@dogj.bsky.social
I fully expect the U.K. to find a renewed vigour for a Trumpian peace in turn for our remaining anything more substantial than the Financial products for which we earn a dubious living.
December 21, 2025 at 10:42 AM
I fully expect the U.K. to find a renewed vigour for a Trumpian peace in turn for our remaining anything more substantial than the Financial products for which we earn a dubious living.
At least Macron and France have a deterrent to offer of course. Unlike the anaemic U.K. whose supposed independent nuclear deterrent hangs on by the thinnest of threads with Trump sharpening the scissors.
December 21, 2025 at 10:42 AM
At least Macron and France have a deterrent to offer of course. Unlike the anaemic U.K. whose supposed independent nuclear deterrent hangs on by the thinnest of threads with Trump sharpening the scissors.
Do Macron and France have a strategic vision beyond providing Germany with a nuclear deterrent to cover Germany’s re-militarisation?
Germany is the only hope that Europe has of achieving the military needed to make up for the inevitable US withdrawal.
Germany is the only hope that Europe has of achieving the military needed to make up for the inevitable US withdrawal.
December 21, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Do Macron and France have a strategic vision beyond providing Germany with a nuclear deterrent to cover Germany’s re-militarisation?
Germany is the only hope that Europe has of achieving the military needed to make up for the inevitable US withdrawal.
Germany is the only hope that Europe has of achieving the military needed to make up for the inevitable US withdrawal.
Eastasia as a Chinese dominated Eastern Pacific empire, population dense, technologically assendant and collectivist in outlook.
A Troika of empires, shifting alliances with the unifying aim of a perpetual state of managed conflict, controlling their populations?
A Troika of empires, shifting alliances with the unifying aim of a perpetual state of managed conflict, controlling their populations?
December 20, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Eastasia as a Chinese dominated Eastern Pacific empire, population dense, technologically assendant and collectivist in outlook.
A Troika of empires, shifting alliances with the unifying aim of a perpetual state of managed conflict, controlling their populations?
A Troika of empires, shifting alliances with the unifying aim of a perpetual state of managed conflict, controlling their populations?
This will form the basis of Trump’s next ultimatum.
To the EU; stop funding Ukraine to fight on or we (US) leave NATO.
Saying that confidence of US support within NATO has been seriously diminished.
To the EU; stop funding Ukraine to fight on or we (US) leave NATO.
Saying that confidence of US support within NATO has been seriously diminished.
December 19, 2025 at 3:47 PM
This will form the basis of Trump’s next ultimatum.
To the EU; stop funding Ukraine to fight on or we (US) leave NATO.
Saying that confidence of US support within NATO has been seriously diminished.
To the EU; stop funding Ukraine to fight on or we (US) leave NATO.
Saying that confidence of US support within NATO has been seriously diminished.
Of course European arms manufacture will eventually crank up, too late for Ukraine but perhaps in time to maintain EU territorial integrity when the US finally abandons NATO.
Perhaps Russia will collapse in a few years, but only if the US allows it to.
Perhaps Russia will collapse in a few years, but only if the US allows it to.
December 19, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Of course European arms manufacture will eventually crank up, too late for Ukraine but perhaps in time to maintain EU territorial integrity when the US finally abandons NATO.
Perhaps Russia will collapse in a few years, but only if the US allows it to.
Perhaps Russia will collapse in a few years, but only if the US allows it to.
Only problem being the US position.
Putin must want the war to end given Trump’s enthusiasm for peace.
EU provides the loan for Ukraine to continue to buy US weapons. Now Trump will have to stop sales and bar European nations from supplying ‘their’ US made weapons to force Ukraine to ‘peace’.
Putin must want the war to end given Trump’s enthusiasm for peace.
EU provides the loan for Ukraine to continue to buy US weapons. Now Trump will have to stop sales and bar European nations from supplying ‘their’ US made weapons to force Ukraine to ‘peace’.
December 19, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Only problem being the US position.
Putin must want the war to end given Trump’s enthusiasm for peace.
EU provides the loan for Ukraine to continue to buy US weapons. Now Trump will have to stop sales and bar European nations from supplying ‘their’ US made weapons to force Ukraine to ‘peace’.
Putin must want the war to end given Trump’s enthusiasm for peace.
EU provides the loan for Ukraine to continue to buy US weapons. Now Trump will have to stop sales and bar European nations from supplying ‘their’ US made weapons to force Ukraine to ‘peace’.
