Daniel Haran
@danielharan.bsky.social
Chocolate maker. Past work included software, open data, AI, politics.
No wonder Conservatives hate universities: only people with no understanding of history, feminist theories or critical analysis can take these shallow, reactionnary rationalisations seriously.
Like anti-vaxxers, utterly oblivious to how bad things used to be.
Like anti-vaxxers, utterly oblivious to how bad things used to be.
November 6, 2025 at 4:07 PM
No wonder Conservatives hate universities: only people with no understanding of history, feminist theories or critical analysis can take these shallow, reactionnary rationalisations seriously.
Like anti-vaxxers, utterly oblivious to how bad things used to be.
Like anti-vaxxers, utterly oblivious to how bad things used to be.
AI will be worth 100 trillion by 2030, all that's needed is a few more data centres to hammer out these few remaining bugs.
November 2, 2025 at 6:23 PM
AI will be worth 100 trillion by 2030, all that's needed is a few more data centres to hammer out these few remaining bugs.
En rappel, nos élus au pouvoir parlaient de la dangerosité de l'avenue Parc depuis bien longtemps, et étaient aux cérémonies de pose de vélos fantômes.
En plus de l'urgence de sécuriser l'avenue, il serait pertinent de se demander pourquoi le problème perdure.
En plus de l'urgence de sécuriser l'avenue, il serait pertinent de se demander pourquoi le problème perdure.
September 8, 2025 at 4:48 PM
En rappel, nos élus au pouvoir parlaient de la dangerosité de l'avenue Parc depuis bien longtemps, et étaient aux cérémonies de pose de vélos fantômes.
En plus de l'urgence de sécuriser l'avenue, il serait pertinent de se demander pourquoi le problème perdure.
En plus de l'urgence de sécuriser l'avenue, il serait pertinent de se demander pourquoi le problème perdure.
"97% of wildfires in Nova Scotia are started by humans"
That data is from 1990-2009, and was originally published in this report, which includes some important context:
www.novascotia.ca/natr/forestp...
That data is from 1990-2009, and was originally published in this report, which includes some important context:
www.novascotia.ca/natr/forestp...
August 14, 2025 at 5:49 PM
"97% of wildfires in Nova Scotia are started by humans"
That data is from 1990-2009, and was originally published in this report, which includes some important context:
www.novascotia.ca/natr/forestp...
That data is from 1990-2009, and was originally published in this report, which includes some important context:
www.novascotia.ca/natr/forestp...
"We'll have to agree to disagree", yeah, buddy, motivated cognition is a hell of a drug.
August 7, 2025 at 12:21 AM
"We'll have to agree to disagree", yeah, buddy, motivated cognition is a hell of a drug.
I unfriended the family MAGAts, so would be relieved if they stopped adding me to their silly group chats.
July 4, 2025 at 11:10 PM
I unfriended the family MAGAts, so would be relieved if they stopped adding me to their silly group chats.
Another interesting tweet.... this may be the dumbest thing you read today.
June 22, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Another interesting tweet.... this may be the dumbest thing you read today.
Interesting that @mark-carney.bsky.social does not publish everything on Bluesky, and in particular did not push this message about Iran, which was on X.
June 22, 2025 at 5:18 PM
Interesting that @mark-carney.bsky.social does not publish everything on Bluesky, and in particular did not push this message about Iran, which was on X.
The most infuriating is the adherence to a "gold standard" set out in 1959: surpassing a physician's diagnostic accuracy.
While that IS important, the paper mentions accuracy at ordering the most appropriate diagnostic test.
That seems... useful and important?
While that IS important, the paper mentions accuracy at ordering the most appropriate diagnostic test.
That seems... useful and important?
![We next evaluated the ability of o1-preview to select the next diagnostic test in the NEJM CPCs.
Two physicians scored the suggested test plan produced by o1-preview (agreement on 113/132
cases [86%], κ=0.28), with respect to the actual management of the patient described in the
CPC. The proportion of agreements was high, but the kappa was low due to severe class
imbalance. In 87.5% of cases, o1-preview selected the correct test to order, in another 11% of
cases the chosen testing plan was judged by the two physicians to be helpful, and in 1.5% of
cases it would have been unhelpful (Figure 3). Examples are shown in Table 2.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:vmjtqfl6zv7ka536pdnpwojn/bafkreicejumukkxnnf55dciea5adpb4775xvkxgktgp3ph3id6lubbghbe@jpeg)
May 22, 2025 at 3:11 AM
The most infuriating is the adherence to a "gold standard" set out in 1959: surpassing a physician's diagnostic accuracy.
While that IS important, the paper mentions accuracy at ordering the most appropriate diagnostic test.
That seems... useful and important?
While that IS important, the paper mentions accuracy at ordering the most appropriate diagnostic test.
That seems... useful and important?
It appears US weather forecast accuracy is also degrading very fast, a predictable result of missing data and forecasters.
![Screenshot of Facebook post by meteorologist Chris Zelman WALB, "GFS (American) weather model (in red) is turning less accurate likely due to loss of meteorologists and data at NWS & NOAA. We are watching how DOGE cuts affect weather forecasting in real time."
