Starting to map the 2025 federal election in Manitoba. First up is Winnipeg South Centre.

A dominant performance by Ben Carr, even beating his father's performance in 2015. The NDP collapsed while the Conservatives held.

#mbpoli #cdnpoli

@canadianpolling.bsky.social Might we expect an updated MP name game at some-point. I need a way to test my knowledge 🥺

Hope I look as cool as Chrétien when I’m 91

You can really see the ONDP’s seat efficiency at play in the seat by seat results.

Some crazy stats:

- % of ridings where the candidate got under 20% of the vote : OLP-23%, ONDP-69%.

- % of >40% ridings where the candidate won : OLP-45%, ONDP-96% (only Sault Ste. Marie missing for the NDP)

Ok Ontario election people. Using a *very* rough estimation, this is the % of vote needed by each 2nd place party in the mail in ballots to flip a currently uncalled seat. The (+x) refers to the difference in the needed in the mail vote and the vote counted so far. #onpoli