Not exactly on the same page as the current warnings of impending war being fed to us the U.K. public!
Besides you’d be court marshalled for taking it that close to ice!
Besides you’d be court marshalled for taking it that close to ice!
December 18, 2025 at 10:32 AM
Not exactly on the same page as the current warnings of impending war being fed to us the U.K. public!
Besides you’d be court marshalled for taking it that close to ice!
Besides you’d be court marshalled for taking it that close to ice!
Not fair being the understatement of our times.
?so Russia has a third, Ukraine a third and the US a third?
Don’t tell me, the US are happy to sell their third of the power generated to Ukraine and will let Ukraine staff the US third? Sounds like MAGA economics.
?so Russia has a third, Ukraine a third and the US a third?
Don’t tell me, the US are happy to sell their third of the power generated to Ukraine and will let Ukraine staff the US third? Sounds like MAGA economics.
December 18, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Not fair being the understatement of our times.
?so Russia has a third, Ukraine a third and the US a third?
Don’t tell me, the US are happy to sell their third of the power generated to Ukraine and will let Ukraine staff the US third? Sounds like MAGA economics.
?so Russia has a third, Ukraine a third and the US a third?
Don’t tell me, the US are happy to sell their third of the power generated to Ukraine and will let Ukraine staff the US third? Sounds like MAGA economics.
Question is IF the U.K. had the choice would it settle in as an eastern outpost of the new NATO or go full Euro??
November 30, 2025 at 3:53 PM
Question is IF the U.K. had the choice would it settle in as an eastern outpost of the new NATO or go full Euro??
That’s what I mean. The assumption on this side of the Atlantic is that the US can actually leave NATO. My point is that the US is NATO. If the US ‘leaves’ NATO it effectively kicks the rest out and with Canada continues as the North American Treaty Organisation.
November 30, 2025 at 3:53 PM
That’s what I mean. The assumption on this side of the Atlantic is that the US can actually leave NATO. My point is that the US is NATO. If the US ‘leaves’ NATO it effectively kicks the rest out and with Canada continues as the North American Treaty Organisation.
I don’t believe that America can take a back step in NATO. They have to continue to lead it or leave it. If they leave then NATO becomes a European institution. Assuming the US forces Canada to leave (they won’t accept a land border with defence pact they don’t control) which way the U.K. ???
November 30, 2025 at 11:44 AM
I don’t believe that America can take a back step in NATO. They have to continue to lead it or leave it. If they leave then NATO becomes a European institution. Assuming the US forces Canada to leave (they won’t accept a land border with defence pact they don’t control) which way the U.K. ???
I think some European leaders are accepting this is a permanent change.
Not the U.K. however, here it’s not so much accepting the truth but rather which truth to accept.
I mean the elephant in the room in Westminster has to be which way to jump, assuming we have the choice.
Not the U.K. however, here it’s not so much accepting the truth but rather which truth to accept.
I mean the elephant in the room in Westminster has to be which way to jump, assuming we have the choice.
November 30, 2025 at 11:44 AM
I think some European leaders are accepting this is a permanent change.
Not the U.K. however, here it’s not so much accepting the truth but rather which truth to accept.
I mean the elephant in the room in Westminster has to be which way to jump, assuming we have the choice.
Not the U.K. however, here it’s not so much accepting the truth but rather which truth to accept.
I mean the elephant in the room in Westminster has to be which way to jump, assuming we have the choice.
Those guarantees meant nothing when Russia invaded the first, second and third times. How could similar guarantees work now?
November 24, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Those guarantees meant nothing when Russia invaded the first, second and third times. How could similar guarantees work now?
To be honest security guarantees provide no certainty unless those providing the kind words can be trusted.
NATO members don’t seem able to trust the current US administration so how could Ukraine?
Security guarantees came thick and fast when it came to ‘securing’ Ukraine’s nuclear weapons.
NATO members don’t seem able to trust the current US administration so how could Ukraine?
Security guarantees came thick and fast when it came to ‘securing’ Ukraine’s nuclear weapons.
November 24, 2025 at 2:44 PM
To be honest security guarantees provide no certainty unless those providing the kind words can be trusted.
NATO members don’t seem able to trust the current US administration so how could Ukraine?
Security guarantees came thick and fast when it came to ‘securing’ Ukraine’s nuclear weapons.
