Christopher Blair
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chriswblair.bsky.social
Christopher Blair
@chriswblair.bsky.social
Assistant Prof at Princeton Politics | Ph.D. at UPenn | Alum at UVA | Borders, Militancy, Forced Displacement, Climate Change, Foreign Policy

http://www.chriswblair.com
They wear masks, they carry no identifying badges, they drive vehicles without license plates, and they disappear immigrants into opaque prisons.

If ICE’s enforcement operations are secretive it is fair to characterize them as secret police.
October 24, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Naomi Ellemers has a nice annual review on gender stereotypes, which could be a good jumping off point: doi.org/10.1146/annu...
Gender Stereotypes
There are many differences between men and women. To some extent, these are captured in the stereotypical images of these groups. Stereotypes about the way men and women think and behave are widely sh...
doi.org
October 13, 2025 at 4:59 PM
This looks so interesting! Congrats
September 4, 2025 at 11:20 PM
I just emailed you! Happy to help debug code offline if it'd be helpful.
June 13, 2025 at 6:13 PM
I'd try using reghdfe rather than xtreg
June 13, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Agreed! I think this move is a political gambit to inflate deportation numbers.

My quote in the article touches on this - paying people to return home is not likely to keep them from attempting to migrate again

And even if the admin doesn’t care about conflict in origin countries, we should!
May 5, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Reposted by Christopher Blair
As my colleagues and I wrote in the Daily Princetonian last week, we all have to stand up for our science, and not accept this attack on universities. www.dailyprincetonian.com/article/2025...
To stop intimidation, Eisgruber needs your help
When targeting one institution is a bald attempt to divide and conquer, as is the case with Columbia, it is essential for a coalition or group of institutions and individuals to stand up together.&nbs...
www.dailyprincetonian.com
April 1, 2025 at 5:58 PM
In the US, amidst a demoralizing political news cycle, the Trump admin has reinitiated the Maximum Pressure strategy on Iran, imposing renewed sanctions.

Our findings suggest growing pressure on Iran could result in another wave of mass Afghan repatriation, further destabilizing Afghanistan.
February 26, 2025 at 11:06 PM
For policy, a number of recent developments are relevant.

Several European countries are contemplating forcibly repatriating Syrian refugees. Achieving Syrian returns by restricting hosting conditions for Syrian refugees may exacerbate instability in Syrian areas that receive returnees from Europe.
February 26, 2025 at 11:06 PM
Why does this all matter?

For theory, we think the framework we develop is quite useful. Consequences of repatriation are intimately linked with the contexts of repatriation.

Returns resulting from worsening conditions in a host country are an important, overlooked phenomenon.
February 26, 2025 at 11:06 PM
One possible reason is that there was nothing for returnees and their non-migrant neighbors to fight over, like parochial access of one group but not the other to aid, land, resources.

Another possibility is that strong local institutions in returnee-receiving areas mitigated conflict.
February 26, 2025 at 11:06 PM
What about communal violence?

Much prior evidence suggests mass repatriation increases communal disputes and local feuds.

To our surprise, we find no evidence that return was associated with ⬆️ communal conflict in this setting. If anything, returnees reported better relations.
February 26, 2025 at 11:06 PM