on.ft.com/3VOGbOA
on.ft.com/3VOGbOA
Especially helpful if you share with academics, science influencers, and relevant organizations.
open.substack.com/pub/realcarl...
Especially helpful if you share with academics, science influencers, and relevant organizations.
open.substack.com/pub/realcarl...
“Polls underestimated Trump”?
That phrase is the scientific equivalent of
“Mercury’s orbit just stopped and changed direction”
The analysis relies on an invalid frame of reference.
See comments for a short article that will fix this
“Polls underestimated Trump”?
That phrase is the scientific equivalent of
“Mercury’s orbit just stopped and changed direction”
The analysis relies on an invalid frame of reference.
See comments for a short article that will fix this
Given a poll of
Candidate A: 46%
Candidate B: 44%
Undecided: 10%
Result:
Candidate A: 49%
Candidate B: 51%
How much error did the poll have?
Given a poll of
Candidate A: 46%
Candidate B: 44%
Undecided: 10%
Result:
Candidate A: 49%
Candidate B: 51%
How much error did the poll have?
He said if he was elected he could end the war before he even took office
He said if he was elected he could end the war before he even took office
Let them go bankrupt
Clearly, Dems saving the economy and jobs from Republican ruin has earned them no goodwill
Republicans control the House, Senate, and Presidency
Let them find out
Let them go bankrupt
Clearly, Dems saving the economy and jobs from Republican ruin has earned them no goodwill
Republicans control the House, Senate, and Presidency
Let them find out
"It's not guns it's mental health!'
"So you think we should make sure mental health is accessible?"
Lol no
"It's not guns it's mental health!'
"So you think we should make sure mental health is accessible?"
Lol no
-Headline
"Polls predicted Clinton win - why they were wrong"
-Academic journal
Big problem. THERE IS NO "WHY."
It's a nonsensical question
"Why did this snapshot of the race not predict the winner?"
realcarlallen.substack.com/p/did-polls-...
-Headline
"Polls predicted Clinton win - why they were wrong"
-Academic journal
Big problem. THERE IS NO "WHY."
It's a nonsensical question
"Why did this snapshot of the race not predict the winner?"
realcarlallen.substack.com/p/did-polls-...
Yikes
Yikes
In your search engine of choice, search
"Simultaneous Census"
Please share with me the top results - screenshot or otherwise.
In your search engine of choice, search
"Simultaneous Census"
Please share with me the top results - screenshot or otherwise.