@csior.bsky.social
Just look at the overreaction to Fukishima in Japan and Germany. I don't agree with everything Taleb says, but his point holds here: we need to be clear-eyed about regular distributions vs very tail-heavy ones.
Of course, if we consider climate change, fossil fuels stop looking so regular too!
Of course, if we consider climate change, fossil fuels stop looking so regular too!
November 9, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Just look at the overreaction to Fukishima in Japan and Germany. I don't agree with everything Taleb says, but his point holds here: we need to be clear-eyed about regular distributions vs very tail-heavy ones.
Of course, if we consider climate change, fossil fuels stop looking so regular too!
Of course, if we consider climate change, fossil fuels stop looking so regular too!
It's the type of issue that is not insurable by private markets. Any accident is a hurricane-level emergency. Even the current buildout for data centers is a national problem that the US is just ignoring.
I'm pro nuclear but the recent west is awful at low prob/high impact events.
I'm pro nuclear but the recent west is awful at low prob/high impact events.
November 9, 2025 at 1:53 PM
It's the type of issue that is not insurable by private markets. Any accident is a hurricane-level emergency. Even the current buildout for data centers is a national problem that the US is just ignoring.
I'm pro nuclear but the recent west is awful at low prob/high impact events.
I'm pro nuclear but the recent west is awful at low prob/high impact events.
The absolute most damage a coal fire plant can do is kill hundreds? Billion dollar in damages? Plus a steady long term amount of damage.
Worst possible damage a nuclear plant can do is like irradiate Manhattan and cause literal trillions in damages. Is it likely? No. But that's the actual comp.
Worst possible damage a nuclear plant can do is like irradiate Manhattan and cause literal trillions in damages. Is it likely? No. But that's the actual comp.
November 9, 2025 at 1:48 PM
The absolute most damage a coal fire plant can do is kill hundreds? Billion dollar in damages? Plus a steady long term amount of damage.
Worst possible damage a nuclear plant can do is like irradiate Manhattan and cause literal trillions in damages. Is it likely? No. But that's the actual comp.
Worst possible damage a nuclear plant can do is like irradiate Manhattan and cause literal trillions in damages. Is it likely? No. But that's the actual comp.
Well... there's a zeitgeist of weirdly popular Rogan oddballs that think nothing has happend in physics in 60 years either. Anti-intellectualism is at a peak.
All academia is a victim of its immense successes in the 19th-early 20th centuries, particularly in the court of amateur perception.
All academia is a victim of its immense successes in the 19th-early 20th centuries, particularly in the court of amateur perception.
October 13, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Well... there's a zeitgeist of weirdly popular Rogan oddballs that think nothing has happend in physics in 60 years either. Anti-intellectualism is at a peak.
All academia is a victim of its immense successes in the 19th-early 20th centuries, particularly in the court of amateur perception.
All academia is a victim of its immense successes in the 19th-early 20th centuries, particularly in the court of amateur perception.
What's Intel even worth at this point? They have no meaningful product line left to compete with AMD or ARM. Colleague who bought a top of the line intel cpu last year basically got given a free AMD replacement last month cos it kept bricking on him.
August 25, 2025 at 7:47 PM
What's Intel even worth at this point? They have no meaningful product line left to compete with AMD or ARM. Colleague who bought a top of the line intel cpu last year basically got given a free AMD replacement last month cos it kept bricking on him.
Ironically, just like rekindling the flame, repeating the concept again and again leads to worse outcomes. Though still great games, story-wise I didn't find anything as striking as I did the original DS1. No knock on From Soft, some artistic styles are just very striking when first encountered.
August 12, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Ironically, just like rekindling the flame, repeating the concept again and again leads to worse outcomes. Though still great games, story-wise I didn't find anything as striking as I did the original DS1. No knock on From Soft, some artistic styles are just very striking when first encountered.
One of the OG souls youtubers, EpicNameBro, hated the vaati-lore-industrial-complex for sucking the joy out of Souls lore speculation back when. The storytelling style is based on Miyazaki reading English comics and understanding only like half the words and letting his imagination fly with that.
