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conflictresearch.bsky.social
PaCE Project
@conflictresearch.bsky.social
42 followers 32 following 22 posts
PaCE (Patterns of Conflict Emergence) is a five year (2022-2026) ERC-funded project at Trinity College Dublin in the Department of Political Science. Uncovers recurring temporal sequences in the run-up to war.
Website: https://www.forecastlab.org/
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conflictresearch.bsky.social
PaCE Research Fellow Dr Chien Lu presenting his work in Taiwan this week at National Taipei University of Technology and at College of Public Health, National Taiwan University.
December 9, 2025 at 9:39 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
PaCE Project Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is to present his work "Domestic Support for Rapprochement between International Rivals: Evidence from South Korea" on Thursday 9 October, at 4pm in the TRiSS Seminar Room in Trinity College.

For more information see: www.tcd.ie/Asian/events/
September 23, 2025 at 12:31 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Come and work with us!

PaCE is recruiting two research fellows to join the project - for more information, check out the PaCE website and TCD Vacancies page.

www.forecastlab.org
my.corehr.com/pls/trrecrui...

Application deadline 25 August 2025!
July 29, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Reposted by PaCE Project
tcdschoolssp.bsky.social
Huge congrats to @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social Professor Thomas Chadefaux and Dr Tim Bodt from @langslitscultures.bsky.social who have secured @erc.europa.eu funding to investigate the potential of AI to address challenges in conflict forecasting and language preservation.

www.tcd.ie/news_events/...
July 14, 2025 at 3:26 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Exciting news - Prof. Thomas Chadefaux awarded a Proof of Concept grant by the ERC. AICAP (Artificial Intelligence for Conflict Analysis and Prediction) will analyse real-time geopolitical, economic, and behavioural data to forecast patterns in conflict development. #TrinityResearch #erc.europa.eu
July 15, 2025 at 9:09 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
PaCE Project PhD candidate Thomas Schincariol presenting his paper at the recent 2025 Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference in Barcelona.
June 24, 2025 at 1:50 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
June 10, 2025 at 10:21 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
June 5, 2025 at 11:01 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Benin's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
May 30, 2025 at 10:12 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Nigeria's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
May 15, 2025 at 9:31 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is one of the speakers this evening at a public seminar in the UCD Centre for Asia-Pacific Research. The topic: Reunification Identities: Unifying Korean Reunification with a Global World - "Mind the Gap".
May 7, 2025 at 12:05 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
May 5, 2025 at 5:50 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
April 30, 2025 at 9:24 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Israel's fatalities pattern that mostly led to an increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
April 25, 2025 at 11:07 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Afghanistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
April 10, 2025 at 4:06 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Lebanon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 31, 2025 at 11:04 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last India's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 17, 2025 at 12:19 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 10, 2025 at 11:13 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 5, 2025 at 1:50 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Somalia's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
February 25, 2025 at 1:26 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Our monthly global risk predication map report is published today - if you want to sign up to get it in your in-box every month, the link to subscribe is on our website:
www.forecastlab.org/predictionmap

Here is a preview!
January 28, 2025 at 11:20 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Delighted to share the publication of "Dynamic Synthetic Controls: Accounting for Varying Speeds in Comparative Case Studies" in the journal Political Analysis, authored by PaCE colleagues Jian Cao and Thomas Chadefaux.
Available at:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
November 19, 2024 at 1:22 PM