Danny Quah
@dannyquah.bsky.social
Economist who studies Third Nation Agency in Geopolitics
When I returned to SE Asia in 2016, a good friend at a top US Economics Department told me I had obviously decided to take the easy way out and retired, so I would no longer have to compete in the fierce competition of frontier economic ideas.
November 9, 2025 at 11:07 PM
When I returned to SE Asia in 2016, a good friend at a top US Economics Department told me I had obviously decided to take the easy way out and retired, so I would no longer have to compete in the fierce competition of frontier economic ideas.
Along with President Xi and PM Lawrence Wong, I'm Team "Mitigate, don't align." Don't even not align.
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/po...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/31/w...
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/po...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/31/w...
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
November 2, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Along with President Xi and PM Lawrence Wong, I'm Team "Mitigate, don't align." Don't even not align.
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/po...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/31/w...
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/po...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/31/w...
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals
Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and Australia are not developing countries but I reckon the conclusions are invariant if we changed "developing" to "outside the North Transatlantic Axis".
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and Australia are not developing countries but I reckon the conclusions are invariant if we changed "developing" to "outside the North Transatlantic Axis".
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
October 30, 2025 at 11:50 AM
The Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals
Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and Australia are not developing countries but I reckon the conclusions are invariant if we changed "developing" to "outside the North Transatlantic Axis".
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and Australia are not developing countries but I reckon the conclusions are invariant if we changed "developing" to "outside the North Transatlantic Axis".
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Geoeconomics isn't "the economics of the global economy" or "economic security". Instead, geoeconomics is, as economic statecraft, the use of economic tools for foreign policy goals. So, doing geoeconomics means knowing your enemy, or identifying the shocks hitting your economy.
October 17, 2025 at 10:59 AM
Geoeconomics isn't "the economics of the global economy" or "economic security". Instead, geoeconomics is, as economic statecraft, the use of economic tools for foreign policy goals. So, doing geoeconomics means knowing your enemy, or identifying the shocks hitting your economy.
That couple months when I got to meet up with my former students from LSE and LKYSPP, now all across the world, changing it.
October 4, 2025 at 6:19 AM
That couple months when I got to meet up with my former students from LSE and LKYSPP, now all across the world, changing it.
Why capacity-building is great, of course, improving the supply side. But economics also flags the limits to that strategy. Not least in a world of fraying multilateralism and hesitant globalisation, especially if your economy is a billion-people one.
September 27, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Why capacity-building is great, of course, improving the supply side. But economics also flags the limits to that strategy. Not least in a world of fraying multilateralism and hesitant globalisation, especially if your economy is a billion-people one.
Facebook reminds me that as recently as nine years ago the world, its universities, and their headlines were very different from today.
September 21, 2025 at 8:21 AM
Facebook reminds me that as recently as nine years ago the world, its universities, and their headlines were very different from today.
Economics seminars ain't what they used to be.
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
September 9, 2025 at 9:28 AM
Economics seminars ain't what they used to be.
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
"If the international system is to endure, it must have more than just great- or middle-power leadership. Incentive compatibility must replace the idea that size matters and will add more to resilience than explicit contractual collaboration agreements."
www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
September 4, 2025 at 10:31 AM
"If the international system is to endure, it must have more than just great- or middle-power leadership. Incentive compatibility must replace the idea that size matters and will add more to resilience than explicit contractual collaboration agreements."
www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
World Order Minus One
In a world of unpredictable great powers, adaptation leaves small states exposed. Mitigation, through proactive economic statecraft and pathfinder multilateralism, offers an attractive alternative.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
In a world of unpredictable great powers, adaptation leaves small states exposed. Mitigation, through proactive economic statecraft and pathfinder multilateralism, offers an attractive alternative.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
September 2, 2025 at 10:33 AM
World Order Minus One
In a world of unpredictable great powers, adaptation leaves small states exposed. Mitigation, through proactive economic statecraft and pathfinder multilateralism, offers an attractive alternative.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
In a world of unpredictable great powers, adaptation leaves small states exposed. Mitigation, through proactive economic statecraft and pathfinder multilateralism, offers an attractive alternative.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/conc...
If major powers are tearing up the global rulebook, what principles might help frame the way forwards?
The London Consensus - Oct 2025
Published 16th October, via OpenAccess publishing, will be free to read and download.
press.lse.ac.uk/books/e/10.3...
The London Consensus - Oct 2025
Published 16th October, via OpenAccess publishing, will be free to read and download.
press.lse.ac.uk/books/e/10.3...
