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climathosphere.bsky.social
Climathosphere 🏳️‍🌈🇵🇸🇱🇧
@climathosphere.bsky.social
1.4K followers 490 following 520 posts
Gay atheist 🇱🇧 man 🏳️‍🌈
Climatologue. Physique Mathématique. Astronomie.
Swoletariat. Socialiste. Antifasciste. 🟥⬛🟩💪🏽🎽🏋🏿🥊🥋
Free Palestine 🇵🇸 Haiti 🇭🇹 Congo 🇨🇬🇨🇩 Sudan 🇸🇩 from genocide.
Lang: 🇫🇷🇬🇧🇵🇸🇱🇧🇬🇷
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climathosphere.bsky.social
Here is a screenshot of another example of a zionist transphobe in his echo chamber mansplaining to us MENA queers about being queer in the zionist regime.
Jay Robertson (@ijeftomi.bsky.social) Wrote on Bsky on June 22 at 9:51 PM: """ They want to exterminate the only country in the Middle East where it is safe to be any of those letters. I don't want to make common cause with them on ANY issue. The price tag is WAY too high. """ Jay Robertson (@ijeftomi.bsky.social) is being a total hypocrite mansplaining to us Middle-East North Africa (MENA) queers about how the Middle East works. Notice how Jay refers to us as "any of those letters" in his queerphobic post, as if we are just some alphabet soup for him to laugh at. He is correctly labeled with "Transmysogyny" and "Transphobia (General)" moderation labels. I guess they only qualification these zionists have is throwing stones in glass houses. They don't even have same-sex marriage legal! Abortion is also not legal there either. MY PERSONAL EXPERIENCE (TRIGGER WARNING, VIOLENT SEXUAL THREATS) This does not get into own personal experience there. While I was in the Zionist regime in Al Quds (Jerusalem) to go and meet a Palestinian friend, I kept getting r*ape threats from zionists on Grindr after they figured out that I was Lebanese Arab. Ironically, when I fled to Lebanon through Jordan, I stopped receiving those violent r*ape threats after leaving the Zionist regime. I deleted my Grindr account afterwards, and I never go on dating apps anymore because of it. Those zionists were filthy, rude, violent, and discusting. They are dirty people! I am where I am now because I wanted to run away from all of that. I will never forgive them for committing genocides against the people of my race and pretending to like us queer people while doing it.
July 13, 2025 at 1:31 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Now that all the votes are counted in, here are my statistical calculation tables to decide the pollster accuracy ratings for the 2025 NYC Mayor Democratic Primary (June-dated ranked-choice polls only).
Final Round Result Table Date Poll Mamdani Cuomo Net Mamdani Mamdani Offset Cuomo Offset Rating Notes 2025-06-24 Actual 56,21 43,79 12,42 0 0 POR POR implies published original result. 2025-06-22 YouGov 43 57 -14 -13,21 13,21 D 2025-06-22 HarrisX 28 52 -24 -28,21 8,21 F 2025-06-20 Emerson College 52 48 4 -4,21 4,21 A 2025-06-16 Center for Strategic Politics 48 52 -4 -8,21 8,21 C+ 2025-06-16 Manhattan Institute 44 56 -12 -12,21 12,21 D 2025-06-12 Marist Univeristy 37 50 -13 -19,21 6,21 F Prediction of Second Last Round 2025-06-09 Honan Strategy Group 44 56 -12 -12,21 12,21 D 2025-06-07 Expedition Strategies 44 56 -12 -12,21 12,21 D 2025-06-04 Data for Progress 49 51 -2 -7,21 7,21 C+ First Round Result Table Date Poll Mamdani Cuomo Net Mamdani Mamdani Offset Cuomo Offset Rating Notes 2025-06-24 Actual 43,62 36,27 7,35 0 0 POR POR implies published original result. 2025-06-22 YouGov 28 38 -10 -15,62 1,73 D 2025-06-22 HarrisX 19 38 -19 -24,62 1,73 F 2025-06-20 Emerson College 32 35 -3 -11,62 -1,27 C+ 2025-06-16 Center for Strategic Politics 29 37 -8 -14,62 0,73 C- 2025-06-16 Manhattan Institute 27 39 -12 -16,62 2,73 D 2025-06-12 Marist Univeristy 27 38 -11 -16,62 1,73 D 2025-06-09 Honan Strategy Group 22 38 -16 -21,62 1,73 D- 2025-06-07 Expedition Strategies 30 42 -12 -13,62 5,73 D 2025-06-04 Data for Progress 31 37 -6 -12,62 0,73 C