August 12, 2025 at 4:40 PM
One of the OG souls youtubers, EpicNameBro, hated the vaati-lore-industrial-complex for sucking the joy out of Souls lore speculation back when. The storytelling style is based on Miyazaki reading English comics and understanding only like half the words and letting his imagination fly with that.
Being ignorant of the details of a place and time all they perceive is a fakely homogenous caricature. Any blanks get filled in by anachronism and prejudice.
"Here be racism" for history if you will.
"Here be racism" for history if you will.
August 5, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Being ignorant of the details of a place and time all they perceive is a fakely homogenous caricature. Any blanks get filled in by anachronism and prejudice.
"Here be racism" for history if you will.
"Here be racism" for history if you will.
That's fair. Another metaphor comes to mind from failure analysis: there are the code causes for a bug then there are organisational meta-causes for why the bad code slipped into prod.
It is def a different category, like how climate change(for instance) is a consequence of perma-growth(ish).
It is def a different category, like how climate change(for instance) is a consequence of perma-growth(ish).
July 25, 2025 at 10:27 AM
That's fair. Another metaphor comes to mind from failure analysis: there are the code causes for a bug then there are organisational meta-causes for why the bad code slipped into prod.
It is def a different category, like how climate change(for instance) is a consequence of perma-growth(ish).
It is def a different category, like how climate change(for instance) is a consequence of perma-growth(ish).
It seems reasonable to me because it cuts in front of every single other issue. It prevents societies from deciding to do anything useful or good and often drives/allows politicians to do actively bad things. Misinformation is WHY we're not doing anything/enough about climate change for instance.
July 25, 2025 at 9:04 AM
It seems reasonable to me because it cuts in front of every single other issue. It prevents societies from deciding to do anything useful or good and often drives/allows politicians to do actively bad things. Misinformation is WHY we're not doing anything/enough about climate change for instance.
I wonder how long the tear down phase will last and how quick the rebuild will be. It seems like the Trump project is so obviously bad even for supporters that it must lead to collapse for the whole movement pretty soon. But maybe I'm just being naive about how much doublethink can do.
July 2, 2025 at 9:25 AM
I wonder how long the tear down phase will last and how quick the rebuild will be. It seems like the Trump project is so obviously bad even for supporters that it must lead to collapse for the whole movement pretty soon. But maybe I'm just being naive about how much doublethink can do.
Tech doesn't really fit. Well I guess all energy/matter is just information.
Bio and culture are both replicators on different substrates(Dawkins' meme idea). Tech at the moment is more like beaver dams/termite mounds. I don't think artifacts/tools are replicators. Software is getting there maybe.
Bio and culture are both replicators on different substrates(Dawkins' meme idea). Tech at the moment is more like beaver dams/termite mounds. I don't think artifacts/tools are replicators. Software is getting there maybe.
June 8, 2025 at 6:53 PM
Tech doesn't really fit. Well I guess all energy/matter is just information.
Bio and culture are both replicators on different substrates(Dawkins' meme idea). Tech at the moment is more like beaver dams/termite mounds. I don't think artifacts/tools are replicators. Software is getting there maybe.
Bio and culture are both replicators on different substrates(Dawkins' meme idea). Tech at the moment is more like beaver dams/termite mounds. I don't think artifacts/tools are replicators. Software is getting there maybe.
Technically, every observer is at the center of their own slightly askew observable universe bubble.
May 7, 2025 at 6:03 AM
Technically, every observer is at the center of their own slightly askew observable universe bubble.
This is amazing! And pricy :( and extra brutal with us to uk shipping cost :(
I guess at least I can look at the photos
I guess at least I can look at the photos
May 3, 2025 at 8:37 PM
This is amazing! And pricy :( and extra brutal with us to uk shipping cost :(
I guess at least I can look at the photos
I guess at least I can look at the photos
I use firefox tree style tabs and have had 100s of tabs. I do tend to mass close whole branches of them once in a while.
April 9, 2025 at 3:17 PM
I use firefox tree style tabs and have had 100s of tabs. I do tend to mass close whole branches of them once in a while.
In fairness to constitutional fetishists this destruction of checks and balances has been ongoing since at least 9/11. There's a lot of ruin in the USA but it looks like it's almost (if not already) ruined now.
