I'm in the process of designing UW-Madison's first field seminar in American politics for Ph.D. students! Yes... we're late to the party, but, hey, we're here now! Anyone have example syllabi or suggestions of topics/readings to include? Requisite cute Fletcher photo for 👀.

. @pollsandvotes.bsky.social: The Marquette Law School poll of registered voters in Wisconsin shows a time series of party identification over time. Showing a modest but growing Republican advantage over the last year.

.@pollsandvotes.bsky.social: Marquette Law School Poll has consistently asked registered Wisconsin voters about their family situation. Striking decline in WI voters reporting that they are living comfortably since late 2020.

.@pollsandvotes.bsky.social: Striking decline in majority Latino wards in Wisconsin for D presidential candidates. Consistent with Bernard Fraga's presentation earlier in the day.

Really interesting discussion from @pollsandvotes.bsky.social showing college voting wards in Wisconsin. Modest Republican shift in university areas, suggesting possible modest student shift rightward.

The great @pollsandvotes.bsky.social providing the deep dive on Wisconsin 2024 election data. The figure on the right shows ward level change in vote share for Trump between 2020 and 2024. Only tiny shifts at the ward level: incredibly stable presidential vote choice in 2020 and 2024 in Wisconsin.

So great to have @francoordonez.bsky.social here at the Elections Research Center 2024 Election Symposium @uwmadison.bsky.social sharing his insights from the campaign trail on the 2024 election!

Prof. Bernard Fraga presenting "Shifting Right or Sitting Out? Black & Latino Voters: 2016-2024." Shows very large shift to GOP by Black men, continued shift to GOP by Latinos & Latinas. Some evidence of Democrats' base staying home in 2024. #ERC2024ElectionSymposium

Prof. Lynn Vavreck showing survey data about individual voters changing views over time. Argues big shift happened in 2016. Gradual (tectonic shifts) were happening before that.

Prof. Lynn Vavreck arguing that New Deal Era of conflict is over. We have identity-inflected policies are shaping the political landscape. Harder to compromise about identity issues rather than economic issues.

Prof. Lynn Vavreck presenting on The 2024 Election: Calification and Campaign Dynamics

Barry Burden showing late deciding voters broke for Trump. Also an explanation for why polls slightly favored Harris relative to outcome. #ERCElectionSymposium2024

Barry Burden presenting three views of the election: A crazy events driven roller coaster, a standard election explained by traditional political science theories, or a hybrid of standard and events.

Barry Burden kicking off the Election Research Center 2024 Symposium with a recap of election results, and some early explanations