Dan Brown
danndbrown.bsky.social
Dan Brown
@danndbrown.bsky.social
Thanks to @statsbomb.com for access to event data for this work!
August 6, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Whilst referees are surprisingly lenient, there is no evidence they are more lenient towards home teams than away teams (unlike referees’ home bias in yellow card decisions: tinyurl.com/53kks2pv
Are referees biased towards home teams?
Premier League referees are 30 percent less likely to yellow card a home team player for a foul than an away team player in matches where one of the big six is at home. This is true even after cont…
tinyurl.com
August 6, 2025 at 12:58 PM
The data suggests these yards are “stolen” not random; that is they’re moving the ball systematically to better positions
August 6, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Players reposition free kicks more than 3 yards from where fouls are committed on average, including in dangerous shooting positions
August 6, 2025 at 12:58 PM