July 12, 2025 at 11:07 PM
climathosphere.bsky.social
I did some average seat count simulations in Excel for each party in the 2025 Canadian Federal Election. 🧮

J'ai fait une agrégation dans Excel des sièges moyennes pour chaque parti politique dans l'Élection fédérale canadienne 2025. 🧮
Une photo d'un fichier Excel qui donne l'agrégation de la moyenne de sièges prévus pour chaque parti politique dans l'Élection fédérale canadienne de 2025 en utilisant les données fournis sur le site-web qc125.com Il y a trois champs affichés. Le premier champ constitue de la modélisation des courbes linéaires selon les données du site-web qc125.com y indiquées. Le deuxième champ nommé Simulation Climathosphere (nommé d'après mon nom d'utilisateur) fourni pour chaque parti politique le vote populaire moyen (VPM), la moyenne de sièges (CMS) et la moyenne de sièges normalisée (CMSN) selon les courbes linéaires modélisées. Le troisième et dernier champ montre les simulations effectuées sur un sondage individuel et cette photo montre une simulation du sondage la plus récente d'Abacus Data 2025-04-27 de la moyenne de sièges pour chaque parti en utilisant les mêmes étiquettes de la Simulation Climathosphere. La Simulation Climathosphere pondèrent les sondages en fonction de la proximité temporelle, de la marge d'erreur, de la taille d'échantillon et de la cote de fiabilité qc125.com pour chaque enquêteur. Simulation Climathosphere : Libéral : VPM 42,2 % CSMN 186,4 Conservateurs : VPM 38,6% CSMN 126,5 NPD : VPM 9,6% CSMN 12,6 Vert : VPM 2,0% CSMN 1,3 Bloc Québécois : VPM 5,6% CSMN 16,3 PPC : VPM 1,9 CSMN 0 Simulation d'Abacus Data (2025-04-27) Libéral : VPM 41% CSMN 175.7 Conservateurs : VPM 39% CSMN 132.2 NPD : VPM 10% CSMN 13.8 Vert : VPM 1% CSMN 0 Bloc Québécois : VPM 6% CSMN 21.4 PPC : VPM 3 CSMN 0 Photo of an Excel spreadsheet that calculates the average predicted seat count of each party in the 2025 Canadian General Federal Election using data from 338canada.com Three groups of rows are shown. The first one is data from 338canada.com that models the linear slopes shown on the website. The second group of rows (named after my username) show the average popular vote (APV), the average seat count (ASC), and normalized average seat count (NASC) for each party. The third and final group of rows show simulations done on an individual poll, and this photo has the simulation using the latest Abacus Data poll 2025-04-27 to simulate the seat counts (using the same row labels as the Climathosphere simulation). Polls in the Climathosphere simulation are weighted based on time proximity, margin of error, sample size, and 338Canada reliability rating for each poll. Climathosphere simulation: Liberal: APV 42.2% NASC 186.4 Conservative: APV 38.6% NASC 126.5 NDP: APV 9.6% NASC 12.6 Green: APV 2.0% NASC 1.3 Bloc Québecois: APV 5.6% NASC 16.3 PPC: APV 1.9 NASC 0 Latest Abacus Data Poll (2025-04-27) Liberal: APV 41% NASC 175.7 Conservative: APV 39% NASC 132.2 NDP: APV 10% NASC 13.8 Green: APV 1% NASC 0 Bloc Québecois: APV 6% NASC 21.4 PPC: APV 3 NASC 0
April 28, 2025 at 6:26 PM
climathosphere.bsky.social
If that is what the capitalists are saying about Argentina 🇦🇷 right now, then those capitalists are lying! GDP in Argentina 🇦🇷 actually has been contantly shrinking year over year since Milei took office.

