@danhav.bsky.social
Reposted
The current trade war between the US & China is likely to weigh heavily on the US economy in particular. Inflation is likely to rise by more than 5% & exports are likely to slump by almost 17%. The advantages of the international division of labor are lost 👇
@julianhi.nz @schularick.bsky.social
@julianhi.nz @schularick.bsky.social
US-China trade war: serious consequences, mostly for the USA
The current trade war between the US and China is likely to weigh heavily on the US economy in particular. Inflation is likely to rise by over 5 percent and exports are likely to slump by almost 17 pe...
ifw-kiel.de
April 30, 2025 at 9:00 AM
The current trade war between the US & China is likely to weigh heavily on the US economy in particular. Inflation is likely to rise by more than 5% & exports are likely to slump by almost 17%. The advantages of the international division of labor are lost 👇
@julianhi.nz @schularick.bsky.social
@julianhi.nz @schularick.bsky.social
Reposted
Fascinating trend, confirmed with the results of the German election
NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany:
Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.
www.ft.com/content/29fd...
Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.
www.ft.com/content/29fd...
February 24, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Fascinating trend, confirmed with the results of the German election
Reposted
MORGAN STANLEY: “.. Immigration averaged about 3mn per year in 2022-24 ..
“We think immigration falls to 1mn this year and only 500,000 next year. .. Slower immigration could pull short-run potential GDP growth down from 2.5-3.0% in 2022-24 to 2.0% this year and 1-1.5% next.”
“We think immigration falls to 1mn this year and only 500,000 next year. .. Slower immigration could pull short-run potential GDP growth down from 2.5-3.0% in 2022-24 to 2.0% this year and 1-1.5% next.”
February 20, 2025 at 5:27 PM
MORGAN STANLEY: “.. Immigration averaged about 3mn per year in 2022-24 ..
“We think immigration falls to 1mn this year and only 500,000 next year. .. Slower immigration could pull short-run potential GDP growth down from 2.5-3.0% in 2022-24 to 2.0% this year and 1-1.5% next.”
“We think immigration falls to 1mn this year and only 500,000 next year. .. Slower immigration could pull short-run potential GDP growth down from 2.5-3.0% in 2022-24 to 2.0% this year and 1-1.5% next.”
Reposted
Some good ideas for these difficult times by Olivier Blanchard and Jean Pisani-Ferry
Europe’s challenge and opportunity: Building coalitions of the willing
President Trump has launched an attack on the rules-based international order, which most governments regard as the bedrock of peace and prosperity. This column argues that the EU has the potential to organise an effective collective response, but it must overcome two obstacles: its size and its internal divisions. To do this, EU countries ready to go ahead should work with non-EU countries to form international partnerships, or ‘coalitions of the willing’.
cepr.org
February 17, 2025 at 1:07 PM
Some good ideas for these difficult times by Olivier Blanchard and Jean Pisani-Ferry