D1 Fun
d1fun.bsky.social
D1 Fun
@d1fun.bsky.social
i buy things and sell things w the goal of making $ for those i love, those that trust me & myself. at times without disclosures

do not copy me or trade bc of me. here to share & debate, not advise. i change my mind often & get lots of things wrong
"do reports for customers" - what do u mean
November 13, 2025 at 5:14 AM
u dont need levg

abeo can 5x if they can get this over $1B sales in '27. and more if more. big if
November 13, 2025 at 5:14 AM
you're living in a pod dominated world mr pitti. ain't your early 2000s mkt anymore

fine if u buy and hold w/ <100% gross levg and go to the beach

but not ideal if u want to optimize IRR or use any levg
November 13, 2025 at 5:05 AM
what gives you confidence they can scale this profitably w/ such complex / bespoke manufacturing?

that's prob the only way u lose money here

given there's very real demand, a real FDA approved solution, confirmed insurance coverage, and i think the krys / gel bear case is nonsense
November 13, 2025 at 5:02 AM
basically the opposite set up of last time we spoke

most pre-rev bio's up 100-1000%, while abeo negative
most bios with positive EVs, while abeo (effectively) worth 0

i like it today
November 13, 2025 at 4:58 AM
this mgmt team has a bad history. many mgmt teams have historys of execution

shorts didnt manipulate. they were right. mgmt team overpromised & underdelivered, and the street was left wondering why no patients had been treated even tho approval was in april

certainly looks very interesting now tho
November 13, 2025 at 4:58 AM
yeah i read the release + call this morn. explanation made sense, but still no tangible proof they can execute yet

was a crowded short going into this morn bc everyone knew no patients had been treated yet, even tho they guided for several in q3 and ~10 in '25. looks like itll be 0 in q3 & 1 in '25
November 13, 2025 at 4:50 AM
darn. that's a real tough batch
November 13, 2025 at 4:47 AM
genuine question (not meant as a victory lap)

what's going on here?

bbc index up 125%+ since april lows
many co's i follow up 200-1000%+
while abeo not just negative, but down from *pre* FDA approval price

can this team execute commercially? really just one off sterility assay false positive?
November 13, 2025 at 4:31 AM
ur timing remains impeccable

bsky.app/profile/d1fu...
suspiciously impeccable (roaring kitty return on ur exit last yr…)
October 24, 2025 at 10:24 PM
rest now, my king

congrats on a great bday wk
October 24, 2025 at 10:23 PM
eg something like the feb 4c’s ?
October 22, 2025 at 1:25 PM
my king
October 22, 2025 at 1:24 PM
it’s a great forum if you’re interested in learning about your counterparty
October 22, 2025 at 3:16 AM
the thing that would make me happiest is if u hung with us for another year or two
a little girl from despicable me is saying please dont go i need you !
ALT: a little girl from despicable me is saying please dont go i need you !
media.tenor.com
October 21, 2025 at 1:25 AM
Happy birthday sparty

Hope u took some time to celebrate this weekend

🥂⚱️
alice from alice in wonderland is holding a pink cake
ALT: alice from alice in wonderland is holding a pink cake
media.tenor.com
October 20, 2025 at 4:59 AM
why not just put on a small say <50bps short, and set &forget

similar to iren nbis cifr apld crwv neoclouds?

u know the outcome. size tiny and ignore the path?
October 14, 2025 at 1:19 AM
better than ur beloved plat?
October 13, 2025 at 2:32 AM
tempted to go 100% all-in long dated OTM calls in a retirement acct
October 13, 2025 at 2:27 AM
think this is the only asset that hasnt run vs USD in the Great Debasement Trade of '25
October 13, 2025 at 2:26 AM
seems high
October 13, 2025 at 2:15 AM