On 21.11.24 (from 7:30 PM on 20.11.), Ru launched:

■ 0/1 intercontinental ballistic missile (not named in report) from Astrakhan region.
■ 0/1 aeroballistic missile Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal" fired from MiG-31K in Tambov region.
■ 6/7 Kh-101 cruise missiles from Tu-95MS in Volgograd region.

Chart Ru🇷🇺 tank losses. All tanks even "Garden Shed".

Although equipment losses are on the rise, tank losses are on the decline. November may see an uptick due to the Ru🇷🇺 attempt to recapture Kursk.

Andrew's figures are first estimates, while Oryx figures have a lag.

■ 0/1 S-300 from Belgorod region targeting Kharkiv region.
■ 2/5 guided air missiles Kh-59/69 targeting Dnipropetrovsk, Chernihiv, Sumy regions.
■ 56/122 UAVs from Kursk, Orel, Primorsko-Akhtarsk regions
■ 58 UAVs lost (EW, decoy, malfunction)
■ 6 away 5 flew into Russia, 1 to Belarus

X(at)osint_analysis1 came to roughly the same conclusion👇

Ru🇷🇺 is a laughing stock for tanks (and other material).

Let's roughly calculate from the X(at)whitherapathy site the probable time when Ru🇷🇺 will probably run out of tanks.

The result is Ru🇷🇺 is already at a critical point. Let us assume that the "worse" tanks in storage and the "damaged" ones can be salvaged.

keyword-search.shinyapps.io/vehicle_loss...

Here in comparison with the Ru🇷🇺 Stock:

Short thread on when Ru🇷🇺 tank attrition bites.

Here the losses compared derived from Oryx, Andrew, Warspotting, and UA🇺🇦 field reports in the last column

Total losses (destroyed, damaged, abandoned, captured):
- Andrew: 3168 (since Aug. '23) incl. "Garden Shed"
- Warspotting: 3168
- Oryx: 4656

On 19.11.2024 (from 7:30 PM on 18.11.), Ru🇷🇺 launched:
■ 87 Shahed-type UAVs.
As of 9:00 AM, UA🇺🇦 reported:
■ 51 UAVs shot down
■ 30 lost (EW, decoy, malfunction)
■ 5 no report. 1 still flying (Target likely)

Oryx Update between 14th Nov '24 to 16th Nov '24 👇

83 New
- 63 Russian
- 22 Ukrainian

Link to spreadsheet👉https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1T2ZJWnxHATwGZyUEcFWa0qf0OtYSyq7TEleMwB0ynls/edit?usp=sharing

oryxspioenkop.com maintained by @rebel44cz.bsky.social

Which missile type was used in the past two years.

Predominantly Kh-101 and Kh-59

Ru🇷🇺 attacks for the past 2 years 👇

Count for the last two years on Shahed👇

MTD (1.11. to 18.11.) UAV count:
■ 1267 drones launched by Ru🇷🇺
■ 715 drones downed by UA🇺🇦
■ 427 lost [EW, decoy, malfunction]
■ 28 away to Belarus/Russia/Moldova
■ 43 no report by UA🇺🇦 [likely hit target]

Here the monthly chart for November

From 17.11. to 18.11 , Ru🇷🇺 attack:

■ 0/2 ballistic missiles "Iskander-M" from Voronezh region targeting Sumy region.
■ 0/1 guided air missile Kh-59 from the airspace over Kursk region, Russia, also targeting Sumy.
■ 8/11 Shahed-type UAVs from Kursk region.
■ 3 UAV lost (EW, decoy malfunction)

Oryx Update between 11th Nov '24 to 14th Nov '24 👇

100 New
75 Russian
79 Ukrainian

oryxspioenkop.com maintained by @rebel44cz.bsky.social