tradingeconomics.com/argentina/gd...
Plot of Argentina GDP growth YoY Data Points Q4 2021 +8.4 % Q1 2022 +6.9 % Q2 2022 +7 % Q3 2022 +6 % Q4 2022 +1.3 % Q1 2023 +1.1 % Q2 2023 -5.3 % Q3 2023 -0.7 % Q4 2023 -1.2 % Q1 2024 -5.1 % Q2 2024 -1.7 % Q3 2024 -2.1 % Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/gdp-growth-annual
January 7, 2025 at 6:17 PM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Mohammed Hatem 🇵🇸

www.backabuddy.co.za/campaign/gaz...
Picture of Mohammed Hatem staring at the destruction of his village that the Israeli regime performed as part of its genocide against the Palestinian people of the Gaza strip.
December 26, 2024 at 6:03 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Also, please do not tell me that things can be anonymized! People share names, usernames, fundraisers, bank accounts, and such on here. There is no algorithm that detects it all. Given the use criteria shown, there is no boundary to prevent information collection for malicious intent.
Use criteria for the Bluesky dataset uploaded by HuggingFace. The use criteria reads as follows: USES Direct Use This dataset should be used for: * Training and testing language models on social media content * Analyzing social media posting patterns * Studying conversion structures and reply networks * Research on social media content moderation * Natural language processing tasks using social media datas Out-of-Scope Use This dataset should not be used for: * Building automated posting systems for Bluesky * Creating fake or impersonated content * Extracting personal information about users * Any purpose that violates Bluesky's Terms of Service Source : https://huggingface.co/datasets/bluesky-community/one-million-bluesky-posts
November 27, 2024 at 8:36 PM
climathosphere.bsky.social
I honestly just tried to access his account directly to try and block him and this is the result I got.
An error text that says "Account has been suspended" for the account @bill-ackman.bsky.social.
November 21, 2024 at 5:56 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
My final calculations of the probabilities that each major party will get the most seats in the 2024 #Saskatchewan General Election.

Probabilities were calculated using an error bar analysis and a time-weighted average of all the polls leading up to the day of the election.
A table that shows the probabilities for each party in Saskatchewan that will win the 2024 Saskatchewan Election. The results state that the NDP has a 78% percent chance of winning the election compared to 21% for the Saskatchewan Party. Plot of all the opinion polls taken from 2020 to 2024. Polls show the Saskatchewan party in the lead for the first 3 years, but then the NDP then takes lead in the polls at the end of 2024 during the campaign. Plot of all the opinion polls taken in 2024. Polls show the Saskatchewan party in the lead for most of the year, but then the NDP then takes lead in the polls at the end of 2024 during the campaign. List of opinion polls for the Saskatchewan election. Polls show the Saskatchewan party in the lead for the first 3 years, but then the NDP then takes lead in the polls at the end of 2024 during the campaign.
