Evan Sexton
esexto.bsky.social
Evan Sexton
@esexto.bsky.social
Graduate student at @brownuniversity, occasional writer. Made in the Pacific Northwest.
Presumably though he’s going to be Exec until the inevitable Governor/Senator run, though
November 13, 2025 at 4:01 AM
RCV 2027: Local Editorial Boards Hardest Hit
November 13, 2025 at 3:28 AM
This is correct, the car was coming up 55th. The bike lanes that would have been installed would not have changed anything there.
November 13, 2025 at 3:23 AM
To me, the most frustrating part of the episode is that that “compromise” just ended up worse than the status quo ex-ante.

South of 65th St, they literally just removed parking to widen travel lanes. They somehow made it worse for kids walking to school, bikers, *and* residents wanting parking!
November 13, 2025 at 3:22 AM
Is there a reason why they would be turned off?
November 12, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Katie Wilson "identifying as a Socialist" really says more about how Seattle voters view Socialism than it does about how she will actually govern.

The platform she actually ran on is/was much more moderate than, say, Lorena Gonzalez's 2021 platform.
November 12, 2025 at 7:36 PM
For sure. There will be many odd coalitions that break up these two blocks!
November 12, 2025 at 1:20 AM
The last two years of the Harrell administration saw the Mayor pushing back against the excesses of a centrist-dominated council - with little getting done.

For Wilson to break the stalemate and make progress, she'll need to put forward an agenda both factions on the Council can live with.
November 12, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Both Wilson and Harrell broadly "ran to the center" of the Seattle electorate. For Wilson, that meant distancing herself from past comments on public safety issues and past views on homelessness. For Harrell, that meant a series of labor-friendly contracts and tax-positive policy pushes.
November 12, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Yeah. Close enough that this is going to take a while, not so close that the final outcome is really all that in question.
November 10, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Reposted by Evan Sexton
I always enjoy the people who when you show them one graph, they ask for a different one, then you show them that and they ask for a different one.

Eventually need to do 4 hours of data cleaning to give a 300 follower rando the 18th graph that will show what is REALLY going on.
November 9, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Also, many of these late votes are just from the ballot drop boxes. This system surely saves the County lots of money, but there isn't really any fundamental reason why all the drop box votes can't be counted on election day.
November 8, 2025 at 12:32 AM
Yeah she probably ends up just a few hundred votes ahead
November 8, 2025 at 12:12 AM
I would definitely not be surprised by a result that has write-ins exceeding the gap
November 7, 2025 at 1:11 AM
High liquidity betting markets are fairly accurate election predictors (60% odds events happen 60% of the time) - but this isn’t a high liquidity market.

Visually, it appears single trades may be shifting the lines here. And the oscillation is around 50/50 anyways.
November 7, 2025 at 12:02 AM
The market is accurately conveying the truth: no one has any credible idea as to who is favored here
November 7, 2025 at 12:00 AM