https://dgrifka.github.io
Creator of https://bsky.app/profile/mlb-simulator.bsky.social
Thanks to everyone who has given me feedback and advice. I'm ecstatic to be able to learn from/work with some very bright individuals and contribute to the success of a storied MLS franchise!
Thanks to everyone who has given me feedback and advice. I'm ecstatic to be able to learn from/work with some very bright individuals and contribute to the success of a storied MLS franchise!
If you were born today, then how likely is it that you would be alive to see your favorite team win the Super Bowl?
You have a 50% chance of seeing your team win 1 by age 22.
#NFL #SBLIX
But data shows ND scores 3-18 more points (89% confidence) in these minutes vs other periods.
Whether or not this matters, they do in fact score more in the middle 8.
www.wsj.com/sports/footb...
But data shows ND scores 3-18 more points (89% confidence) in these minutes vs other periods.
Whether or not this matters, they do in fact score more in the middle 8.
www.wsj.com/sports/footb...
Using a Beta-Binomial model with a .500 prior, there's an 81% chance they're now truly an above-.500 team.
Best estimate of their true win rate: .591 (90% CI: .418-.755)
Using a Beta-Binomial model with a .500 prior, there's an 81% chance they're now truly an above-.500 team.
Best estimate of their true win rate: .591 (90% CI: .418-.755)