Emlyn Breese
@credittodubois.com
footy nerd
Some highlights of my stuff here: https://bsky.app/profile/credittodubois.com/post/3lauirkx4zc2z
Some highlights of my stuff here: https://bsky.app/profile/credittodubois.com/post/3lauirkx4zc2z
First peek at a new player visual I'm working on.
Things on the radar:
-differentiate quarters
-colour disposals blue if next possession is uncontested to teammate?
-unbold kicks and leave the bold just for scoring shots?
-More legible with symbols than numbers?
-Increase minimum spacing
Things on the radar:
-differentiate quarters
-colour disposals blue if next possession is uncontested to teammate?
-unbold kicks and leave the bold just for scoring shots?
-More legible with symbols than numbers?
-Increase minimum spacing
October 11, 2025 at 1:04 AM
First peek at a new player visual I'm working on.
Things on the radar:
-differentiate quarters
-colour disposals blue if next possession is uncontested to teammate?
-unbold kicks and leave the bold just for scoring shots?
-More legible with symbols than numbers?
-Increase minimum spacing
Things on the radar:
-differentiate quarters
-colour disposals blue if next possession is uncontested to teammate?
-unbold kicks and leave the bold just for scoring shots?
-More legible with symbols than numbers?
-Increase minimum spacing
Something a bit different from me, I'm trying out a print on demand shopfront. First thing up is this score progression of Brisbane's 2025 finals.
#AFLGF
I made the same for Melbourne's 2021 series and it's got pride of place hanging in my office.
credit-to-du-bois.printify.me/product/2352...
#AFLGF
I made the same for Melbourne's 2021 series and it's got pride of place hanging in my office.
credit-to-du-bois.printify.me/product/2352...
September 28, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Something a bit different from me, I'm trying out a print on demand shopfront. First thing up is this score progression of Brisbane's 2025 finals.
#AFLGF
I made the same for Melbourne's 2021 series and it's got pride of place hanging in my office.
credit-to-du-bois.printify.me/product/2352...
#AFLGF
I made the same for Melbourne's 2021 series and it's got pride of place hanging in my office.
credit-to-du-bois.printify.me/product/2352...
There are also great pieces on quantifying goals with/against the run of play, a more critical lens to last week's AFL reporting on GWS' home-ground accuracy advantage, and some actual numbers to the theoretical 20th team discussion.
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
July 18, 2025 at 2:06 AM
There are also great pieces on quantifying goals with/against the run of play, a more critical lens to last week's AFL reporting on GWS' home-ground accuracy advantage, and some actual numbers to the theoretical 20th team discussion.
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
While Neale and Cripps have enjoyed a varied diet over the last 9 seasons
July 18, 2025 at 2:06 AM
While Neale and Cripps have enjoyed a varied diet over the last 9 seasons
The crows are getting a great australian bite taken out of them at ruck contests this year
July 18, 2025 at 2:06 AM
The crows are getting a great australian bite taken out of them at ruck contests this year
Meanwhile we find Matt Flynn chumming the waters of the Swan with alarming regularity
July 18, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Meanwhile we find Matt Flynn chumming the waters of the Swan with alarming regularity
Getting the jump on Shark Week over at This Week In Football. One of the terms for shark in welsh is "morgi" - literally sea dogs. Only fitting that three dogs find themselves in the top 10 this season
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
July 18, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Getting the jump on Shark Week over at This Week In Football. One of the terms for shark in welsh is "morgi" - literally sea dogs. Only fitting that three dogs find themselves in the top 10 this season
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-1...
Some data to back up the understanding of what different ruck contest outcomes lead to
July 11, 2025 at 5:38 AM
Some data to back up the understanding of what different ruck contest outcomes lead to
Since the start of 2021, Jarrod Witts is a combined 20-3 against vs Gawn, Grundy, and Xerri in Ruck Frees For/Against
July 11, 2025 at 1:52 AM
Since the start of 2021, Jarrod Witts is a combined 20-3 against vs Gawn, Grundy, and Xerri in Ruck Frees For/Against
Post your favourite Doctor Who. Wrong answers only.
June 30, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Post your favourite Doctor Who. Wrong answers only.
It’s such a good “ask 7 people and they’ll each tell you a different thing is clearly the best possible build” game.
This run almost crashed my game.
This run almost crashed my game.
June 30, 2025 at 11:48 AM
It’s such a good “ask 7 people and they’ll each tell you a different thing is clearly the best possible build” game.
This run almost crashed my game.
This run almost crashed my game.
This is why Melbourne so desperately needs a proper training base. Any random can walk by Gosch’s paddock and steal our groundbreaking footy IP of “kick to a target”
June 26, 2025 at 2:05 AM
This is why Melbourne so desperately needs a proper training base. Any random can walk by Gosch’s paddock and steal our groundbreaking footy IP of “kick to a target”
June 25, 2025 at 2:19 PM
I mean, it's not *as influential as a ruck can be* but it was pretty good
June 21, 2025 at 12:51 PM
I mean, it's not *as influential as a ruck can be* but it was pretty good
Alarm bells for Essendon imo. They're poor on volume and quality but that's being papered over to some degree by accuracy. Their volume of shots in particular is really concerning. Richmond and West Coast down the bottom here but they know where they're at.
June 20, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Alarm bells for Essendon imo. They're poor on volume and quality but that's being papered over to some degree by accuracy. Their volume of shots in particular is really concerning. Richmond and West Coast down the bottom here but they know where they're at.
Melbourne are just under 2.4 standard deviations below the mean for execution. In a normal population that puts them below the 1st percentile for accuracy. Absolutely horrendous. On the plus side, it means there's a decent gameplan and reversion to the mean turns some of those close losses into wins
June 20, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Melbourne are just under 2.4 standard deviations below the mean for execution. In a normal population that puts them below the 1st percentile for accuracy. Absolutely horrendous. On the plus side, it means there's a decent gameplan and reversion to the mean turns some of those close losses into wins
Saints are almost bang on average, while GWS (execution) and Fremantle (quality) have their strengths.
Carlton are over-performing through accuracy which, like adelaide, risks a drop-off in the long-term.
Carlton are over-performing through accuracy which, like adelaide, risks a drop-off in the long-term.
June 20, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Saints are almost bang on average, while GWS (execution) and Fremantle (quality) have their strengths.
Carlton are over-performing through accuracy which, like adelaide, risks a drop-off in the long-term.
Carlton are over-performing through accuracy which, like adelaide, risks a drop-off in the long-term.
Gold Coast and Collingwood are both producing a lot of opportunities, but the Suns are of much higher quality. Still, Collingwood are getting it done with below average execution which is a fine place to be. North are a bizarre case, very few shots, but the ones they do take are in dangerous spots
June 20, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Gold Coast and Collingwood are both producing a lot of opportunities, but the Suns are of much higher quality. Still, Collingwood are getting it done with below average execution which is a fine place to be. North are a bizarre case, very few shots, but the ones they do take are in dangerous spots
Geelong and Bulldogs are elite on all counts. Adelaide are producing a good volume of shots, but if their execution drops back to average (as you'd expect it to over time) they may take quite a hit because the quality of opportunities they're generating is below league average.
June 20, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Geelong and Bulldogs are elite on all counts. Adelaide are producing a good volume of shots, but if their execution drops back to average (as you'd expect it to over time) they may take quite a hit because the quality of opportunities they're generating is below league average.