Richard Tofel
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dicktofel.bsky.social
Richard Tofel
@dicktofel.bsky.social
now consulting at Gallatin Advisory, instructor @HarvardChanSPH, author of Second Rough Draft on Substack; former president of ProPublica
Putting these two together, while the Ackmans of the world will argue that Cuomo would have won if Sliwa had dropped out, it seems likelier that Trump would then have loomed even larger in NYC race, sealing the deal for Mamdani.
November 5, 2025 at 5:21 AM
Big polling miss of the day seems to have been in New Jersey, where Trump may have cost the GOP much more than expected, as “undecideds” broke entirely to Sherrill.
November 5, 2025 at 3:45 AM
Which is to say you and I almost always disagreed with him (until recently).
But also:
Very capable House member, whose colleagues would eventually have made him Speaker if he had stayed.
Equally capable as White Chief of Staff and Defense Sec’y.
Most effective VP ever, at least in first term.
November 4, 2025 at 3:24 PM