Clayton Moraga
@claytonmoraga.bsky.social
Art decays or is destroyed. Ideas are as persistent as a shadow cast by smoke. Beauty arises from the most unexpected places.
I am haunted by the mystery of this ephemeral existence and the brief flame of consciousness. https://www.palimpsesteum.com/
I am haunted by the mystery of this ephemeral existence and the brief flame of consciousness. https://www.palimpsesteum.com/
Well, it was either a videographer walking backwards or... the guy who controls the world's largest army was so heavy the automatic stop system kicked in because it thought there was something jamming it. Who you gonna blame?
September 25, 2025 at 5:11 AM
Well, it was either a videographer walking backwards or... the guy who controls the world's largest army was so heavy the automatic stop system kicked in because it thought there was something jamming it. Who you gonna blame?
🎶"If you think it's butter, but it's not,"🎶 it's a false correlation.
September 25, 2025 at 5:04 AM
🎶"If you think it's butter, but it's not,"🎶 it's a false correlation.
Odd. I thought he'd think Wernher was his kind of guy.
September 25, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Odd. I thought he'd think Wernher was his kind of guy.
Yep. “We must take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented. Sometimes we must interfere. When human lives are endangered, when human dignity is in jeopardy, national borders and sensitivities become irrelevant.”
- Elie Wiesel
- Elie Wiesel
September 2, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Yep. “We must take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented. Sometimes we must interfere. When human lives are endangered, when human dignity is in jeopardy, national borders and sensitivities become irrelevant.”
- Elie Wiesel
- Elie Wiesel
Worst. Computer. Simulated. Reality. Ever.
August 6, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Worst. Computer. Simulated. Reality. Ever.
Yes! Redundancy is good if failure = loss of thrust. Keeps flying! If failure = explosion, redundancy multiplies risk of overall rocket failure. It's a trade off. Looks like risk assessment of explosion was in error. Like a dice roll, if 1 on a 20 side is boom, adding dice to each roll won't help.
July 28, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Yes! Redundancy is good if failure = loss of thrust. Keeps flying! If failure = explosion, redundancy multiplies risk of overall rocket failure. It's a trade off. Looks like risk assessment of explosion was in error. Like a dice roll, if 1 on a 20 side is boom, adding dice to each roll won't help.
If your only definition of "failure" is an engine not providing thrust, then yes, you're right, more is better. But if "failure" is exploding, then more engines statistically increase chances of overall rocket failure due to multiplying that risk. It's a trade off which so far seems in error.
July 28, 2025 at 8:31 PM
If your only definition of "failure" is an engine not providing thrust, then yes, you're right, more is better. But if "failure" is exploding, then more engines statistically increase chances of overall rocket failure due to multiplying that risk. It's a trade off which so far seems in error.
When Mark Twain called it "The Gilded Age" it wasn't a complement. I don't think most people realize that.
July 28, 2025 at 6:35 PM
When Mark Twain called it "The Gilded Age" it wasn't a complement. I don't think most people realize that.
The passphrase...
July 28, 2025 at 6:31 PM
The passphrase...
The only way you will be able to have a conversation with an authentic human being is if you meet them for coffee and bring an old printed book to talk about.
July 28, 2025 at 6:25 PM
The only way you will be able to have a conversation with an authentic human being is if you meet them for coffee and bring an old printed book to talk about.
Image search & other online content is now saturated with AI. Soon to be true for social platforms. The majority of online personas will be fake and optimized in every way possible to keep you engaged and plugged into the wealth and attention siphon. Entire internet is soon to be a poisoned well.
July 28, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Image search & other online content is now saturated with AI. Soon to be true for social platforms. The majority of online personas will be fake and optimized in every way possible to keep you engaged and plugged into the wealth and attention siphon. Entire internet is soon to be a poisoned well.
Social media will grow supported by LLMs that make it impossible to discern AI from actual humans. People who want genuine social interaction will have to tear themselves away from screens. The rest will be trapped in digital opium dens. Tech profits require an addiction based business model.
July 28, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Social media will grow supported by LLMs that make it impossible to discern AI from actual humans. People who want genuine social interaction will have to tear themselves away from screens. The rest will be trapped in digital opium dens. Tech profits require an addiction based business model.
At this rate Starship has 4x higher probability of catastrophe than the space shuttle which had a 100% probability of a catastrophic failure every 70 launches. Just adding more engines for lift is a bad shortcut. Probabilty math is unforgiving. Software CEO is not a rocket scientist.
July 28, 2025 at 5:04 PM
At this rate Starship has 4x higher probability of catastrophe than the space shuttle which had a 100% probability of a catastrophic failure every 70 launches. Just adding more engines for lift is a bad shortcut. Probabilty math is unforgiving. Software CEO is not a rocket scientist.
(generously assuming 1/500 probability of engine explosion) * (30 engines) = 0.06 or 6% chance of catastrophic failure for each launch.
Expect catastrophic failure just about every 17 launches for Starship (at best). Larger # of engines increases probability of failure.
Saturn 5: Never blew up.
Expect catastrophic failure just about every 17 launches for Starship (at best). Larger # of engines increases probability of failure.
Saturn 5: Never blew up.
July 28, 2025 at 5:01 PM
(generously assuming 1/500 probability of engine explosion) * (30 engines) = 0.06 or 6% chance of catastrophic failure for each launch.
Expect catastrophic failure just about every 17 launches for Starship (at best). Larger # of engines increases probability of failure.
Saturn 5: Never blew up.
Expect catastrophic failure just about every 17 launches for Starship (at best). Larger # of engines increases probability of failure.
Saturn 5: Never blew up.
Trump and the Republicans destroying our scientific leadership and pushing us to third-world status so billionaires won't have to pay taxes.
July 28, 2025 at 4:38 PM
Trump and the Republicans destroying our scientific leadership and pushing us to third-world status so billionaires won't have to pay taxes.
In the Soviet Union they were called a "Political Commissar". en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politic...
Political commissar - Wikipedia
en.m.wikipedia.org
July 25, 2025 at 11:56 PM
In the Soviet Union they were called a "Political Commissar". en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politic...
Damn. LARP of the "The Dark Forest" by Liu Cixin. Scary.
July 24, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Damn. LARP of the "The Dark Forest" by Liu Cixin. Scary.
AI Training: How to become a service animal to a robot.
July 23, 2025 at 7:19 PM
AI Training: How to become a service animal to a robot.
Not to worry. Republicans have gutted the CDC so if it does jump to humans that 50%+ mortality rate will just be classified as a "bad flu" and we'll get bottles of Dr. Oz colloidal silver at the bargain rate of $150 each.
July 19, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Not to worry. Republicans have gutted the CDC so if it does jump to humans that 50%+ mortality rate will just be classified as a "bad flu" and we'll get bottles of Dr. Oz colloidal silver at the bargain rate of $150 each.
Well, we'll see if it lasts another 3 years. 😿
July 18, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Well, we'll see if it lasts another 3 years. 😿
Bezos is so frustrated that he has to write these things himself. Unfair!
July 18, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Bezos is so frustrated that he has to write these things himself. Unfair!
What part of my brain remembers that another part of my brain forgot something? Who's in charge in there? Consciousness is a cat colony.
July 18, 2025 at 5:29 PM
What part of my brain remembers that another part of my brain forgot something? Who's in charge in there? Consciousness is a cat colony.