And here are the unluckiest teams this season, the ones whose results fell short of what their postgame win expectancies suggested.

Arkansas, Penn State, and Boston College top the list with the biggest negative gaps.

Close games, turnovers, and timing matter.

Congrats to all weekly leaders!

Full leaderboard: buff.ly/IvaSY4n

Top 5 Models - MSE

1. @CFB_Geek (-10.470)
2. @PlPredict_all (-8.250)
3. @Phillies_219 (-6.660)
4. @ArnoldJohn_cfb (-5.590)
5. u/crustman34 (-1.340)

Top 5 Models - MAE

1. @ArnoldJohn_cfb (-0.220)
2. @CFB_Geek (-0.170)
3. u/SoF3714 (-0.130)
4. @mmender2 (-0.120)
5. @Nex_27 (-0.050)

Top 5 Models - Picks ATS

1. @ArnoldJohn_cfb (+0.206)
2. @Phillies_219 (+0.153)
3. u/SoF3714 (+0.144)
4. @CFB_Geek (+0.108)
4. @vfsdan (+0.108)
4. u/NotSoSuperNerd (+0.108)

Top 5 Models - Straight Up Picks

1. @ArnoldJohn_cfb (+0.059)
1. @Nex_27 (+0.059)
3. @botumsupp (+0.039)
3. @RyderAnalytics (+0.039)
5. @StatsAfterDark (+0.024)

Full leaderboard: buff.ly/NFeHFEM

Congrats to all weekly leaders!

I'm planning to have a CBB version rolled out sometime this season. Stay tuned!

Top 5 Models - MSE

1. @redbyrd69.bsky.social (-37.150)
2. u/hypercube42342 (-25.770)
3. @gshelor.bsky.social (-19.650)
4. u/Convict38 (-14.360)
5. @trentonsorensen (-13.990)

Top 5 Models - MAE

1. @gshelor.bsky.social (-0.870)
2. u/hypercube42342 (-0.690)
3. u/Convict38 (-0.380)
4. @spacemanOTH (-0.370)
5. @redbyrd69.bsky.social (-0.300)

Top 5 Models - Picks ATS

1. @CFBNumbers (+0.164)
2. u/hypercube42342 (+0.160)
3. @gshelor.bsky.social (+0.135)
4. @Tickkid (+0.115)
5. u/dharkmeat (+0.104)

Top 5 Models - Straight Up Picks

1. u/forescore_regular_v2 (+0.105)
2. @milesashoaf (+0.077)
3. @spacemanOTH (+0.058)
4. u/hypercube42342 (+0.040)
5. @collegefootballdata.com (+0.038)

We’re still adding endpoints and enhancements this season. Tell us what you want next and stay tuned.