The graph includes a title of "5-day NHEMI [20°-80° N] 500hPa Z Anomaly Correlation", and a last verification date of 12Z04MAY2025 by @RyanMaue"
The performance for 3 models is shown on the graph, with summary statistics given at top:
ECMWF: Last 90 days: 0.941 | 30 days: 0.930 | 7 days: 0.905
GFS: Last 90 days: 0.902 | 30 days: 0.884 | 7 days: 0.850
AIFS: Last 90 days: 0.945 | 30 days: 0.939 | 7 days: 0.919
The GFS accuracy is shown in red and clearly below the two others, with one small dip below 0.8 in mid-March and a clearer sustained divergence since mid-April, leading to two more days below 0.8 since May.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:vmjtqfl6zv7ka536pdnpwojn/bafkreiddjzpifeyhsiu5nwk7yem5gbbmafsfgj4di7vbfxxnrqog3g7yrm@jpeg)
May 7, 2025 at 12:42 PM
It appears US weather forecast accuracy is also degrading very fast, a predictable result of missing data and forecasters.
The very Catholics who platformed Trump at the Al Smith dinner are hurt by this unforeseeable betrayal.
Fucking rubes.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_...
Fucking rubes.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_...
May 3, 2025 at 4:12 PM
The very Catholics who platformed Trump at the Al Smith dinner are hurt by this unforeseeable betrayal.
Fucking rubes.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_...
Fucking rubes.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_...
Measles cases in Texas now appear to be going up exponentially.
New cases per day were ranging between 4.5 to 12, and suddenly jumped to 24.
This page recently added a time series, but not one of the values as they were reported, which is what I'm using:
www.dshs.texas.gov/news-alerts/...
New cases per day were ranging between 4.5 to 12, and suddenly jumped to 24.
This page recently added a time series, but not one of the values as they were reported, which is what I'm using:
www.dshs.texas.gov/news-alerts/...
March 29, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Measles cases in Texas now appear to be going up exponentially.
New cases per day were ranging between 4.5 to 12, and suddenly jumped to 24.
This page recently added a time series, but not one of the values as they were reported, which is what I'm using:
www.dshs.texas.gov/news-alerts/...
New cases per day were ranging between 4.5 to 12, and suddenly jumped to 24.
This page recently added a time series, but not one of the values as they were reported, which is what I'm using:
www.dshs.texas.gov/news-alerts/...
In the last year, 1175 people have died of Covid in Québec.
People I know have told me I was psychologically ill for still worrying so much I wear a mask, and yesterday a stranger berated me in the metro.
Masks work. I have not had a cold or flu in years.
People I know have told me I was psychologically ill for still worrying so much I wear a mask, and yesterday a stranger berated me in the metro.
Masks work. I have not had a cold or flu in years.
March 27, 2025 at 3:10 PM
In the last year, 1175 people have died of Covid in Québec.
People I know have told me I was psychologically ill for still worrying so much I wear a mask, and yesterday a stranger berated me in the metro.
Masks work. I have not had a cold or flu in years.
People I know have told me I was psychologically ill for still worrying so much I wear a mask, and yesterday a stranger berated me in the metro.
Masks work. I have not had a cold or flu in years.
"a campaign aimed at Canada would likely rely less on cloak-and-dagger tactics and more on social media — such as the Elon Musk-owned X platform."
Ah, the CBC. So neutral they report on this news, and have a big bold X icon at the top of the article.
Spineless.
www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
Ah, the CBC. So neutral they report on this news, and have a big bold X icon at the top of the article.
Spineless.
www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
March 12, 2025 at 6:29 PM
"a campaign aimed at Canada would likely rely less on cloak-and-dagger tactics and more on social media — such as the Elon Musk-owned X platform."
Ah, the CBC. So neutral they report on this news, and have a big bold X icon at the top of the article.
Spineless.
www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
Ah, the CBC. So neutral they report on this news, and have a big bold X icon at the top of the article.
Spineless.
www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
The self-declared king has now made the hockey game political.
Broadcasters are cowards if they try to mute the booing.
Only those who confuse anti-Trump with anti-American will have a problem with the booing.
Broadcasters are cowards if they try to mute the booing.
Only those who confuse anti-Trump with anti-American will have a problem with the booing.
February 20, 2025 at 5:09 PM
The self-declared king has now made the hockey game political.
Broadcasters are cowards if they try to mute the booing.
Only those who confuse anti-Trump with anti-American will have a problem with the booing.
Broadcasters are cowards if they try to mute the booing.
Only those who confuse anti-Trump with anti-American will have a problem with the booing.
As a chocolate maker of French origin, I would be remiss not to share that this contraption, used to cut and inspect cacao beans, is best known as a guillotine.
A high-trust supply chain means I never have to use one. Sometimes their existence alone can keep people honest.
A high-trust supply chain means I never have to use one. Sometimes their existence alone can keep people honest.
