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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ECFR European Security
@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
480 followers 61 following 120 posts
@ecfr.bsky.social ideas and analysis on Europe’s security, defence, enlargement, resilience and eastern neighbourhood dynamics
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ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
Europe cannot afford the comfortable slowness of the previous peacetime era, writes Nicu Popescu.

Survival today is not just about strength but agility. The cost of slow adaptation to a fast-paced and hostile world could be devastating.

More below ⬇️
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From climate to defence, inertia could be the EU’s undoing
Europe’s strategic reports are filled with urgent calls for speed and agility. But amid fierce global competition, Europe is still lecturing while other major players deliver results…
ecfr.eu
November 11, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Reposted by ECFR European Security
re-engage.bsky.social
Solidarity is back in Serbia.

🔎 #RE-ENGAGE studies solidarity networks in hybrid regimes. Read the latest on After Novi Sad: https://tinyurl.com/5n7bshv5

#Serbia #SerbiaProtests #Belgrade #NoviSad #EU #Russia #vucic #aleksandarvučić #europenews #Democracy #Geopolitics #Enlargement #politics #news
November 10, 2025 at 4:51 PM
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ecfr.eu
The EU’s most pragmatic strategy is to brace for a conflict that could last an additional 2–4 years, writes @abarbashin.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/47qeUbV
The long game: How Europe can outlast Russia’s war of attrition
While Trump lingers indecisively and Moscow bets on Europe falling apart, the only logical strategy for the EU is to double down on its support for Kyiv…
bit.ly
November 8, 2025 at 9:05 AM
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ecfr.eu
Lethargy has become Europe’s strategic flaw, writes Nicu Popescu @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4p6XIhI
From climate to defence, inertia could be the EU’s undoing
Europe’s strategic reports are filled with urgent calls for speed and agility. But amid fierce global competition, Europe is still lecturing while other major players deliver results…
bit.ly
November 10, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Reposted by ECFR European Security
ecfr.eu
Europeans wasting the next four years hoping that America’s pivot from Europe will disappear into thin air would all but doom Europe’s collective security, write @rafaelloss.bsky.social, Katrine Westgaard and Leoni Habedank @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/48VkNyT
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO
America’s gradual retreat from European security under the current Trump administration is reshaping NATO’s centre of gravity. To keep the alliance credible and united, Europeans not only need to…
bit.ly
October 30, 2025 at 4:54 PM
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ecfr.eu
In the face of constant aggression by Russia, Ukrainians are defending their country, but Europe as a whole, says Tristan Aureau from the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs after a ECFR study trip to Kyiv. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

More info here: https://ecfr.eu/europeansecurity/.
October 28, 2025 at 9:37 AM
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ecfr.eu
Our Visiting Fellow, Leo Litra, urges European leaders at the European Council meeting today to speed up the support for Ukraine. This includes using Russian frozen assets, for example, as a reparation credit, and addressing the topic of sanctions and shadow fleets. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
October 27, 2025 at 10:01 AM
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ecfr.eu
Yesterday, EU leaders met at the European Council to discuss European defence & the security of Ukraine. Jim O’Brien has just returned from a study trip to Kyiv & explains why we're at a critical diplomatic moment to support the country. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://ecfr.eu/europeansecurity/
October 24, 2025 at 7:47 AM
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ecfr.eu
🎧New week, new podcast!