August 29, 2025 at 3:18 PM
If major powers are tearing up the global rulebook, what principles might help frame the way forwards?
The London Consensus - Oct 2025
Published 16th October, via OpenAccess publishing, will be free to read and download.
press.lse.ac.uk/books/e/10.3...
The London Consensus - Oct 2025
Published 16th October, via OpenAccess publishing, will be free to read and download.
press.lse.ac.uk/books/e/10.3...
What The Big Bang Theory and TV drama continue to miss is how in graduate school it is students of public policy that are awesome.
Lee Kuan Yew School of Policy
Lee Kuan Yew School of Policy
August 21, 2025 at 11:08 PM
What The Big Bang Theory and TV drama continue to miss is how in graduate school it is students of public policy that are awesome.
Lee Kuan Yew School of Policy
Lee Kuan Yew School of Policy
Unbelievably, it's now 43 years to the month since I first met this man who became my PhD supervisor and taught me so many of the tools and ideas I still use today. And today still he inspires with his humility, his curiosity, and his conviction on the ideals of scholarship.
August 16, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Unbelievably, it's now 43 years to the month since I first met this man who became my PhD supervisor and taught me so many of the tools and ideas I still use today. And today still he inspires with his humility, his curiosity, and his conviction on the ideals of scholarship.
Boao Forum
全球南方的多边主义悲剧 | 博鳌发言
where I suggest that multilateralism decays, not passively because of benign neglect, but actively because of the dynamics of costs and benefits.
(English links at the bottom)
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lLc3me7B9f...
全球南方的多边主义悲剧 | 博鳌发言
where I suggest that multilateralism decays, not passively because of benign neglect, but actively because of the dynamics of costs and benefits.
(English links at the bottom)
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lLc3me7B9f...
August 8, 2025 at 10:45 PM
Boao Forum
全球南方的多边主义悲剧 | 博鳌发言
where I suggest that multilateralism decays, not passively because of benign neglect, but actively because of the dynamics of costs and benefits.
(English links at the bottom)
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lLc3me7B9f...
全球南方的多边主义悲剧 | 博鳌发言
where I suggest that multilateralism decays, not passively because of benign neglect, but actively because of the dynamics of costs and benefits.
(English links at the bottom)
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lLc3me7B9f...
Friends are helping me port to my own Weixin official account things I've written they feel should be read in China in Chinese. We agreed to begin with this one
致特朗普：美国不要再沉迷于“世界第一”了 | 狮城来信
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nBZFGU4x50...
致特朗普：美国不要再沉迷于“世界第一”了 | 狮城来信
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nBZFGU4x50...
August 4, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Friends are helping me port to my own Weixin official account things I've written they feel should be read in China in Chinese. We agreed to begin with this one
致特朗普：美国不要再沉迷于“世界第一”了 | 狮城来信
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nBZFGU4x50...
致特朗普：美国不要再沉迷于“世界第一”了 | 狮城来信
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nBZFGU4x50...
Meltdown of order is both trope and reality of our time.
Does the global economy shift from our lifting others so we raise ourselves, or from keeping others down?
Obviously we each said what we thought.
Does the global economy shift from our lifting others so we raise ourselves, or from keeping others down?
Obviously we each said what we thought.
August 3, 2025 at 11:09 AM
Meltdown of order is both trope and reality of our time.
Does the global economy shift from our lifting others so we raise ourselves, or from keeping others down?
Obviously we each said what we thought.
Does the global economy shift from our lifting others so we raise ourselves, or from keeping others down?
Obviously we each said what we thought.
Correlated Trade and Geopolitics Driving a Fractured World Order
This article argues that in a fracturing world order geopolitics and trade align. It is, thus, a fallacy that geopolitics and economics provide a balance through working in opposition.
dannyquah.github.io/publications...
This article argues that in a fracturing world order geopolitics and trade align. It is, thus, a fallacy that geopolitics and economics provide a balance through working in opposition.
dannyquah.github.io/publications...
July 25, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Correlated Trade and Geopolitics Driving a Fractured World Order
This article argues that in a fracturing world order geopolitics and trade align. It is, thus, a fallacy that geopolitics and economics provide a balance through working in opposition.
dannyquah.github.io/publications...
This article argues that in a fracturing world order geopolitics and trade align. It is, thus, a fallacy that geopolitics and economics provide a balance through working in opposition.
dannyquah.github.io/publications...
