donus.bsky.social
@donus.bsky.social
PPP a think tank for the rest of us
December 26, 2025 at 4:11 AM
PPP a think tank for the rest of us
He’s been bad/annoying for a long time, though you’re right twitter poisoning made it worse
November 11, 2025 at 5:27 PM
He’s been bad/annoying for a long time, though you’re right twitter poisoning made it worse
One obvious answer on the left is Bruenig, dreams in welfare state change.
August 2, 2025 at 1:08 PM
One obvious answer on the left is Bruenig, dreams in welfare state change.
Yes - it’s a weird! Similar to others (like the Oregon health lottery paper) where limited or null results for health outcomes was treated as a negative instead as expected. Insurance should help bankruptcies (& it did!) - it’s just shifting money after all. The ‘stretch goal’ framing seems cynical.
July 29, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Yes - it’s a weird! Similar to others (like the Oregon health lottery paper) where limited or null results for health outcomes was treated as a negative instead as expected. Insurance should help bankruptcies (& it did!) - it’s just shifting money after all. The ‘stretch goal’ framing seems cynical.
Yeah, I don't know. I think there just might be no rules.
May 7, 2025 at 10:07 PM
Yeah, I don't know. I think there just might be no rules.
Don’t have to comment on it either
May 3, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Don’t have to comment on it either
Sure but the the lower left would pop more with transparency- right now you can’t discern density. Also they look…similar, but maybe the numbers show a larger spread. Props for a cool figure
May 2, 2025 at 2:47 AM
Sure but the the lower left would pop more with transparency- right now you can’t discern density. Also they look…similar, but maybe the numbers show a larger spread. Props for a cool figure
Gotta put some transparency on those circles
May 2, 2025 at 2:41 AM
Gotta put some transparency on those circles
I think it’s also valuable to think about the big picture - and what will happen in total - rather than being patronizing and pedantic, about specific effects. Strange to do that at the same time as scolding people for worrying about the tariffs/and their total effect.
April 3, 2025 at 1:05 AM
I think it’s also valuable to think about the big picture - and what will happen in total - rather than being patronizing and pedantic, about specific effects. Strange to do that at the same time as scolding people for worrying about the tariffs/and their total effect.
I guess consumers won’t be affected then by a loss of income from US export industries. I meant consumers/the public in a general sense. Hard to see how US businesses losing business wouldn’t hurt people.
April 3, 2025 at 12:55 AM
I guess consumers won’t be affected then by a loss of income from US export industries. I meant consumers/the public in a general sense. Hard to see how US businesses losing business wouldn’t hurt people.
Wouldn’t that retaliatory cost be the realized cost consumers face? If so, maybe the precise impact of the US tariffs isn’t so important to break down specifically
April 3, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Wouldn’t that retaliatory cost be the realized cost consumers face? If so, maybe the precise impact of the US tariffs isn’t so important to break down specifically
Mars Volta good 1st act?
March 30, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Mars Volta good 1st act?
Doing Vaughn dirty, white Sox MVP
March 27, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Doing Vaughn dirty, white Sox MVP
Thought this was OPs reply as a bit the entire way down
February 23, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Thought this was OPs reply as a bit the entire way down
Flossing is the truth - get the gunk out of your teeth
February 22, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Flossing is the truth - get the gunk out of your teeth
Classic. Need more Matt thought
November 22, 2024 at 2:44 AM
Classic. Need more Matt thought
It’s strange. I get the angst about the uncertainty, & the frustration with the saturation of horse-race poll coverage. But those things are separate from polling aggregators/models showing a 50-50 race
November 5, 2024 at 6:27 PM
It’s strange. I get the angst about the uncertainty, & the frustration with the saturation of horse-race poll coverage. But those things are separate from polling aggregators/models showing a 50-50 race
This app has an endless supply of simpletons who can’t overlook how annoying the Nate’s are to listen:
1. Polls show a toss up
2. Poll nerds say: looks like a toss up. Could be a “blow out” bc media defines that by the # of states won, not by the margin.
3. Trout: see! It’s a farce.
1. Polls show a toss up
2. Poll nerds say: looks like a toss up. Could be a “blow out” bc media defines that by the # of states won, not by the margin.
3. Trout: see! It’s a farce.
October 30, 2024 at 8:52 PM
This app has an endless supply of simpletons who can’t overlook how annoying the Nate’s are to listen:
1. Polls show a toss up
2. Poll nerds say: looks like a toss up. Could be a “blow out” bc media defines that by the # of states won, not by the margin.
3. Trout: see! It’s a farce.
1. Polls show a toss up
2. Poll nerds say: looks like a toss up. Could be a “blow out” bc media defines that by the # of states won, not by the margin.
3. Trout: see! It’s a farce.
Very true, back then it was all vibes and pick-a-poll. I’m sure the number crunchers in this thread would love to go back
October 22, 2024 at 12:28 AM
Very true, back then it was all vibes and pick-a-poll. I’m sure the number crunchers in this thread would love to go back