davymcleod.bsky.social
@davymcleod.bsky.social
This paper implies there has been a 17% rise in homelessness in 2 years that is not attributable to asylum seekers. Seems pretty big.
December 22, 2025 at 3:04 AM
That's not what that graph shows. It shows people are more negative now than people have been in the past about the economy.
December 20, 2025 at 7:36 AM
And the left of the labour party is well to the left of the democratic progressive caucus.
December 17, 2025 at 3:04 PM
The local gov is saying in the local plan "you can build here if you want" to developers. Which in london means it's v likely someone will build there.
December 15, 2025 at 10:06 PM
"device for allocating seats to who value seats most highly" is obviously false. It's a device for allocating seats to those who will pay the most for them.
December 10, 2025 at 1:10 PM
It's not true that the UK public hates lockdowns. yougov.co.uk/health/artic...

This assumption was also the assumption both before and during COVID, it's just not changed.
Five years after the first lockdowns, how do Britons think the government handled the COVID-19 pandemic? | YouGov
While the public say the Conservatives handled the pandemic badly, they tend to think the major policies were right
yougov.co.uk
December 8, 2025 at 8:21 AM
The NHS is better on some things and worse on others. I don't think a single payer naturally leads to worse quality.

The US being richer is a reason you'd expect them to have better quality healthcare.

Also us median wages are maybe 10% more then UK based on ppp. I wouldn't call that far richer.
December 4, 2025 at 9:26 AM
I don't believe there is a quality hit.
December 3, 2025 at 11:43 PM
As a Brit I'm very happy with lower variety, we didn't have lower quality pre the Tories and still paid less than Americans
December 3, 2025 at 11:36 PM
In terms of the monetary effects how is this different from quantitive easing?
December 3, 2025 at 8:49 AM
The printing press led to centuries of wars in Europe. Sure the end outcome was good for humanity but yeah... not a strong argument for not considering the impacts of new technologies.
November 30, 2025 at 9:13 PM
Not really the point, but there's definitely a curb in that video.
November 29, 2025 at 9:16 PM
You get arrested for racial abuse and for inciting violence. Seems fair to me.
November 29, 2025 at 9:38 AM
People react different to the same words depending on whether they trust the people who've said them. This is perfectly logical.
November 22, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Most people on extended visas can apply for ilr after 5 years. Almost everyone can after 10 years. You say they can apply by the "normal routes" but what we're talking about here is ending one of those normal routes.
November 19, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Well unlike other people applying for a visa they will already be in the uk and trying to build a life here.
November 18, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Paris was 10 years ago. The article also says "governments’ new emission-cutting plans submitted for the Cop30... have done little to avert dangerous global heating for the fourth consecutive year."
November 14, 2025 at 8:23 AM
The EU already has anti tankering laws. Just implement those. Or tax the fuel they have on landing. This feels very solvable.
November 13, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Do you have any studies showing there is no correlation between inflation and election outcomes across different geographical areas?
November 7, 2025 at 8:55 PM
True here's a study which looks at elections in lots of places showing a strong link between inflation and election outcomes www.google.com/url?sa=t&sou...
www.google.com
November 7, 2025 at 8:21 PM
The most you can hope for is using economic data, polling data, and logical reasoning to say whether something generally has an impact on election outcomes.
November 7, 2025 at 8:18 PM
We're talking about an event you have a data point for once every 4 year with many input variables, many of which are hard to quantify. You're not going to able to come up with a good predictive model for us elections based on a few economic inputs.
November 7, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Theres lots of empirical evidence that inflation affects election results. You saying "but how come someone was unpopular when inflation was low?" Is about as intellectual as saying "well if global warming is real how come it's snowing?"
November 7, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Sure, but you've also not had a fascist leader before. (Afaik not very good on my American history).
November 5, 2025 at 7:32 PM
Sure, the same is true in the UK. Nevertheless it's the word we use. Either way I think overturning a 15 point lead is a possibility. (Not that that makes it a dumb gerrymander because obvs in that case the dems have already won the house).
November 5, 2025 at 7:29 PM