February 20, 2025 at 12:09 AM
As a chocolate maker of French origin, I would be remiss not to share that this contraption, used to cut and inspect cacao beans, is best known as a guillotine.
A high-trust supply chain means I never have to use one. Sometimes their existence alone can keep people honest.
A high-trust supply chain means I never have to use one. Sometimes their existence alone can keep people honest.
Looks like apologies are already up. Hey, at least it doesn't take months now? /s
February 10, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Looks like apologies are already up. Hey, at least it doesn't take months now? /s
Any people here in Côte-des-Neiges–Notre-Dame-de-Grâce?
I was there last, and got no answer from the councillor there on their intentions. Their website lists Facebook, X and YouTube.
I was there last, and got no answer from the councillor there on their intentions. Their website lists Facebook, X and YouTube.
February 3, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Any people here in Côte-des-Neiges–Notre-Dame-de-Grâce?
I was there last, and got no answer from the councillor there on their intentions. Their website lists Facebook, X and YouTube.
I was there last, and got no answer from the councillor there on their intentions. Their website lists Facebook, X and YouTube.
Looking at city hall next. My old borough of Plateau Mont-Royal still has X in their website footer.
I wonder if I'll have to go ask questions about it at council meetings, or if this gets handled fast.
(Also: who even wants to follow their city on LinkedIn?!?)
I wonder if I'll have to go ask questions about it at council meetings, or if this gets handled fast.
(Also: who even wants to follow their city on LinkedIn?!?)
February 3, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Looking at city hall next. My old borough of Plateau Mont-Royal still has X in their website footer.
I wonder if I'll have to go ask questions about it at council meetings, or if this gets handled fast.
(Also: who even wants to follow their city on LinkedIn?!?)
I wonder if I'll have to go ask questions about it at council meetings, or if this gets handled fast.
(Also: who even wants to follow their city on LinkedIn?!?)
The recent cuts make a lot more sense when we take their agenda seriously.
Trump's declarations that he'd be dictator for a day make a lot more sense in this context.
He's got enough rhetorical cover to do all the authoritarian garbage he's doing now.
Trump's declarations that he'd be dictator for a day make a lot more sense in this context.
He's got enough rhetorical cover to do all the authoritarian garbage he's doing now.
January 23, 2025 at 3:37 PM
The recent cuts make a lot more sense when we take their agenda seriously.
Trump's declarations that he'd be dictator for a day make a lot more sense in this context.
He's got enough rhetorical cover to do all the authoritarian garbage he's doing now.
Trump's declarations that he'd be dictator for a day make a lot more sense in this context.
He's got enough rhetorical cover to do all the authoritarian garbage he's doing now.
I took photos, just so people can see for themselves- I'm assuming that even amateurs will notice the Hershey production line has massive and obvious issues.
January 20, 2025 at 12:35 AM
I took photos, just so people can see for themselves- I'm assuming that even amateurs will notice the Hershey production line has massive and obvious issues.
No wonder people tell me Cherry Blossoms aren't what they used to be: those ingredients are what happens when corporate raiders cut costs with the shittiest options allowed by law.
It's no longer legally chocolate: it's a "coating" that is easier to manufacture, and better resists heat in storage.
It's no longer legally chocolate: it's a "coating" that is easier to manufacture, and better resists heat in storage.
January 19, 2025 at 12:54 AM
No wonder people tell me Cherry Blossoms aren't what they used to be: those ingredients are what happens when corporate raiders cut costs with the shittiest options allowed by law.
It's no longer legally chocolate: it's a "coating" that is easier to manufacture, and better resists heat in storage.
It's no longer legally chocolate: it's a "coating" that is easier to manufacture, and better resists heat in storage.
Québec Covid data is late again, on top of their scheduled delay.
January 8, 2025 at 4:24 PM
Québec Covid data is late again, on top of their scheduled delay.
Québec Covid data just dropped.
The XEC variant looks poised to start a holiday wave.
www.inspq.qc.ca/covid-19/don...
The XEC variant looks poised to start a holiday wave.
www.inspq.qc.ca/covid-19/don...
December 11, 2024 at 5:08 PM
Québec Covid data just dropped.
The XEC variant looks poised to start a holiday wave.
www.inspq.qc.ca/covid-19/don...
The XEC variant looks poised to start a holiday wave.
www.inspq.qc.ca/covid-19/don...
J'avais compris que ce n'était pas la seule publication sur le thème, mais j'ai explicitement nommé la publication ci-dessous qui n'avait aucun besoin de mentionner Poly.
Cette mention instrumentalise un féminicide pour centrer un homme. C'est très ordinaire, non?
Cette mention instrumentalise un féminicide pour centrer un homme. C'est très ordinaire, non?
December 6, 2024 at 6:19 PM
J'avais compris que ce n'était pas la seule publication sur le thème, mais j'ai explicitement nommé la publication ci-dessous qui n'avait aucun besoin de mentionner Poly.
Cette mention instrumentalise un féminicide pour centrer un homme. C'est très ordinaire, non?
Cette mention instrumentalise un féminicide pour centrer un homme. C'est très ordinaire, non?