daniel a. smith
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electionsmith.bsky.social
daniel a. smith
@electionsmith.bsky.social
5.7K followers 160 following 120 posts
political science professor; state politics scholar (direct democracy, voting, elections); cynic, skeptic, & part-time africanist; personal musings
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electionsmith.bsky.social
Was quite enjoyable, tbh....
April 20, 2025 at 2:12 AM
electionsmith.bsky.social
open.substack.com/pub/election...
Which Precinct in Doral is the Trumpiest?
At least one-in-seven registered voters in Doral, a Trump stronghold, were born in Venezuela.
open.substack.com
April 1, 2025 at 9:55 AM
electionsmith.bsky.social
May have time this summer to dig into this Q some more. open.substack.com/pub/election...
Nearly 1/5 Miami-Dade voters were born in Cuba and 57% are Republicans. Nearly 82% of GOP Cuba-born U.S. citizens voted in the 2024 GE.
With the recent revocation by the Trump Administration of the humanitarian parole program, hundreds-of-thousands of Cubans legally in the U.S. face deportation. Will these actions erode Cuban-American...
open.substack.com
April 1, 2025 at 9:33 AM
electionsmith.bsky.social
Hey, this looks familiar! Be sure to check it out!
Figure 1. Predicted probabilities for registering NPA/Unaffiliated by strength of partisanship. Note: Predicted probabilities generated from the estimates in the Florida and North Carolina models in Table 2.
March 28, 2025 at 2:09 PM