October 29, 2024 at 4:46 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
When liberalism and anti-intellectualism meet, shake hands, and mingle together as one:
TRIGGER WARNING: ANTI-INTELLECTUALISM Anti-intellectual liberal named "tom-vepr.bsky.social" spouting anti-intellectual garbage. One of his comments on Oct 21, 2024: "Philosophy is a fascist movement that want [sic] to eliminate freedom of thought." The anti-intellectual liberal here is to unintellectual to find that his grammar is completely wrong here in this garbage. The verb to want is misconjuated as "want" instead of "wants". TRIGGER WARNING: ANTI-INTELLECTUALISM Anti-intellectual liberal named "tom-vepr.bsky.social" spouting anti-intellectual garbage. One of his comments on Oct 21, 2024: "It is time that we eliminate political theory. We have established Liberalism [sic] in the real world. Anyone who dislikes Liberalism [sic] is a counter-revolutionary. We no longer need political theory, it could only remove us from power. [sic] Let us eliminate political theory." The anti-intellectual liberal here is to unintellectual to find that his grammar is completely wrong here in this garbage. Liberalism is capitalized in mid-sentence, and the second last sentence is a run-on phrase. TRIGGER WARNING: ANTI-INTELLECTUALISM Anti-intellectual liberal named "tom-vepr.bsky.social" spouting anti-intellectual garbage. One of his comments on Oct 21, 2024: "Join my fight against theory. Join my fight against philosophy. Join my fight against Marxism." TRIGGER WARNING: ANTI-INTELLECTUALISM Anti-intellectual liberal named "tom-vepr.bsky.social" spouting anti-intellectual garbage. One of his comments on Oct 21, 2024: "Philosophy is a fascist movement that wants to outlaw freedom of thought. Theory is when words and actions become divorced. Theory is vile, rectionary bullshit and must never be tolerated."
October 22, 2024 at 5:59 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Mohammed Hatem 🇵🇸 (aka. #Gym #Rat of #Gaza) has a #mutual #aid fundraising campaign that ends in 7 days. He gives updates on Instagram and TikTok about his daily #gym life in Gaza under the #genocide. Mohammed was best friends with Medo Halimy, and the loss of Medo was heartbreaking for him. (1/3)
Picture of Mohammed Hatem staring at the destruction of his village that the Israeli regime performed as part of its genocide against the Palestinian people of the Gaza strip.
October 11, 2024 at 5:20 PM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Remember that Canada committed a genocide against the Indigenous people.

#EveryChildMatters #TruthAndReconcilliation #TRC #Indigenous #NationalDayForTruthAndReconcilliation #Canada #ResidentialSchoolAwareness #OrangeShirtDay #Genocide
Square with orange background that says "10,028 and counting..." This is the total number of verifiable unmarked graves (read mass graves) so far of Indigenous children in Canada that were killed in the Orwellian-named "residential schools" (they were actually concentration camps). Image credit: @jacksaddleback IG
October 1, 2024 at 5:55 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Full Metal Jack-Ass: The LLM/Chat-GPT DeepFake Edition, with Full Metal Jack-Ass Defects!
Twitter post by @InvestigatorCps saying "What is happening here? #WeirdAF" The post includes a photo of Donald Trump photoshopped with US Military personnel that was produced using an AI like Chat-GPT or another LLM and has the meme caption OH SHIT IT'S HAPPENING. This copy includes the numbers that point out most of the obvious defects in the photo. 1) Left Arm is missing on dressed personnel, or AI got confused. 2) Donald Trump's right ear is missing. 3) Squashed Cauliflower Ear on Donald Trump's left ear. 4) Squashed face on dressed personnel. 5) 4 fingers on left hand. 6) Extra arm from nowhere. 7) Legs of the shirtless men on the side fade into Donald Trump's legs. 8) Either an extra arm from nowhere, bad light physics, or AI was confused (or all of these). 9) Left leg missing from dressed personnel; AI was confused. 10) AI was confused as to whether it was the shirtless man in the foreground or the dressed personnel in the background (continuity mistake).
August 6, 2024 at 7:38 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Excellent meme by @leftistgamermemes.bsky.social that I found on #Bluesky. Reposted with alternate-text.
Meme from @leftistgamermemes.bsky.social that states the following: "Why does society judge people who *make* minimum wage more than the people who *pay* minimum wage??"
August 4, 2024 at 2:01 AM
climathosphere.bsky.social
Un coup de coeur! ❤️🖤

#antifa #antifasciste #actionantifasciste #antifash #antifascist #antifascistaction #anarchiste #anarchist
Person tackling a cop. Une personne faisant un mise en terre contre un policier. In picture text / Texte d'Image: "WRESTLING! ANARCHIST STYLE!"
June 7, 2024 at 6:29 AM