Colleen Putzel-Kavanaugh
colleenputzelkav.bsky.social
Colleen Putzel-Kavanaugh
@colleenputzelkav.bsky.social
Associate Policy Analyst, U.S. Immigration Policy Program at Migration Policy Institute. Follow all border developments and data closely. All views my own.
Pay-to-go programs have had mixed results in the U.S. and other countries.

Still in its nascent stages it remains to be seen if the Trump administration will develop the right formula to bolster is efforts to achieve a mass deportation campaign by incentivizing self deportations.
June 20, 2025 at 3:28 PM
It is built on a system of incentives and disincentives including a $1,000 exit bonus and government funded travel alongside fines, arrest, detention, and removal.

The backdrop, however, may prove more potent. Heightened enforcement, high profile arrests, and threats to benefits contribute to fear
June 20, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Reporting indicates that smugglers are adapting to these policies with migrants taking more remote passages to the border and trying to enter without detection. Previously, migrants arrived on U.S. soil and waited for officials to be processed.

This change means migration is now more dangerous.
June 18, 2025 at 2:05 PM
98 percent of those who arrived irregularly were processed for removal or ICE detention, just 1 individual was released with a NTA.

With lower border numbers and few opportunities to access protection, the majority of migrants are processed for removal rather than released.
June 18, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Migrant encounters have largely returned to historical trends with the majority being single adults from Mexico, a stark contrast from the diversification of migrants seen under Biden's term.

Encounters at and between POEs saw upticks and 93% and 72%, respectively, were from Mexico.
June 18, 2025 at 2:05 PM
El Paso was the busiest sector with nearly 2K encounters, followed by Rio Grande Valley and Tucson with 1K apiece.

As military bases expand along the border, it is possible that migration patterns may shift once again, away from highly militarized areas.
May 12, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Migration patterns continue to return to historical trends. Both at and between ports of entry, 84 percent of encounters were of single adults, and 93 percent and 73 percent, respectively, were encounters of Mexican nationals.

Encounters of most other nationalities continue to decrease.
May 12, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Disposition data show that 98 percent of all border crossers were processed with either expedited removal, reinstatement of removal, voluntary return, or turned over to ICE while just two people were processed with an NTA and released from custody. No one was processed through MPP.
May 12, 2025 at 7:31 PM