Great discussion on U.S.-China relations @global-affairs.bsky.social tonight with Rana Mitter, John Mearsheimer, and @leslievinjamuri.bsky.social

New survey data from @global-affairs.bsky.social: a majority of Americans (53%) now say the United States should undertake friendly cooperation and engagement with China, up from 40 percent in 2024.

More in the full report: brnw.ch/21wX0bJ

Marking #UN80 @global-affairs.bsky.social with a great panel on internationalism and intl institutions, feat. @profpaulpoast.bsky.social, @ianhurd.bsky.social, and Juliet Sorensen

RIP ‘great power competition’, we hardly knew ya www.politico.com/news/2025/09...

The Minnesota State Fair in late August is a great excuse to visit MN. Crop art! Butter sculptures! Craft competitions! And a hundred types of food, at least half of it on a stick.

We had a poll in the field as the strikes happened and didn't find much of a bump in support: globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

If Iran attacks US forces in the region, Americans support airstrikes--but no further escalation.

The exception: Republicans, 51% of whom would support invading Iran to overthrow the government.

More from @global-affairs.bsky.social / @ipsosus.bsky.social globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

Did launching airstrikes against Iran boost support for those strikes? Because we were in the field when it happened, we can tell: a bit, but not much. More via @global-affairs.bsky.social / @ipsosus.bsky.social globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

On a 0-100 scale, Democrats now rate Israel an average of 41 - the first time it's fallen below 50 in our nearly 50 years of asking the question.

More new data from @global-affairs.bsky.social: brnw.ch/21wSGnr

A majority of Americans (55%) now say the United States should pursue a policy of global free trade, up from 35% in June 2024.

More new data on trade from @global-affairs.bsky.social / @ipsosus.bsky.social : : brnw.ch/21wSqeN

Great to get new polling data on US views of Iran from my colleagues Lama El Baz and @roguepollster.bsky.social. Two key points:
1) Most Americans support diplomatic efforts to deal with Iran's nuclear amibitions
2) Less than half support military options (48% airstrikes, 35% sending troops)

I use this one in my talks from time to time: per a UMass-Lowell poll, 64% of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters preferred the SMOD to a Trump win

Today in 'unsettling response options', from the 1998 Chicago Council Survey (in response to a question about expectations for the 21st century)

oh no

We also found differences in support for deportation depending on whether we asked about those *working* in the US (25%) vs. just *in* the US (39%) - with strongest effects among Republicans

So what do foreign policy opinion leaders happens now? Based on our ( @busbyj2.bsky.social, @roguepollster.bsky.social, others not on bsky) survey of 471 leaders, majorities across partisan lines think it's more now likely that the US leaves NATO--and war with Russia over Ukraine is less likely.

My first ‘new data’ post on Bluesky, and it’s a doozy: for the first time in the 49-year history of the Chicago Council Survey, a majority of Republicans (53%) say the US should stay out of world affairs. Dina Smeltz and I break down the new findings: globalaffairs.org/research/pub...