Is the conventional capacity-building of economic development the right response? What can we do better?
lkyspp.sg/world-bank-a... including Selina Ho and Saravanan Ravindran from the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy
lkyspp.sg/world-bank-a... including Selina Ho and Saravanan Ravindran from the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy
July 22, 2025 at 9:32 AM
Is the conventional capacity-building of economic development the right response? What can we do better?
lkyspp.sg/world-bank-a... including Selina Ho and Saravanan Ravindran from the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy
lkyspp.sg/world-bank-a... including Selina Ho and Saravanan Ravindran from the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy
The China Shock can be viewed as import flow or as price effect. The latter, pricing the China Shock, helps explain why industrial policy attempting to protect specific sectors ends up, in reality, penalizing those same sectors.
open.substack.com/pub/dannyqua...
open.substack.com/pub/dannyqua...
July 12, 2025 at 11:04 AM
The China Shock can be viewed as import flow or as price effect. The latter, pricing the China Shock, helps explain why industrial policy attempting to protect specific sectors ends up, in reality, penalizing those same sectors.
open.substack.com/pub/dannyqua...
open.substack.com/pub/dannyqua...
Thirty years after when we were new full professors at LSE, of traversing the planet physically, Hyunsong Shin and I again got to sit down together and discuss convergent research, this time on geopolitics and world order, multilateralism, and global monetary and financial stability.
July 12, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Thirty years after when we were new full professors at LSE, of traversing the planet physically, Hyunsong Shin and I again got to sit down together and discuss convergent research, this time on geopolitics and world order, multilateralism, and global monetary and financial stability.
Why did I write that America needs to stop obsessing about being number 1?
And other things we talk about in Asia.
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LlVtU0dy4H... (Chinese text)
www.sztv.com.cn/ysz/dsdb/szw... (English video)
And other things we talk about in Asia.
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LlVtU0dy4H... (Chinese text)
www.sztv.com.cn/ysz/dsdb/szw... (English video)
June 29, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Why did I write that America needs to stop obsessing about being number 1?
And other things we talk about in Asia.
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LlVtU0dy4H... (Chinese text)
www.sztv.com.cn/ysz/dsdb/szw... (English video)
And other things we talk about in Asia.
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LlVtU0dy4H... (Chinese text)
www.sztv.com.cn/ysz/dsdb/szw... (English video)
To continue my work on the intersection of geopolitics and international economics in the new world order, and on social mobility and income inequality with the Social Mobility Foundation...
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/pr...
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/pr...
June 27, 2025 at 11:31 PM
To continue my work on the intersection of geopolitics and international economics in the new world order, and on social mobility and income inequality with the Social Mobility Foundation...
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/pr...
www.straitstimes.com/singapore/pr...
I'm speaking in Hong Kong (public event) on the fractured world order, seeking to understand not only its economic consequences, but also its causes.
www.asiaglobalinstitute.hku.hk/eventdetail/...
www.asiaglobalinstitute.hku.hk/eventdetail/...
June 27, 2025 at 12:25 AM
I'm speaking in Hong Kong (public event) on the fractured world order, seeking to understand not only its economic consequences, but also its causes.
www.asiaglobalinstitute.hku.hk/eventdetail/...
www.asiaglobalinstitute.hku.hk/eventdetail/...
At World Economic Forum, there are many things you're expected to do. This week in Tianjin I'm mostly chillin' with my friends in the media.
(What I actually said will have to wait for later #amnc25 )
(What I actually said will have to wait for later #amnc25 )
June 26, 2025 at 10:53 AM
At World Economic Forum, there are many things you're expected to do. This week in Tianjin I'm mostly chillin' with my friends in the media.
(What I actually said will have to wait for later #amnc25 )
(What I actually said will have to wait for later #amnc25 )
US shakes up Europe's security architecture, Mar 2025. EU starts to discuss new strategic doctrine, on step-by-step European independence from the US.
US takes on international economic system, Apr 2025 Liberation Day tariffs.
All "these countries are calling us up, kissing my ass."
US takes on international economic system, Apr 2025 Liberation Day tariffs.
All "these countries are calling us up, kissing my ass."
June 6, 2025 at 10:57 AM
US shakes up Europe's security architecture, Mar 2025. EU starts to discuss new strategic doctrine, on step-by-step European independence from the US.
US takes on international economic system, Apr 2025 Liberation Day tariffs.
All "these countries are calling us up, kissing my ass."
US takes on international economic system, Apr 2025 Liberation Day tariffs.
All "these countries are calling us up, kissing my ass."