Chad DeDominicis
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Chad DeDominicis
@cmdedominicis.bsky.social
Analytician. Numbernerd. Coloring book GM. Co-host for Expected Buffalo The Podcast| Founder of Expected Buffalo | views/opinions are my own
April 17, 2025 at 2:58 PM
We have our Sabres playoff drought bracket final. Nostalgic moment vs recency bias.

Lucic hit on Miller vs Palm Tree press conference

Voting will begin tomorrow.
April 17, 2025 at 2:10 PM
The Final 4 of the Sabres playoff drought bracket is set!
April 12, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Final Game Charts

- Sabres were the better team for most of the game but that doesn't always mean you win

- Zucker a lot of shot attempts tonight

- Dahlin was excellent per usual

- I wouldn't mind Ostlund getting one game with Zucker and Tuch.
April 11, 2025 at 1:59 AM
There are a handful of things that went wrong with the Sabres that we'll dive into but all of the issues do start at the top and trickle down.

Full episode: linktr.ee/expectedbuffalo
April 10, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Final Game Charts

- After the first period it was all Sabres

- 9/20/72 is a problem for the league

- Ostlund line only allowed one shot attempt against all game

- Nice for Luukkonen to get a W on the board.
April 7, 2025 at 12:43 AM
Ovi owns the day with setting the record but we have a huge matchup tonight in Buffalo.

Bruins in town. It's a potential elimination night for the Sabres. If they lose in regulation AND the Habs beat the Predators they'll officially miss for the 14th year in a row.
April 6, 2025 at 6:02 PM
The Bolts are in town tonight. Noah Ostlund will make his Sabres debut tonight as well.

The magic number elimination for the Sabres is 6. It can drop to 2 tonight if the Sabres lose and the Habs beat the Flyers.
April 5, 2025 at 6:57 PM
The Sabres playoff drought bracket Sweet 16 is set.

We lost two top seeds and one #2 seed last round. A few Cinderella high seeds making a run.
April 3, 2025 at 12:03 AM
Final Game Charts

- Ottawa ahead in shot share and quality but not on the scoreboard

- Period by period charts are not broken. Just didn't collect the data tonight

- Reimer was excellent once again
April 2, 2025 at 2:03 AM
Sabres wrap up the season series with the Senators tonight as they go for the sweep.

The Sabres are arguably the best finishing team (at 5v5) in the league this season. Then there's the goaltending...
April 1, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Offseason content is going to begin this week

(I took off the name of the first guy)
March 31, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Lastly, goalie charts.

Reimer running away with being the best goaltender this season for the Sabres.
March 31, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Updated Sabres shooting data in all situations.

- Tage is a finishing freak

- A lot of + finishing forwards

- Krebs and Greenway are still near the bottom of the missed shot rate
March 31, 2025 at 12:38 PM
There are 9 games remaining in the Sabres season. Here's how the players are pacing down the final stretch.

McLeod is tracking towards 50+ points. Quinn is somehow pacing to 16 goals with the hot finish.
March 31, 2025 at 12:38 PM
A few people asked for a chart update. So here you go.

They need to win out to keep the 0.1% chance alive.

The magic number to elimination is 10 points lost or earned by WC2 spot. Technically based on the current ROW tiebreaker it's 9 but that's not final yet.
March 30, 2025 at 11:25 PM
The Sabres are back at it today in DC.

Probably no Dahlin again and Ovechkin is 6 goals short of history.
March 30, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Final Game Charts

- It was an even game through 40 minutes and then the Sabres looked deflated in the third

- No Dahlin was obviously a big problem

- Top line didn't have it today

- Luukkonen was really bad & gave them no shot to win today.
March 29, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Sabres in Philly today.

If you want to see a team that has been CRUSHED by goaltending take a look at the Flyers.

They're 20 goals WORSE than the 31st-ranked Penguins in goals saved above expected.
March 29, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Final Game Charts

- Sabres were in control of this one from the opening minute.

- Benson Kulich and Tage line terrorized the Penguins.

- JBD and Power have looked good together.
March 28, 2025 at 2:07 AM
One of the final reminders on our month long deal we’ve had on the site. We’re in the final week!

Current subscribers keep your eyes open. I’ll have a deal for you starting tomorrow.

Link: www.expectedbuffalo.com/membership-a...
March 27, 2025 at 12:14 AM
Final Game Charts

- Senators ahead in shot share and quality at 5v5 but didn't get enough power plays to get that special teams merchant victory

- Reimer was excellent once again

- Benson Kulich and Tage were strong

- Sabres sweep the season series
March 26, 2025 at 1:58 AM
Dylan Cozens is back in town tonight.

This will be interesting...
March 25, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Final Game Charts

- Jets cooked the Sabres at 5v5 in the numbers. Hockey is an evil sport though.

- Reimer was great

- McLeod 4 point day and Bernard-Docker 2 points

- Everyone has bad numbers
March 23, 2025 at 10:03 PM
The Sabres finish up their road trip today in Winnipeg.

The Jets are good. The Sabres are not.
March 23, 2025 at 6:08 PM