daviec.bsky.social
@daviec.bsky.social
Okay, I'd have to take your word on this.
But it also means there needs to be another word besides "moderation" if "preserving the status quo, in a way that the opposing party is on board on" is not "moderation."

People will talk about "preserving political capital" to avoid delivering.
November 7, 2025 at 10:52 PM
The big problem is that y'all are "moderation" bros, and it's the moderates that killed this sort of reform.

Maybe median voter theorem can get you into office, but if it's grid lock because people actually want to side with republicans, the whole party catches the grief.
November 7, 2025 at 9:13 PM
This is not true.

There are codes, but building developers always try to make it as cheap as possible.

Without them, it'd be even uglier, because they'd make it even cheaper.
November 7, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Bill's mood right now:
November 7, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Yes, "median voter theorem" ignores them.

There are many active criticisms of thinking the electorate is a normal distribution.

Again, the people who like this particular theory are lazy, imagine that they are near "the center," and are making a self-serving argument.
November 7, 2025 at 2:01 PM
This is so tired and you're clearly a lazy thinker.

Trump lied.
Republicans and the media ran cover for those lies.
He has a certain charisma.
He's not a black woman from CA.
People don't trust Dems to deliver.

There are so many other dimensions you ignore.
November 7, 2025 at 12:48 PM
You'd be bringing in a lot of different people!

I don't think it's a forgone conclusion how these people will vote in the next election.

But it takes work to make them like the candidate and the party.

You can have a perfectly "median voter" candidate, but if they seem impotent, no one cares.
November 7, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Ross occasionally talks to "liberals" but the chief difference is the Ross always subtly exaggerates his claims, especially about progressives, while Ezra always polite hedges his claims, especially to conservatives, because the know a center-left audience wants to feel "balanced."

It's a farce.
November 7, 2025 at 1:36 AM
No, that's not what I'm saying. But you think "median voter" makes you sound smart, probably because you identify with it personally as good "moderate" politics.

I already said there are other dimensions that you're leaving out with such a simple model. One important dimension might be non-voters.
November 6, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Do you realize, you did just say you're including hardcore republicans in your sample size. And again my point is, why do you need to include these people in your policy considerations when you won't get rewarded for it.

There are so many other problems with your analysis, but that's the main one.
November 6, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Is a burrito a sandwich?
November 6, 2025 at 12:36 AM
Okay, but if you think the "median voter" matters here, hardcore republicans make up some of your sample size.

Did you think about that?
November 4, 2025 at 10:07 PM
I don't think anyone said the median voter doesn't matter, but we've seen that pandering to the opinions of people who aren't going to vote for you no matter what isn't going to create a persuasive campaign for less politically certain people who vote based on other dimensions.
November 4, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Matt, Democrats need to win votes from people way less educated, tuned in, policy-oriented, and poorer than you.

You might not have the skillset to relate to those people and doing politics your condescending way might be bad for the democrat brand.

Have you considered that?
November 4, 2025 at 2:07 PM
slapping fannies and killing grannies
November 3, 2025 at 11:34 AM
The biggest problem with his theory here is how do you do "moderation" and "deliverism" at the same time? We can have another Joe Manchin or pro-life dem in a red state, but if they spike the ball on Dem policy, they're throwing other Dems in purple states who ran on this under the bus.
November 2, 2025 at 10:17 PM
The biggest problem with his theory here is how do you do "moderation" and "deliverism" at the same time? We can have another Joe Manchin or pro-life dem in a red state, but if they spike the ball on Dem policy, they're throwing other Dems in purple states who ran on this under the bus.
November 2, 2025 at 10:13 PM
November 2, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Bill's mood right now:
October 31, 2025 at 11:15 PM
October 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
I think we need more words to describe "political" and our media system is failing us. Is it partisan gamesmanship? Brinksmanship? Performance art? Actual debate about the policies?
October 30, 2025 at 11:45 AM
It's funny you put "The Groups" in scare quotes.
Perfectly circular idea that as long as dems lose, there's always a part of the coalition that's still unreasonable and wants to lose.

I'm sure it's never your favorite advocacy agencies tho, it's always the other ones.
October 30, 2025 at 11:18 AM
obama phones
October 30, 2025 at 11:15 AM
October 29, 2025 at 9:46 PM