dmwelgus.bsky.social
@dmwelgus.bsky.social
But maybe the anti-colonialist chavismo propaganda isn't necessary anymore. Maybe it's really just a criminal patronage organization that she can steer into a new era. I guess we'll find out.
January 4, 2026 at 8:06 PM
But maybe the anti-colonialist chavismo propaganda isn't necessary anymore. Maybe it's really just a criminal patronage organization that she can steer into a new era. I guess we'll find out.
It's hard to see how she can maintain legitimacy with her base while turning the country into a vassal state. She's in a tough spot.
January 4, 2026 at 8:02 PM
It's hard to see how she can maintain legitimacy with her base while turning the country into a vassal state. She's in a tough spot.
I used to think Trump was holding the sciences hostage to kill ideological opponents in the humanities. But he's killing the hostage too, so the strategy doesn't make sense. Really, it's just that universities are an independent site of resistance and must be brought to heel. Nothing more.
August 13, 2025 at 11:53 PM
I used to think Trump was holding the sciences hostage to kill ideological opponents in the humanities. But he's killing the hostage too, so the strategy doesn't make sense. Really, it's just that universities are an independent site of resistance and must be brought to heel. Nothing more.
I'm speaking mostly from the perspective of a business user of OpenAI, but that's where most of the money in AI is. Very few individuals are paying for ChatGPT.
August 8, 2025 at 11:51 PM
I'm speaking mostly from the perspective of a business user of OpenAI, but that's where most of the money in AI is. Very few individuals are paying for ChatGPT.
It's more about the product / platform you build around the LLM and less about the LLM itself. Obviously you need to be close to the frontier, but that's not enough. The others have products and platforms, grok does not as far as I can tell.
August 8, 2025 at 11:45 PM
It's more about the product / platform you build around the LLM and less about the LLM itself. Obviously you need to be close to the frontier, but that's not enough. The others have products and platforms, grok does not as far as I can tell.
LOL, the man has negative political sense. Beyond clueless
July 7, 2025 at 1:13 AM
LOL, the man has negative political sense. Beyond clueless
Suing the Anthropocene... I like it.
June 4, 2025 at 11:37 PM
Suing the Anthropocene... I like it.
Fair enough. I have formed a very different opinion.
April 21, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Fair enough. I have formed a very different opinion.
People on Bluesky regularly post random tweets from Noah that paint a picture that's completely at odds with his actual writing, which has been very anti-Trump and anti-Musk.
April 21, 2025 at 9:54 PM
People on Bluesky regularly post random tweets from Noah that paint a picture that's completely at odds with his actual writing, which has been very anti-Trump and anti-Musk.
I don't go on twitter anymore but his actual substack is very anti-Trump and anti-DOGE.
April 21, 2025 at 9:51 PM
I don't go on twitter anymore but his actual substack is very anti-Trump and anti-DOGE.
I also think the dollar losing its reserve currency status would have been a huge blow to his ego. As soon as it looked like that might happen he reversed course.
April 9, 2025 at 5:49 PM
I also think the dollar losing its reserve currency status would have been a huge blow to his ego. As soon as it looked like that might happen he reversed course.
Musk does this too!
April 7, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Musk does this too!
A strategic presence in certain manufacturing sectors makes sense, but apparel isn’t one of them.
How many Americans are going to line up to trade low wage service work for low wage factory work that will likely be replaced by physical AI in 3-5 years?
How many Americans are going to line up to trade low wage service work for low wage factory work that will likely be replaced by physical AI in 3-5 years?
April 6, 2025 at 12:54 PM
A strategic presence in certain manufacturing sectors makes sense, but apparel isn’t one of them.
How many Americans are going to line up to trade low wage service work for low wage factory work that will likely be replaced by physical AI in 3-5 years?
How many Americans are going to line up to trade low wage service work for low wage factory work that will likely be replaced by physical AI in 3-5 years?
I guess ‘bring back low wage jobs making T-shirts’ isn’t an attractive slogan
April 4, 2025 at 3:26 PM
I guess ‘bring back low wage jobs making T-shirts’ isn’t an attractive slogan
Same. Lot of hindsight bias these days. I hate Trump and didn't vote for him but if I had to place a bet on future tariff policy on Dec 1 it would have been a tough one.
The future is hard to predict and I'm extremely suspicious of people who pretend like that's not true after the fact.