NATO members don’t seem able to trust the current US administration so how could Ukraine?
Security guarantees came thick and fast when it came to ‘securing’ Ukraine’s nuclear weapons.
De facto rather than de jure I guess? Sounds like some odd double-think, I don’t understand it. Ukraine doesn’t cede the territory but accepts it is lost?? Hardly a foundation for peace?
November 23, 2025 at 9:56 PM
De facto rather than de jure I guess? Sounds like some odd double-think, I don’t understand it. Ukraine doesn’t cede the territory but accepts it is lost?? Hardly a foundation for peace?
I would imagine this would need to ‘evolve’ to what Russia holds now it keeps and no NATO membership to have a realistic chance of Russian agreement.
Then if the US deposes Maduro in a show of force….
Then if the US deposes Maduro in a show of force….
November 23, 2025 at 6:54 PM
I would imagine this would need to ‘evolve’ to what Russia holds now it keeps and no NATO membership to have a realistic chance of Russian agreement.
Then if the US deposes Maduro in a show of force….
Then if the US deposes Maduro in a show of force….
Thank you for your attention to this matter.
November 23, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Without trident we drop off the map militarily. Macron and Starmer may be good friends but Macron is politically a dead man walking and the prospect of France filling the gap left by the US and subsidising our deterrent is laughable. We’ll follow the US out of NATO.
November 23, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Without trident we drop off the map militarily. Macron and Starmer may be good friends but Macron is politically a dead man walking and the prospect of France filling the gap left by the US and subsidising our deterrent is laughable. We’ll follow the US out of NATO.
My question is whether Canada and the U.K. follow the US out? Neither country will want to do so but for practical geographic reasons Canada will follow and for political reasons the U.K. Put simply the U.K. relies upon the US for our ‘hard-power’.
November 23, 2025 at 9:46 AM
My question is whether Canada and the U.K. follow the US out? Neither country will want to do so but for practical geographic reasons Canada will follow and for political reasons the U.K. Put simply the U.K. relies upon the US for our ‘hard-power’.
I get the impression that Rubio has always been kept in the dark. He was only appointed as some sort of reassuring presence.
Vance is the architect of this approach to Ukraine and he will be behind the real goal of the US leaving NATO.
Vance is the architect of this approach to Ukraine and he will be behind the real goal of the US leaving NATO.
November 23, 2025 at 9:46 AM
I get the impression that Rubio has always been kept in the dark. He was only appointed as some sort of reassuring presence.
Vance is the architect of this approach to Ukraine and he will be behind the real goal of the US leaving NATO.
Vance is the architect of this approach to Ukraine and he will be behind the real goal of the US leaving NATO.
Well as one of those 220k followers, who incidentally hasn’t logged in to X for at least 6 months, I’m quite happy.
November 22, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Well as one of those 220k followers, who incidentally hasn’t logged in to X for at least 6 months, I’m quite happy.
The US is out of NATO. But the U.K. remains in NATO deploying the USA’s premier first and second strike capability? So half of NATOs (minus the US) nuclear deterrent is in large part leased from the US? Is this feasible? Does the U.K. leave NATO with the US (and Canada) to retain its deterrent?
November 22, 2025 at 1:51 PM
The US is out of NATO. But the U.K. remains in NATO deploying the USA’s premier first and second strike capability? So half of NATOs (minus the US) nuclear deterrent is in large part leased from the US? Is this feasible? Does the U.K. leave NATO with the US (and Canada) to retain its deterrent?
Rest of NATO calls the USA’s bluff and the USA begins a draw-down and pivot to Asia/Pacific.
But on the way is the question of the U.K. A P5 member solely on the basis of nuclear weapons possession. Nuclear weapons it is unable to maintain without greatly subsidised US support.
But on the way is the question of the U.K. A P5 member solely on the basis of nuclear weapons possession. Nuclear weapons it is unable to maintain without greatly subsidised US support.
November 22, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Rest of NATO calls the USA’s bluff and the USA begins a draw-down and pivot to Asia/Pacific.
But on the way is the question of the U.K. A P5 member solely on the basis of nuclear weapons possession. Nuclear weapons it is unable to maintain without greatly subsidised US support.
But on the way is the question of the U.K. A P5 member solely on the basis of nuclear weapons possession. Nuclear weapons it is unable to maintain without greatly subsidised US support.