April 7, 2025 at 3:32 PM
In fairness to constitutional fetishists this destruction of checks and balances has been ongoing since at least 9/11. There's a lot of ruin in the USA but it looks like it's almost (if not already) ruined now.
Basically the markets predicting a global recession. Swings and roundabouts I guess, it'll fuck Putin hard at least.
April 7, 2025 at 10:33 AM
Basically the markets predicting a global recession. Swings and roundabouts I guess, it'll fuck Putin hard at least.
Of course! It indicates discipline and unified dedication to a purpose. They're not there to party or blow off steam, they're an organised, albeit spontaneous, political movement! The problem in some west nations is that fetishising individualism is antithetical to effective mass political action.
April 6, 2025 at 6:42 AM
Of course! It indicates discipline and unified dedication to a purpose. They're not there to party or blow off steam, they're an organised, albeit spontaneous, political movement! The problem in some west nations is that fetishising individualism is antithetical to effective mass political action.
If you are brutally cynical, what Trump and the GOP are doing will absolutely politically annihilate them. It will also destroy millions of lives, but it will definitely ruin the people that introduce these changes. Why wouldn't dems let them shove their face into the boiling water?
March 12, 2025 at 8:46 AM
If you are brutally cynical, what Trump and the GOP are doing will absolutely politically annihilate them. It will also destroy millions of lives, but it will definitely ruin the people that introduce these changes. Why wouldn't dems let them shove their face into the boiling water?
It's incredible how complete the mysogyny/racism takeover of the discourse has been, honestly. It's even accelerated in the past year. The actual economic and gambling abuse concerns barely get a mention over DEI/woke whatever fake nonsene griping. A microcosm of society in that regard it seems.
March 10, 2025 at 4:32 PM
It's incredible how complete the mysogyny/racism takeover of the discourse has been, honestly. It's even accelerated in the past year. The actual economic and gambling abuse concerns barely get a mention over DEI/woke whatever fake nonsene griping. A microcosm of society in that regard it seems.
Yeah, sports games are their own niche, as is mobile.
Horse armor was first and it was big news at the time, I remember TotalBiscuit and Jim Sterling warning about the slippery slope. It's true that since then cosmetics, even cosmetic loot boxes, have been 100% normalized(which I think is... ok).
Horse armor was first and it was big news at the time, I remember TotalBiscuit and Jim Sterling warning about the slippery slope. It's true that since then cosmetics, even cosmetic loot boxes, have been 100% normalized(which I think is... ok).
March 10, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Yeah, sports games are their own niche, as is mobile.
Horse armor was first and it was big news at the time, I remember TotalBiscuit and Jim Sterling warning about the slippery slope. It's true that since then cosmetics, even cosmetic loot boxes, have been 100% normalized(which I think is... ok).
Horse armor was first and it was big news at the time, I remember TotalBiscuit and Jim Sterling warning about the slippery slope. It's true that since then cosmetics, even cosmetic loot boxes, have been 100% normalized(which I think is... ok).
Gamergate was so dumb and counter-productive it almost feels like a psyop designed to prevent consumer resistance to the horrible gambling gacha trash that's since metastasized in the industry.
I remember thinking "Big deal, who cares!" when the horse armor DLC came out. Boy was I wrong.
I remember thinking "Big deal, who cares!" when the horse armor DLC came out. Boy was I wrong.
March 10, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Gamergate was so dumb and counter-productive it almost feels like a psyop designed to prevent consumer resistance to the horrible gambling gacha trash that's since metastasized in the industry.
I remember thinking "Big deal, who cares!" when the horse armor DLC came out. Boy was I wrong.
I remember thinking "Big deal, who cares!" when the horse armor DLC came out. Boy was I wrong.
Who still thinks it is at all reasonable to have any business dealing with or, worse, dependencies on this clown?
March 9, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Who still thinks it is at all reasonable to have any business dealing with or, worse, dependencies on this clown?
Glad to see I don't have that cop enabled. This does raise a good point that the opposite of this cop should probably exist.
March 7, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Glad to see I don't have that cop enabled. This does raise a good point that the opposite of this cop should probably exist.