consciumai.bsky.social
@consciumai.bsky.social
Conscium’s mission is to help develop safe and efficient AI
Machines may acquire consciousness in the next decade or so. We need to be prepared.
AI agents are coming. They need to be routinely verified.
Wikipedia has a nice article on the tell-tale signs that an LLM did your homework.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikiped...
Wikipedia:Signs of AI writing - Wikipedia
This is a list of writing and formatting conventions typical of AI chatbots such as ChatGPT, with real examples taken from Wikipedia articles and drafts. It is a field guide to help detect…
en.wikipedia.org
November 29, 2025 at 6:01 PM
The future of jobs. The machines are collar blind.
Interview with Times Radio.

youtu.be/WkgtFDE888Y
Interview on Times Radio on 27 November 2025 about the future of jobs
Interview on Times Radio on 27 November 2025 about the future of jobs
youtu.be
November 28, 2025 at 5:01 PM
6/6
Lucius’ work gives me an opportunity to plug a favourite science fiction author, Greg Egan, whose short story “Leaning To Be Me” is very relevant to the conversation.

youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Lucius Caviola: A Future with Digital Minds? Expert Estimates and Societal Response
A full list of papers and resources mentioned can be found here: www.prism-global.com/podcast/lucius-caviola-a-future-with-digital-minds 0:00 Introduction and Lucius's background 01:31 Expert…
youtu.be
November 24, 2025 at 6:03 PM
5/6
Experts were equally divided about whether the first superintelligence should ideally be conscious or a zombie.This again differs from non-experts, who mostly seem to want a zombie.

youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Lucius Caviola: A Future with Digital Minds? Expert Estimates and Societal Response
A full list of papers and resources mentioned can be found here: www.prism-global.com/podcast/lucius-caviola-a-future-with-digital-minds 0:00 Introduction and Lucius's background 01:31 Expert…
youtu.be
November 23, 2025 at 6:01 PM
4/6
Half of the experts expect digital minds to appear by 2050, and they mostly expect superintelligence to arrive first. They then expect large numbers of such minds to be created.

youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Lucius Caviola: A Future with Digital Minds? Expert Estimates and Societal Response
A full list of papers and resources mentioned can be found here: www.prism-global.com/podcast/lucius-caviola-a-future-with-digital-minds 0:00 Introduction and Lucius's background 01:31 Expert…
youtu.be
November 22, 2025 at 6:01 PM
3/6
Non-experts give a much lower estimate of digital minds being developed than experts – 23% compared with the experts’ 73%.

youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Lucius Caviola: A Future with Digital Minds? Expert Estimates and Societal Response
A full list of papers and resources mentioned can be found here: www.prism-global.com/podcast/lucius-caviola-a-future-with-digital-minds 0:00 Introduction and Lucius's background 01:31 Expert…
youtu.be
November 21, 2025 at 6:02 PM
7/7
D. Social Understanding and Norms
Human and societal modelling
Normative reasoning
Pragmatism and common sense
Cultural grounding
Institutional and legal agency

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 20, 2025 at 7:04 PM
2/6
In a recent survey of 67 AI consciousness experts, including philosophers and cognitive scientists, Lucius and his colleague Brad Saad found their median estimate of the likelihood of digital minds being created was 73%.

youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Lucius Caviola: A Future with Digital Minds? Expert Estimates and Societal Response
A full list of papers and resources mentioned can be found here: www.prism-global.com/podcast/lucius-caviola-a-future-with-digital-minds 0:00 Introduction and Lucius's background 01:31 Expert…
youtu.be
November 20, 2025 at 6:04 PM
6/7
C. World Modelling and Planning
Rich physics world models
Counterfactual planning

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 19, 2025 at 7:02 PM
1/6
Our latest guest is Lucius Caviola, Assistant Professor at Cambridge University´s Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence. He applies experimental psychology to questions about perceptions of AI consciousness and moral status.

youtu.be/r03bVSP44h8
Lucius Caviola: A Future with Digital Minds? Expert Estimates and Societal Response
A full list of papers and resources mentioned can be found here: www.prism-global.com/podcast/lucius-caviola-a-future-with-digital-minds 0:00 Introduction and Lucius's background 01:31 Expert…
youtu.be
November 19, 2025 at 6:01 PM
5/7
B. Knowledge Creation and Reasoning
Robust scientific method
Causal discovery and variable invention
Handling ambiguity
Hunches and intuition
Analogy and cross-domain transfer
Meta-cognition
Deception and subterfuge

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 18, 2025 at 7:01 PM
4/7
A. Self and Agency:
Conscious phenomenal experience
Volition
Self-modelling and identity
Planning, and meaning-making over time
Sensorimotor grounding
Curiosity-driven exploration
Aesthetic sense and taste formation

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 17, 2025 at 7:01 PM
3/7
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should try to understand what cognitive capabilities it lacks. This article is a list of 21 human capabilities which machines don’t have. Yet.

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 16, 2025 at 7:00 PM
2/7
It is surprisingly hard to specify all the things that human radiologists are doing which machines cannot yet replicate, but there are a lot of them. Nevertheless, 2030 is a common estimate for the arrival of superintelligence.

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 15, 2025 at 7:00 PM
5/7
B. Knowledge Creation and Reasoning
Robust scientific method
Causal discovery and variable invention
Handling ambiguity
Hunches and intuition
Analogy and cross-domain transfer
Meta-cognition
Deception and subterfuge

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 14, 2025 at 7:01 PM
1/7
About a decade ago, Geoff Hinton declared that human radiologists were like Wily E. Coyote in the Roadrunner show. They had run off the edge of a cliff, but hadn’t realised it yet. Ten years on, radiology has yet to be automated.

www.forbes.com/sites/calumc...
What do AIs need to acquire to reach Superintelligence
By creating superintelligence, we are turning ourselves into chimpanzees, so we should find out what cognitive capabilities separate us from our successors-to-be.
www.forbes.com
November 14, 2025 at 7:00 PM
10/10
Lenore thinks Alan Turing would probably agree that his famous Test is better seen as a way to ascribe consciousness than to test for intelligence.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 12, 2025 at 8:02 PM
9/10
Michael Graziano says that a non-conscious superintelligence would be a sociopath, whereas a conscious one could be empathetic. (Admittedly, humans can be sociopathic.) Given the choice, Lenore would opt for conscious superintelligence.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 11, 2025 at 10:09 PM
8/10
Lenore believes that artificial consciousness is not here yet, but that its arrival is inevitable, and fairly soon.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 10, 2025 at 8:02 PM
7/10
The Blums´ CTM model has the advantage of being compatible with pretty much all the major theories of consciousness, like Global Workplace Theory, Integrated Information Theory, the four Es, and so on.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 9, 2025 at 8:01 PM
6/10
The Blums invented a multimodal language used by the brain called Brainish. The Brainish label for “rose” would consist of a certain smell, shape, colour, and texture.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 8, 2025 at 8:01 PM
5/10
Lenore explains the CTM model with an analogy of a partygoer who cannot remember the name of someone she met before. The brain contains multiple processors which shout replies, and a winner emerges by consensus. There is no central executive.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 7, 2025 at 8:02 PM
4/10
The Blum´s model of consciousness is the Conscious Turing Machine (CTM). It was inspired by Alan Turing’s model of computation, and Bernard Baars' Global Workspace Theory, although it is neither of those things itself.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 6, 2025 at 8:02 PM
3/10
Lenore and Manuel started to work together on a mathematical approach to consciousness during Covid. After 60+ years of marriage, she says they loved being thrown together by the pandemic.

www.prism-global.com/podcast/leno...
November 5, 2025 at 8:01 PM