ~$78M projection, with a few major needs highlighted in red.
What do you think? Questions?
As usual, this is all internal players, with pending free agents (and a few cuts for R5 adds) removed for a 2026 baseline.
I came up with an ~$78M projection, with a few major needs highlighted in red.
What do you think? Questions?
A strange series of events led me to this piece, within which I found this nugget, then I saw you follow me.
Good, interesting read. Maybe I should make a better effort over here. Thanks for the work!
Good, interesting read. Maybe I should make a better effort over here. Thanks for the work!
June 17, 2025 at 10:44 PM
A strange series of events led me to this piece, within which I found this nugget, then I saw you follow me.
Good, interesting read. Maybe I should make a better effort over here. Thanks for the work!
Good, interesting read. Maybe I should make a better effort over here. Thanks for the work!
If I do this it comes out to the original $31.9M reported, not $31.7M.
Any ideas?
Any ideas?
February 15, 2025 at 3:17 PM
If I do this it comes out to the original $31.9M reported, not $31.7M.
Any ideas?
Any ideas?
Based on the AP report and the indispensable Ronald Blum, here is how I am valuing Burnes' contract:
apnews.com/article/burn...
apnews.com/article/burn...
January 3, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Based on the AP report and the indispensable Ronald Blum, here is how I am valuing Burnes' contract:
apnews.com/article/burn...
apnews.com/article/burn...
Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays, from mine to yours
December 25, 2024 at 3:34 AM
Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays, from mine to yours
Okay, so you're contending this is more representative (which makes sense).
What is your opinion on the other numbers in this case?
Also, I was trying to represent the "> than 1" figure in a practical way. Does standard deviation do that, or do you have any better ideas?
What is your opinion on the other numbers in this case?
Also, I was trying to represent the "> than 1" figure in a practical way. Does standard deviation do that, or do you have any better ideas?
December 21, 2024 at 2:14 PM
Okay, so you're contending this is more representative (which makes sense).
What is your opinion on the other numbers in this case?
Also, I was trying to represent the "> than 1" figure in a practical way. Does standard deviation do that, or do you have any better ideas?
What is your opinion on the other numbers in this case?
Also, I was trying to represent the "> than 1" figure in a practical way. Does standard deviation do that, or do you have any better ideas?
I want to pretty this up, as well as try and figure out if these are the best comparisons, but here are the results of me against the industry standards:
Overall, I am VERY happy with the results.
This was a massive project that I spent countless hours on over the season.
1/2
Overall, I am VERY happy with the results.
This was a massive project that I spent countless hours on over the season.
1/2
December 21, 2024 at 2:26 AM
I want to pretty this up, as well as try and figure out if these are the best comparisons, but here are the results of me against the industry standards:
Overall, I am VERY happy with the results.
This was a massive project that I spent countless hours on over the season.
1/2
Overall, I am VERY happy with the results.
This was a massive project that I spent countless hours on over the season.
1/2
The assignor keeps the $5M on their books, while the assignee gets a $5M credit. Cash considerations have to zero out.
The $5M is then prorated over the remaining guaranteed years of the contract.
The $5M is then prorated over the remaining guaranteed years of the contract.
December 9, 2024 at 1:38 AM
The assignor keeps the $5M on their books, while the assignee gets a $5M credit. Cash considerations have to zero out.
The $5M is then prorated over the remaining guaranteed years of the contract.
The $5M is then prorated over the remaining guaranteed years of the contract.
So, I've been on vacation since Thanksgiving, slumming it in Disney.
Back in time for the Winter Meetings! I desperately would love to be there, but at least I'm back to cover it all.
Let's get some moves going!!
Back in time for the Winter Meetings! I desperately would love to be there, but at least I'm back to cover it all.
Let's get some moves going!!
December 8, 2024 at 3:44 PM
So, I've been on vacation since Thanksgiving, slumming it in Disney.
Back in time for the Winter Meetings! I desperately would love to be there, but at least I'm back to cover it all.
Let's get some moves going!!
Back in time for the Winter Meetings! I desperately would love to be there, but at least I'm back to cover it all.
Let's get some moves going!!
A few signings today:
December 7, 2024 at 2:19 AM
A few signings today:
He declined his option and became an XX(B), which is why I count him
December 4, 2024 at 1:18 PM
He declined his option and became an XX(B), which is why I count him
Honestly, not sure myself...just parroting!
December 3, 2024 at 10:56 PM
Honestly, not sure myself...just parroting!
Free agency update:
December 3, 2024 at 5:25 PM
Free agency update:
Big day upcoming!
December 2, 2024 at 3:42 AM
Big day upcoming!
AP has $65M too
November 28, 2024 at 1:32 AM
AP has $65M too
Literally am firing up episode 5.
Was weary after E1, but really picked up. I find it quite funny.
Was weary after E1, but really picked up. I find it quite funny.
November 25, 2024 at 1:50 AM
Literally am firing up episode 5.
Was weary after E1, but really picked up. I find it quite funny.
Was weary after E1, but really picked up. I find it quite funny.
Updated payroll estimate, assuming reported moves are official:
With 5 spots available though, this isn't the best number at the moment
With 5 spots available though, this isn't the best number at the moment
November 23, 2024 at 12:49 AM
Updated payroll estimate, assuming reported moves are official:
With 5 spots available though, this isn't the best number at the moment
With 5 spots available though, this isn't the best number at the moment
Uggghhhh
Jimmy Herget was my only issue, and I think I was getting him mixed up with Kevin Herget (kept trying the Brewers). I also tried the Angels, who he was with but apparently didn't pitch
Jimmy Herget was my only issue, and I think I was getting him mixed up with Kevin Herget (kept trying the Brewers). I also tried the Angels, who he was with but apparently didn't pitch
November 22, 2024 at 6:09 PM
Uggghhhh
Jimmy Herget was my only issue, and I think I was getting him mixed up with Kevin Herget (kept trying the Brewers). I also tried the Angels, who he was with but apparently didn't pitch
Jimmy Herget was my only issue, and I think I was getting him mixed up with Kevin Herget (kept trying the Brewers). I also tried the Angels, who he was with but apparently didn't pitch
With lots of changes coming today, I thought it would be a good time to put out a current 2025 payroll projection.
Also included is a contrast to 2024 year-end, which with awards now done is all but sewn up.
Teams over the CBT are denoted in blue
Questions?
Also included is a contrast to 2024 year-end, which with awards now done is all but sewn up.
Teams over the CBT are denoted in blue
Questions?
November 22, 2024 at 2:52 PM
With lots of changes coming today, I thought it would be a good time to put out a current 2025 payroll projection.
Also included is a contrast to 2024 year-end, which with awards now done is all but sewn up.
Teams over the CBT are denoted in blue
Questions?
Also included is a contrast to 2024 year-end, which with awards now done is all but sewn up.
Teams over the CBT are denoted in blue
Questions?