David Clark
@davidclark19.bsky.social
Dad, Grandad, runner, Pathologist 43 years in NHS and still going
At this point it doesn't even get an eye roll 🙄
February 21, 2025 at 6:06 AM
At this point it doesn't even get an eye roll 🙄
HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO SAY IT. I... AM... NOT....A...LIB.... DEM.... SLEEPER... AGENT!
February 21, 2025 at 6:01 AM
HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO SAY IT. I... AM... NOT....A...LIB.... DEM.... SLEEPER... AGENT!
They also omitted to mention the detailed and rigorous risk assessment with measures to mitigate the key risks. Unexploded ordnance could make the golf course quite tricky to get round.
February 11, 2025 at 2:42 PM
They also omitted to mention the detailed and rigorous risk assessment with measures to mitigate the key risks. Unexploded ordnance could make the golf course quite tricky to get round.
Diffusion of innovation theory (Rogers) applies to terrorists. too. www.springerprofessional.de/en/the-diffu...
The Diffusion and Adoption of IED Technology
This chapter draws on the work of Everett Rogers on the diffusion of innovations to outline factors that influence whether and how actors innovate with technology in the context of IEDs. In doing so, the text brings together insights from the …
www.springerprofessional.de
January 2, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Diffusion of innovation theory (Rogers) applies to terrorists. too. www.springerprofessional.de/en/the-diffu...
I've found the theories in Rogers book really useful in practice. Particularly, the difference in mindset between, innovators, early and late majority, thresholds for engagement, the importance of social proof. Must read for anyone serious about delivering change.
December 21, 2024 at 6:26 AM
I've found the theories in Rogers book really useful in practice. Particularly, the difference in mindset between, innovators, early and late majority, thresholds for engagement, the importance of social proof. Must read for anyone serious about delivering change.
Suspect his agent has already been approached about joining the other celebrities with "interesting" back stories in the Australian jungle next year. Every cloud...
December 1, 2024 at 9:22 AM
Suspect his agent has already been approached about joining the other celebrities with "interesting" back stories in the Australian jungle next year. Every cloud...
It's following the sigmoid curve of diffuse of innovation in a fixed population. A bit like quarantine. Unless it breaks into another population its growth will plateau. There's a finite number of politically engaged, liberal inclined folk who can't bear Musk and populism.
November 26, 2024 at 4:11 PM
It's following the sigmoid curve of diffuse of innovation in a fixed population. A bit like quarantine. Unless it breaks into another population its growth will plateau. There's a finite number of politically engaged, liberal inclined folk who can't bear Musk and populism.
It's a clever pivot to target the affluent liberal Tesla owners thinking about their next car. Suspect they've already jumped ship to here.
November 24, 2024 at 9:13 AM
It's a clever pivot to target the affluent liberal Tesla owners thinking about their next car. Suspect they've already jumped ship to here.
I think he meant to say "96% people who purchased farms to avoid IHT on their assets will be liable for IHT" He has got a point and I can see why he's very upset given his recent close shave with the reaper.
November 19, 2024 at 4:05 PM
I think he meant to say "96% people who purchased farms to avoid IHT on their assets will be liable for IHT" He has got a point and I can see why he's very upset given his recent close shave with the reaper.
No. They just offer the most plausible answer.
November 16, 2024 at 1:39 PM
No. They just offer the most plausible answer.
4. Make a case that you're the anti-status quo/elite insurgent worth taking a punt on despite elites painting you as extreme or irrational and reflect the elite's attack lines as an attack on your target voters
Very difficult to counter from the centre
Very difficult to counter from the centre
November 13, 2024 at 2:55 PM
4. Make a case that you're the anti-status quo/elite insurgent worth taking a punt on despite elites painting you as extreme or irrational and reflect the elite's attack lines as an attack on your target voters
Very difficult to counter from the centre
Very difficult to counter from the centre
Step 1. Identify the losing group(s) based on having lost status/income/identity. Step 2. Empathise with their loss. Step 3. Run a campaign on winning back their losses. eg take back control, Make America Great Again, blaming the current elite status quo for their loss of income/status/identity.