This week, @jyshapiro.bsky.social, Jana Kobzova and Jim O'Brien unpack Trump’s sanctions gamble, Europe’s shifting strategy on Russian energy & whether these moves could alter the course of the war.
@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
Ukraine, Russia and Trump’s sanctions gamble
Jeremy Shapiro welcomes Jana Kobzova and Jim O’Brien to discuss the latest twists in diplomacy between Ukraine, Russia and the West…
ecfr.eu
October 24, 2025 at 9:16 AM
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ecfr.eu
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
bit.ly
October 18, 2025 at 10:11 AM
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ecfr.eu
Today, the EU leaders will also reflect on the drone incursion in Poland. NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged and should also consider air defence coverage in western Ukraine, writes @mprochwicz.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4gmY8NF
Hold the line: NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands
bit.ly
October 1, 2025 at 10:55 AM
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ecfr.eu
NATO and the EU are now taking steps to bolster air defences along their eastern flank. Yet through these successive incursions, Putin has shown he is undeterred, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
ecfr.eu
October 1, 2025 at 1:03 PM
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ecfr.eu
🎧 Listen to the new episode of our Ukraine Inside Out podcast
This week, our hosts welcomed Lyuba Shupovich and Gustav Gressel to unpack how warfare in Ukraine is changing and if Europe can respond @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
🔗 https://bit.ly/4o506Fb
Lessons for Europe: Inside Ukraine’s drone war
Lesia Ogryzko and Leo Litra welcome Lyuba Shupovich and Gustav Gressel to unpack how warfare in Ukraine is changing and if Europe can respond…
bit.ly
October 1, 2025 at 2:46 PM
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ecfr.eu
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
bit.ly
September 30, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Reposted by ECFR European Security
ecfr.eu
With less (or no) American capability and capacity, the costs and trade-offs Europeans face are exacerbated, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
ecfr.eu
September 26, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Reposted by ECFR European Security
ecfr.eu
Europe should view Moldova as a testing ground for its own resilience, with the election offering Brussels valuable insight into the tactics, tools and impact of Moscow’s operations, write Leo Litra and @gvalodskaite.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4mxkXQ3
Love thy neighbour: Moldova’s election is a stress test for European resilience
Moldova’s parliamentary election will steer the country towards either the EU or Russia. Whatever the outcome, it is a chance for Europeans to understand Putin’s disinformation playbook and protect…
bit.ly
September 26, 2025 at 1:38 PM
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ecfr.eu
Should US–Russia negotiations collapse, Lukashenko’s role would evaporate overnight, his concessions wasted and his standing with Putin damaged, write @kirland.bsky.social and Vasil Navumau
https://bit.ly/42jwgnI
Zapad against the West: How Europe should read the Russian-Belarusian military drills
Zapad 2025 is not only a show of force; it is Lukashenko’s bid to play a role in the emergent European security order as it bargains with Washington over sanctions and prisoners
ecfr.eu
September 11, 2025 at 4:00 PM
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ecfr.eu
The drones were downed, marking the first time a NATO member fired shots during the Ukraine war. It is clear that the alliance’s previous weak responses have only emboldened Russia, writes @mprochwicz.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4gmY8NF
Hold the line: NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands
ecfr.eu
September 12, 2025 at 7:44 AM
Reposted by ECFR European Security
ecfr.eu
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands, writes @mprochwicz.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4gmY8NF
Hold the line: NATO cannot allow airspace violations to go unchallenged
The NATO response to Russia’s latest violation of Poland airspace shows what collective defence can achieve and is the kind of resolute action the new threat environment demands
ecfr.eu
September 11, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Reposted by ECFR European Security
ecfr.eu
What can we make of von der Leyen’s first State of the Union address since securing a second term as president? Join our experts online on Thursday to find out!
https://bit.ly/41FGP4i
Stronger, Safer… Really? Unpacking von der Leyen’s 2025 State of the Union
Last year, European Commission president Ursula Von der Leyen promised to deliver a stronger, safer, and more prosperous Europe. Yet the first year of her second mandate has been anything but smooth…
bit.ly
September 9, 2025 at 2:03 PM
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ecfr.eu
What is the EU’s role in resolving conflicts in occupied territories within eastern candidate countries? Why the EU membership is a powerful incentive for reform and stability? Re-read @teftak.bsky.social and Sergi Kapanadze's policy brief @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4le7c8m
Occupational therapy: Frozen conflicts, Russian aggression and EU enlargement
As Russia accelerates its annexation of “frozen conflict” regions, the EU must enhance its policy to counter Moscow’s influence.
bit.ly
September 8, 2025 at 12:32 PM
ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
#Russia will likely try to keep the #Iranian regime weak and out of Western reach, hoping to exploit any deal for its own gains, @kadriliik.bsky.social‬ and @kirland.bsky.social‬ argue in their last commentary.
Read it here ⬇️
Patience and pragmatism: Moscow’s view on the Israel-Iran-US war
Russia will likely try to keep the Iranian regime weak and out of Western reach, hoping to exploit any deal for its own gains.
ecfr.eu
June 25, 2025 at 9:33 PM
ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
#EU leaders have to learn lessons from #Ukraine if they want to be truly ready to take responsibility for Europe's security.
Read here more about the latest policy brief by Dmytro Kuleba.
How to arm a pacifist: Lessons from Ukraine for the EU’s defence
EU leaders have to learn lessons from Ukraine if they want to be truly ready to take responsibility for Europe’s security…
bit.ly
June 25, 2025 at 8:34 AM
ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
@camillegrand.bsky.social‬ @jkobzova.bsky.social‬ and @nicupopescu.bsky.social‬ wrote about the need for Europeans and Ukrainians to draw up a “beyond the horizon” plan for Ukraine in preparation for a potential ceasefire or a peace deal.
Read the full policy brief here⬇️
ecfr.eu/publication/...
June 24, 2025 at 2:33 PM