The future is hard to predict and I'm extremely suspicious of people who pretend like that's not true after the fact.
April 4, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Same. Lot of hindsight bias these days. I hate Trump and didn't vote for him but if I had to place a bet on future tariff policy on Dec 1 it would have been a tough one.
The future is hard to predict and I'm extremely suspicious of people who pretend like that's not true after the fact.
The future is hard to predict and I'm extremely suspicious of people who pretend like that's not true after the fact.
I am not an SWE but this take is based in part on my personal experience in the data eng/data sci world.
April 2, 2025 at 12:58 PM
I am not an SWE but this take is based in part on my personal experience in the data eng/data sci world.
My bet is on fewer overall coding jobs but still a strong need for experts to oversee and manage agents. So still a good career but probably only an optimal choice for the top ~25% or so.
April 2, 2025 at 12:57 PM
My bet is on fewer overall coding jobs but still a strong need for experts to oversee and manage agents. So still a good career but probably only an optimal choice for the top ~25% or so.
There are many facets to Trump's love of tariffs but part of it is just that they are a lever he directly controls. He wants to feel powerful so he is biased towards arguments that make tariffs a cure all.
March 30, 2025 at 6:59 PM
There are many facets to Trump's love of tariffs but part of it is just that they are a lever he directly controls. He wants to feel powerful so he is biased towards arguments that make tariffs a cure all.
The analogy with MOOCs fails. MOOCs have an obvious flaw and are unlikely to evolve into anything better. GenAI, by contrast, has continually improved over the last ~5 years.
I don't think AGI is right around the corner but I also don't think AI has plateaued.
I don't think AGI is right around the corner but I also don't think AI has plateaued.
March 30, 2025 at 6:09 PM
The analogy with MOOCs fails. MOOCs have an obvious flaw and are unlikely to evolve into anything better. GenAI, by contrast, has continually improved over the last ~5 years.
I don't think AGI is right around the corner but I also don't think AI has plateaued.
I don't think AGI is right around the corner but I also don't think AI has plateaued.
It is very sensitive to feedback. At this point it basically just shows me drumming videos and videos of people dropping hot copper balls on things (idk why but they’re fun to watch)
March 28, 2025 at 12:41 PM
It is very sensitive to feedback. At this point it basically just shows me drumming videos and videos of people dropping hot copper balls on things (idk why but they’re fun to watch)
I don't get it honestly. Most of the critiques come off as petty and irrelevant. Almost always looks like jealousy to me
March 22, 2025 at 5:09 PM
I don't get it honestly. Most of the critiques come off as petty and irrelevant. Almost always looks like jealousy to me
His end game is he doesn’t want a big deficit? 🤣
March 19, 2025 at 12:59 AM
His end game is he doesn’t want a big deficit? 🤣
Ukraine was a clarifying event that discredited some corners of the left in my eyes. It really is just ‘America bad now cherry pick evidence to support.’
March 17, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Ukraine was a clarifying event that discredited some corners of the left in my eyes. It really is just ‘America bad now cherry pick evidence to support.’
Statistical modeling has long been reduced to a line of code (after data prep) but if you don’t understand what that line is doing you don’t have much value add.
I would guess something similar happens with engineering.
Vibe coding could be useful for a PM that wants a quick prototype though.
I would guess something similar happens with engineering.
Vibe coding could be useful for a PM that wants a quick prototype though.
March 14, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Statistical modeling has long been reduced to a line of code (after data prep) but if you don’t understand what that line is doing you don’t have much value add.
I would guess something similar happens with engineering.
Vibe coding could be useful for a PM that wants a quick prototype though.
I would guess something similar happens with engineering.
Vibe coding could be useful for a PM that wants a quick prototype though.
Yeah, I suspect some think that banks really could lend to people with sub-600 credit scores at 10% rates and make money. They definitely could not.
It's hard to say if higher interest credit cards for people with bad credit are a net good. For some they definitely are but maybe not on average.
It's hard to say if higher interest credit cards for people with bad credit are a net good. For some they definitely are but maybe not on average.
March 9, 2025 at 1:02 AM
Yeah, I suspect some think that banks really could lend to people with sub-600 credit scores at 10% rates and make money. They definitely could not.
It's hard to say if higher interest credit cards for people with bad credit are a net good. For some they definitely are but maybe not on average.
It's hard to say if higher interest credit cards for people with bad credit are a net good. For some they definitely are but maybe not on average.