November 13, 2024 at 2:55 PM
Step 1. Identify the losing group(s) based on having lost status/income/identity. Step 2. Empathise with their loss. Step 3. Run a campaign on winning back their losses. eg take back control, Make America Great Again, blaming the current elite status quo for their loss of income/status/identity.
I wonder whether Daniel Kahneman's prospect theory explains much of Trump (& Brexit) appeal. People are more likely to gamble if they already have a perceived loss with high salience and less likely to gamble if the status quo is acceptable.
November 13, 2024 at 2:55 PM
I wonder whether Daniel Kahneman's prospect theory explains much of Trump (& Brexit) appeal. People are more likely to gamble if they already have a perceived loss with high salience and less likely to gamble if the status quo is acceptable.
Nature, nurture and lottery.
November 9, 2024 at 1:07 PM
Nature, nurture and lottery.
I'd categorise personal luck into 3 types:
1. Innate characteristics - not needing much sleep, ability to concentrate for long periods etc.
2. Environment - having privileged access to familial support, being surrounded by people that help you grow etc
3. Serendipity - right place, right time
1. Innate characteristics - not needing much sleep, ability to concentrate for long periods etc.
2. Environment - having privileged access to familial support, being surrounded by people that help you grow etc
3. Serendipity - right place, right time
November 9, 2024 at 1:06 PM
I'd categorise personal luck into 3 types:
1. Innate characteristics - not needing much sleep, ability to concentrate for long periods etc.
2. Environment - having privileged access to familial support, being surrounded by people that help you grow etc
3. Serendipity - right place, right time
1. Innate characteristics - not needing much sleep, ability to concentrate for long periods etc.
2. Environment - having privileged access to familial support, being surrounded by people that help you grow etc
3. Serendipity - right place, right time
Maybe I'm giving too much credit here. But perhaps asking IDS to talk was an attempt to avoid survivorship bias. Let's get a talk someone who made a complete Horlicks of being LOTO (but don't tell him that's why he's invited). en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivo...
Survivorship bias - Wikipedia
en.m.wikipedia.org
November 9, 2024 at 12:43 PM
Maybe I'm giving too much credit here. But perhaps asking IDS to talk was an attempt to avoid survivorship bias. Let's get a talk someone who made a complete Horlicks of being LOTO (but don't tell him that's why he's invited). en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivo...
Pathologist view - the thing about post mortems is; you can usually determine the most likely immediate cause of death, but can only speculate on the complex, multiple interactions over many years that led to that particular outcome at that particular time.
November 9, 2024 at 7:20 AM
Pathologist view - the thing about post mortems is; you can usually determine the most likely immediate cause of death, but can only speculate on the complex, multiple interactions over many years that led to that particular outcome at that particular time.
5. He doesn't have to worry about re-election.
November 7, 2024 at 7:48 AM
5. He doesn't have to worry about re-election.
The actuarial estimated life expectancy of a 78 year US male is 8.95 years. Trump's most likely to serve the full term, but about one in five chance of Vance being POTUS.
November 6, 2024 at 6:06 AM
The actuarial estimated life expectancy of a 78 year US male is 8.95 years. Trump's most likely to serve the full term, but about one in five chance of Vance being POTUS.
I suspect the hidden bit of Dom's internal monologue is "I used to be a contender" on continuous loop. Howling at the moon
November 1, 2024 at 4:55 AM
I suspect the hidden bit of Dom's internal monologue is "I used to be a contender" on continuous loop. Howling at the moon
It's an ideologue distilling everything in this complex messy world into simple binary categories: deserving/undeserving, right/wrong, principled/woke, wheat/chaff, my way/the highway. It's purpose is to provoke
October 15, 2024 at 1:16 PM
It's an ideologue distilling everything in this complex messy world into simple binary categories: deserving/undeserving, right/wrong, principled/woke, wheat/chaff, my way/the highway. It's purpose is to provoke