Abhi Datta
dattascientist.bsky.social
Abhi Datta
@dattascientist.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University

Geospatial statistics, machine learning, AI, environmental health, global health

https://abhidatta.com/
If the exposure itself is very smooth, like distance from a factory, then it is generally not possible to identify effect of such spatially smooth exposures on spatial outcomes due to the possibility of unmeasured smooth spatial confounding, and identification would need additional assumptions.
February 25, 2025 at 8:52 PM
If your spatial exposure varies at fine spatial scales, then confounding due to unmeasured variables that are such smooth(er) functions of space can be mitigated by use of standard spatial estimators like those based on Gaussian process, generalized least squares, splines etc.
February 25, 2025 at 8:49 PM
I think you are referring to what is known in spatial statistics as 'spatial confounding', that is spatial exposure and spatial outcomes are partly collinear with smooth functions of space (in your case, distance to the center). See some recent work by our team on this.

bsky.app/profile/datt...
Excited to share our paper with @betsyogburn.bsky.social and former advisee Brian Gilbert that studies common estimators of exposure effect under unmeasured spatial confounding.
doi.org/10.1093/biom...

Our results debunk some myths about spatial confounding. Summary of our main findings 👇: 1/
Consistency of common spatial estimators under spatial confounding
Abstract. This paper addresses the asymptotic performance of popular spatial regression estimators of the linear effect of an exposure on an outcome under
doi.org
February 25, 2025 at 8:44 PM
GLS estimates can also adjust for spatial endogeneity without explicitly modeling the correlation between the exposure and spatial error. This gives an example where an estimator based off an exogenous model can account for endogeneity. 4/4
January 14, 2025 at 11:58 AM
Generalized least squares (GLS) estimates with Gaussian process working covariance are consistent for the linear exposure effect under unmeasured spatial confounding, as long as the exposure has some non-spatial component. This overturns claims that GLS fails under confounding. 3/
January 14, 2025 at 11:55 AM
Restricting spatial random effects to be orthogonal to the exposure doesn’t resolve spatial confounding bias. Restricted spatial regression yields the same effect estimate as unadjusted OLS, with asymptotically non-vanishing omitted variable bias. 2/
January 14, 2025 at 11:52 AM